Issued 2026-09-16 at $100.28 · now $100.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VOYA has typically landed between $89.37 and $113.07 — a range of −10.9% to +12.8% from the issuance price $100.28.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,343 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-05-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($100.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VOYA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $100.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $100.28 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $101.26 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $95.92–$106.6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $89.37–$113.07
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −51.8% | −51.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −49.7% | −49.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −46.0% | −46.0% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +36.6% | +0.0% | +50.4% |
| 2013-05-02 | +36.3% | −0.8% | +36.8% |
| 2013-05-03 | +34.4% | +0.0% | +38.0% |
3,343 overlapping windows · 2013-05-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Keshavan Santhosh | officer | Sale | 17,794 @ $98.07 | $1.7M | −48.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 19,135 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Keshavan Santhosh | officer | Sale | 17,793 @ $98.07 | $1.7M | −93.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,342 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 3,994 @ $90.00 | $359K | −58.0% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,887 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 1,689 @ $65.00 | $110K | −19.7% of holding | +5.4% | +37.4% | 6,881 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 8,536 @ $73.81 | $630K | −49.9% of holding | −3.5% | +20.8% | 8,570 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Oh Tony D | officer | Sale | 3,515 @ $73.78 | $259K | −100.0% of holding | −3.5% | +20.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Katz Michael Robert | officer | Sale | 20,600 @ $75.00 | $1.5M | −33.9% of holding | +3.4% | +14.4% | 40,096 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Oh Tony D | officer | Sale | 717 @ $71.92 | $52K | −100.0% of holding | −5.2% | +1.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 13,832 @ $75.00 | $1.0M | −65.6% of holding | −0.0% | −4.9% | 7,238 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Butler Yvette S. | director | Sale | 1,700 @ $66.18 | $113K | −82.7% of holding | +0.7% | −9.0% | 355 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-21 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 2,118 @ $73.45 | $156K | −21.3% of holding | +0.6% | −0.5% | 7,809 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Sale | 3,764 @ $74.25 | $279K | −27.5% of holding | +0.2% | −1.8% | 9,927 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Oh Tony D | officer | Sale | 1,671 @ $73.20 | $122K | −100.0% of holding | +0.2% | −1.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
228 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Thompson Brannigan C | other | Withheld for tax | 730 | 11,711 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | Thompson Brannigan C | other | Option exercise | 1,645 | 19,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | Thompson Brannigan C | other | Option exercise | 1,645 | 12,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | GILLIS RUTH ANN M | director | Award / grant | 79 | 5,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | LEWIS AYLWIN B | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 13,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | TRIPODI JOSEPH V | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 18,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Mullaney William J | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 6,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chwick Jane | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 20,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | DeRose Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 16,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Ersek Hikmet | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 4,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | GILLIS RUTH ANN M | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 29,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Leary Robert G | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 6,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Biggar Lynne | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 10,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Bowman Biff | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 8,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Butler Yvette S. | director | Award / grant | 2,062 | 3,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | TRIPODI JOSEPH V | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 15,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | TRIPODI JOSEPH V | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 16,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chwick Jane | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 18,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chwick Jane | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 12,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Butler Yvette S. | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 2,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Butler Yvette S. | director | Option exercise | 2,547 | 1,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | GILLIS RUTH ANN M | director | Award / grant | 104 | 5,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Biggar Lynne | director | Option exercise | 197 | 16,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Biggar Lynne | director | Option exercise | 197 | 1 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Lavallee Heather H. | director | Withheld for tax | 26,990 | 105,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Kaduson Jay | other | Withheld for tax | 7,923 | 9,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Keshavan Santhosh | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,988 | 36,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toms Matthew | other | Withheld for tax | 6,457 | 14,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Katz Michael Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,911 | 47,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ogle Trevor | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,906 | 17,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Thompson Brannigan C | other | Withheld for tax | 2,661 | 10,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Oh Tony D | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,598 | 3,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Tressy Rachel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,069 | 8,621 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Longerstaey Jacques M | other | Withheld for tax | 294 | 4,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Lavallee Heather H. | director | Option exercise | 41,399 | 132,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toms Matthew | other | Option exercise | 2,576 | 62,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Tressy Rachel | officer | Option exercise | 1,651 | 9,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toms Matthew | other | Award / grant | 29,499 | 64,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toms Matthew | other | Option exercise | 2,576 | 21,002 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toms Matthew | other | Option exercise | 11,346 | 25,891 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.