ZTSZoetis Inc.Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Genericas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $73.01 · now $73.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ZTS has typically landed between $63.98 and $80.24 — a range of −12.4% to +9.9% from the issuance price $73.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,405 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-02-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($73.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ZTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $73.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$63.98worst · -12.4%$80.24best · +9.9%
  • now $73.01 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.29 (-1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $68.76–$75.82
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $63.98–$80.24
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,405 windows spanning 2013-02-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-04-14−38.3%−38.3%+1.8%
2026-04-16−37.4%−37.4%+3.5%
2026-04-15−37.2%−38.2%+2.1%
3 best
2020-03-23+36.0%+0.0%+41.3%
2014-10-17+25.3%+0.0%+25.3%
2014-10-20+25.0%+0.0%+25.1%

3,405 overlapping windows · 2013-02-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$31.6B
market cap
$6.03
EPS (TTM)
12.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$9.5B
'20'25
Net income$2.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr28.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr80.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.85
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $73.01$64.14$192.76
  • DCF (intrinsic)$183.89
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$165.47
  • Analyst target · range $85.00–$160.00$97.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$73.01

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
46%
−1.3%
n=13
Feb
62%
+1.8%
n=13
Mar
43%
−2.0%
n=14
Apr
57%
+1.5%
n=14
May
64%
+0.2%
n=14
Jun
64%
+0.7%
n=14
Jul
86%
+3.7%
n=14
Aug
71%
+1.2%
n=14
Sep
50%
−1.1%
n=14
Oct
54%
−0.7%
n=13
Nov
69%
+4.0%
n=13
Dec
54%
+1.6%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$154$712026-05-13: 2 insider purchases, $653K — DAMELIO FRANK A, Bisaro Paul2026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $233K — MCCALLISTER MICHAEL B2026-02-17: 2 insider sales, $2.5M — PECK KRISTIN C …2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $2.5M2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $886K↑ buys↓ salesdirector DAMELIO FRANK A — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed same daydirector Bisaro Paul — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed same daydirector MCCALLISTER MICHAEL B — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PECK KRISTIN C — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same daydirector PECK KRISTIN C — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-13DAMELIO FRANK AdirectorPurchase6,650 @ $75.39$501K+44.9% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open21,458Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13Bisaro PauldirectorPurchase2,000 @ $75.88$152K+7.7% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open27,862Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11MCCALLISTER MICHAEL BdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $77.76$233K+13.9% of holding+7.9%not yet — horizon still open24,524Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17PECK KRISTIN CdirectorSale10,800 @ $127.55$1.4M−9.6% of holding−3.4%−53.4%101,337Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17PECK KRISTIN CdirectorSale9,200 @ $126.46$1.2M−7.6% of holding−3.4%−53.4%112,137Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

295 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31SACCARO JAMESofficerAward / grant81,06381,063Form 4
2026-08-07DAMELIO FRANK AdirectorGift6,65014,808Form 4
2026-07-10PECK KRISTIN CdirectorAward / grant61666,195Form 4
2026-07-10Joseph WettenyofficerAward / grant36310,155Form 4
2026-07-10FULLER JULIEofficerAward / grant3152,113Form 4
2026-07-10Lagano RoxanneofficerAward / grant31530,947Form 4
2026-07-10Esch KevinofficerAward / grant308806Form 4
2026-07-10Sarbaugh KeithofficerAward / grant2602,365Form 4
2026-07-10Driscoll RimmadirectorAward / grant2386,273Form 4
2026-07-10Nayak Abhay UofficerAward / grant2154,701Form 4
2026-07-10Ferran Astorga JeannetteofficerAward / grant452,296Form 4
2026-06-18Stetter MarkdirectorAward / grant318534Form 4
2026-06-10MCCALLISTER MICHAEL BdirectorGift1,2090Form 4
2026-05-21Stetter MarkdirectorOption exercise1,5720Form 4
2026-05-21Stetter MarkdirectorOption exercise1,5720Form 4
2026-05-21Stetter MarkdirectorOption exercise1,5721,572Form 4
2026-05-21Stetter MarkdirectorOption exercise1,5721,572Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise1,9440Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise10,1870Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise10,18628,394Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise1,94418,208Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise10,18628,394Form 4
2026-05-20PARENT LOUISE MdirectorOption exercise1,94418,208Form 4
2026-04-30Esch KevinofficerWithheld for tax75578Form 4
2026-04-30Esch KevinofficerOption exercise260519Form 4
2026-04-30Esch KevinofficerOption exercise259653Form 4
2026-04-30Esch KevinofficerOption exercise260519Form 4
2026-04-30Esch KevinofficerOption exercise259653Form 4
2026-04-10PECK KRISTIN CdirectorAward / grant2,77765,579Form 4
2026-04-10Joseph WettenyofficerAward / grant8749,792Form 4
2026-04-10Lagano RoxanneofficerAward / grant55130,632Form 4
2026-04-10FULLER JULIEofficerAward / grant5511,798Form 4
2026-04-10Sarbaugh KeithofficerAward / grant2312,105Form 4
2026-04-10Driscoll RimmadirectorAward / grant266,036Form 4
2026-04-10Ferran Astorga JeannetteofficerAward / grant52,251Form 4
2026-04-10Esch KevinofficerAward / grant1498Form 4
2026-03-31Sarbaugh KeithofficerWithheld for tax5243,346Form 4
2026-03-31Sarbaugh KeithofficerOption exercise1,5280Form 4
2026-03-31Sarbaugh KeithofficerOption exercise1,5283,870Form 4
2026-03-31Sarbaugh KeithofficerOption exercise1,5280Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Byron DonaldsHousepurchase2026-07-152026-06-09$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousepurchase2026-07-152026-06-09$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.