TVGrupo Televisa, S.A.B.Communication Services · Telecommunications Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.19 · now $2.19 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TV has typically landed between $1.76 and $2.68 — a range of −19.7% to +22.3% from the issuance price $2.19.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.19) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.19 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.76worst · -19.7%$2.68best · +22.3%
  • now $2.19 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.14 (-2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.94–$2.34
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.76–$2.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−56.3%−56.3%+0.0%
2020-02-20−51.6%−51.6%+0.4%
2020-02-13−50.7%−50.7%+2.4%
3 best
2020-05-07+52.6%−0.5%+52.6%
2024-09-03+49.4%−1.2%+49.4%
2024-09-05+46.5%+0.0%+51.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+1.8%
n=20
Feb
35%
−3.0%
n=20
Mar
60%
+2.4%
n=20
Apr
40%
+0.8%
n=20
May
60%
+2.0%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Jul
65%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
30%
−3.4%
n=20
Sep
30%
−4.6%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Nov
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Dec
65%
+0.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$22026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $299K — Zaslav David2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $85K — ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean Michel, FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael2026-05-25: 1 insider sale, $112K — FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $128K — Valim Francisco2026-05-04: 15 insider sales, $380K — Fernandez Fernandez Jose Luis, FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael, FRIES MICHAEL T, CHEVEZ ROBELO Francisco Jose …2026-04-30: 2 insider sales, $51K — Zaslav David, FELTHEIMER JON2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $328K — MAERKER SALMON Denise2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $328K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $51K2026-05: 19 open-market sales, $706K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $299K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Zaslav David — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean Michel — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Valim Francisco — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fernandez Fernandez Jose Luis — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FOLCH VIADERO Salvi Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FRIES MICHAEL T — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHEVEZ ROBELO Francisco Jose — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GARCIA NARANJO ALVAREZ Guillermo — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector DE ANGOITIA ALFONSO — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HANK GONZALEZ Carlos — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tricio Haro Eduardo — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BUSTOS OLIVARES Luis Alejandro — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PHILLIPS MARGAIN Guadalupe — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Martinez Bernardo Gomez — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KRAUZE KLEINBORT Enrique — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer CHEDRAUI EGUIA Jose Antonio — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean Michel — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MENDOZA GIMENEZ Lorenzo Alejandro — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Zaslav David — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector FELTHEIMER JON — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MAERKER SALMON Denise — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 28 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Zaslav DaviddirectorSale110,826 @ $2.70$299K−70.4% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open46,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-26ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean MicheldirectorSale116,500 @ $0.57$66K−50.0% of holding−2.3%not yet — horizon still open116,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26FOLCH VIADERO Salvi RafaeldirectorSale32,997 @ $0.56$18K−100.0% of holding−2.3%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-25FOLCH VIADERO Salvi RafaeldirectorSale200,003 @ $0.56$112K−85.8% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open32,997Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06Valim FranciscoofficerSale225,000 @ $0.57$128K−100.0% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Fernandez Fernandez Jose LuisdirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open838,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04FOLCH VIADERO Salvi RafaeldirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−16.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open233,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04FRIES MICHAEL TdirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open838,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04CHEVEZ ROBELO Francisco JosedirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open838,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04GARCIA NARANJO ALVAREZ GuillermodirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open838,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−0.1% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open38,813,509Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04HANK GONZALEZ CarlosdirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open841,900Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Tricio Haro EduardodirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−0.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open212,816,900Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04BUSTOS OLIVARES Luis AlejandrodirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−1.3% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open3,318,551Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04PHILLIPS MARGAIN GuadalupedirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open838,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−0.1% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open38,932,325Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04KRAUZE KLEINBORT EnriquedirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−16.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open233,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04CHEDRAUI EGUIA Jose AntonioofficerSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−5.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open845,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean MicheldirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−16.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open233,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04MENDOZA GIMENEZ Lorenzo AlejandrodirectorSale44,500 @ $0.57$25K−16.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open233,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-30Zaslav DaviddirectorSale8,900 @ $2.88$26K−16.0% of holding−11.9%not yet — horizon still open46,600Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30FELTHEIMER JONdirectorSale8,900 @ $2.88$26K−1.1% of holding−11.9%not yet — horizon still open802,065Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-27MAERKER SALMON DenisedirectorSale565,084 @ $0.58$328K−100.0% of holding−13.3%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 28 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-08Fernandez Fernandez Jose LuisdirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08HANK GONZALEZ CarlosdirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08Zaslav DaviddirectorAward / grant53,69453,694Form 4
2026-06-08FRIES MICHAEL TdirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08Valim FranciscoofficerAward / grant2,117,9202,117,920Form 4
2026-06-08PHILLIPS MARGAIN CarlosofficerAward / grant1,012,6301,012,630Form 4
2026-06-08PHILLIPS MARGAIN GuadalupedirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean MicheldirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08FOLCH VIADERO Salvi RafaeldirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08FELTHEIMER JONdirectorAward / grant53,69453,694Form 4
2026-06-08CHEDRAUI EGUIA Jose AntonioofficerAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08BUSTOS OLIVARES Luis AlejandrodirectorAward / grant774,550774,550Form 4
2026-06-08BUSTOS OLIVARES Luis AlejandrodirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08GARCIA NARANJO ALVAREZ GuillermodirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-08MENDOZA GIMENEZ Lorenzo AlejandrodirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-05Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-05Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorAward / grant12,066,30012,066,300Form 4
2026-06-05DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-05Tricio Haro EduardodirectorAward / grant268,470268,470Form 4
2026-06-05DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorAward / grant12,066,30012,066,300Form 4
2026-06-05DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorAward / grant12,574,57012,574,570Form 4
2026-06-05Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorAward / grant12,574,57012,574,570Form 4
2026-06-03Tricio Haro EduardodirectorAward / grant38,849,34068,625,040Form 4
2026-06-03DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorAward / grant—6,307,262,714Form 4
2026-06-03Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorAward / grant—6,307,262,714Form 4
2026-06-03DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorAward / grant—6,307,262,714Form 4
2026-06-03Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorAward / grant—6,307,262,714Form 4
2026-05-07Valim FranciscoofficerExercise225,0000Form 4
2026-05-06Valim FranciscoofficerExercise225,000225,000Form 4
2026-05-04BUSTOS OLIVARES Luis AlejandrodirectorExercise277,5003,363,051Form 4
2026-05-04MENDOZA GIMENEZ Lorenzo AlejandrodirectorExercise277,500277,500Form 4
2026-05-04FRIES MICHAEL TdirectorExercise277,500882,775Form 4
2026-05-04ENRIQUEZ DAHLHAUS Jean MicheldirectorExercise277,500277,500Form 4
2026-05-04FOLCH VIADERO Salvi RafaeldirectorExercise277,500277,500Form 4
2026-05-04Martinez Bernardo GomezdirectorExercise277,50038,976,825Form 4
2026-05-04GARCIA NARANJO ALVAREZ GuillermodirectorExercise277,500882,775Form 4
2026-05-04Fernandez Fernandez Jose LuisdirectorExercise277,500882,775Form 4
2026-05-04CHEVEZ ROBELO Francisco JosedirectorExercise277,500882,775Form 4
2026-05-04DE ANGOITIA ALFONSOdirectorExercise277,50038,858,009Form 4
2026-05-04PHILLIPS MARGAIN GuadalupedirectorExercise277,500882,775Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.