WGOWinnebago Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Recreational Vehiclesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.12 · now $27.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WGO has typically landed between $22.65 and $31.85 — a range of −16.5% to +17.4% from the issuance price $27.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$22.65worst · -16.5%$31.85best · +17.4%
  • now $27.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.71 (-1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.82–$28.61
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.65–$31.85
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-25−67.5%−67.5%+0.0%
2008-09-26−66.6%−67.2%+0.0%
2020-02-18−65.8%−65.8%+4.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+115.9%+0.0%+115.9%
2009-03-06+97.7%+0.0%+115.9%
2009-03-09+86.8%+0.0%+115.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Mar
45%
−2.9%
n=20
Apr
40%
+4.7%
n=20
May
35%
−3.3%
n=20
Jun
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Jul
60%
+5.1%
n=20
Aug
25%
−2.7%
n=20
Sep
40%
+2.2%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Nov
60%
+2.8%
n=20
Dec
55%
+3.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$49$272026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $39K — Woodson Bret A2026-08-13: 2 insider sales, $472K — Happe Michael J, Woodson Bret A2025-10-27: 1 insider sale, $294K — Happe Michael J2025-10-24: 1 insider purchase, $109K — Armbruster Sara E2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $109K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $294K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $512K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Woodson Bret A — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Happe Michael J — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Woodson Bret A — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Happe Michael J — Sale on 2025-10-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armbruster Sara E — Purchase on 2025-10-24, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Woodson Bret AofficerSale1,235 @ $31.73$39K−3.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open31,373Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13Happe Michael JdirectorSale12,045 @ $32.68$394K−3.3% of holding−10.7%not yet — horizon still open349,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13Woodson Bret AofficerSale2,414 @ $32.66$79K−7.2% of holding−10.7%not yet — horizon still open31,274Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-27Happe Michael JdirectorSale7,105 @ $41.38$294K−2.0% of holding−10.5%−26.5%347,501Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-24Armbruster Sara EdirectorPurchase2,700 @ $40.27$109K+23.0% of holding−12.5%−24.1%14,426Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-01MILES DAVID WdirectorPurchase4,341 @ $34.68$151K+18.3% of holding−3.9%−18.9%28,031Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-31Bryant Kevin E.directorPurchase4,200 @ $34.12$143K+44.0% of holding−5.7%−19.7%13,755Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-13Woods Jacqueline D.directorSale1,503 @ $44.32$67K−12.0% of holding−12.4%−27.2%10,985Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Pack Michael EdirectorAward / grant7364,310Form 4
2026-08-19Woodson Bret AofficerOption exercise1,33432,608Form 4
2026-08-19Woodson Bret AofficerOption exercise1,3340Form 4
2026-08-13Happe Michael JdirectorOption exercise13,300361,394Form 4
2026-08-13Woodson Bret AofficerOption exercise2,66633,688Form 4
2026-08-13Happe Michael JdirectorOption exercise13,3000Form 4
2026-08-13Woodson Bret AofficerOption exercise2,6661,334Form 4
2026-05-29Pack Michael EdirectorAward / grant7583,574Form 4
2026-05-01Silver Emily RosaliedirectorAward / grant1,5531,553Form 4
2026-02-27Pack Michael EdirectorAward / grant5652,816Form 4
2026-02-27MILES DAVID WdirectorAward / grant18013,355Form 4
2025-11-28MILES DAVID WdirectorAward / grant82913,175Form 4
2025-11-28Pack Michael EdirectorAward / grant6222,251Form 4
2025-11-13Fisher William C.directorGift1,00036,145Form 4
2025-10-27Happe Michael JdirectorOption exercise10,000354,606Form 4
2025-10-27Happe Michael JdirectorOption exercise10,0000Form 4
2025-10-15Happe Michael JdirectorWithheld for tax4,022344,606Form 4
2025-10-15Hughes Bryan LofficerWithheld for tax79384,020Form 4
2025-10-15BOGART STACY LdirectorWithheld for tax54658,262Form 4
2025-10-15West Christopher DavidofficerWithheld for tax50039,588Form 4
2025-10-15Tubman Casey JofficerWithheld for tax42629,293Form 4
2025-10-15Woodson Bret AofficerWithheld for tax40030,429Form 4
2025-10-14Happe Michael JdirectorAward / grant89,53089,530Form 4
2025-10-14Hughes Bryan LofficerAward / grant18,89718,897Form 4
2025-10-14Tubman Casey JofficerAward / grant13,85513,855Form 4
2025-10-14BOGART STACY LdirectorAward / grant12,97312,973Form 4
2025-10-14West Christopher DavidofficerAward / grant11,88811,888Form 4
2025-10-14Woodson Bret AofficerAward / grant9,5019,501Form 4
2025-10-14Kroon Staci LdirectorAward / grant4,8789,991Form 4
2025-10-14Tubman Casey JofficerAward / grant10,74529,719Form 4
2025-10-14MURABITO JOHN MdirectorAward / grant4,87825,668Form 4
2025-10-14MILES DAVID WdirectorAward / grant4,87832,909Form 4
2025-10-14Braun Christopher JdirectorAward / grant4,87833,568Form 4
2025-10-14Happe Michael JdirectorAward / grant69,431348,628Form 4
2025-10-14Bryant Kevin E.directorAward / grant4,87818,633Form 4
2025-10-14Hughes Bryan LofficerAward / grant14,65484,813Form 4
2025-10-14Woodson Bret AofficerAward / grant7,36830,829Form 4
2025-10-14West Christopher DavidofficerAward / grant9,22040,088Form 4
2025-10-14Armbruster Sara EdirectorAward / grant4,87812,445Form 4
2025-10-14Fisher William C.directorAward / grant4,87837,145Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.