Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.43 · now $6.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TDOC has typically landed between $4.69 and $8.10 — a range of −27.0% to +26.0% from the issuance price $6.43.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,799 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TDOC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.43 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.13 (-4.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.39–$6.87
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.69–$8.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,799 windows spanning 2015-06-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −56.4% | −56.4% | +4.5% |
| 2022-03-29 | −56.0% | −56.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-07 | −55.6% | −55.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2015-06-30 | +62.7% | +0.0% | +69.2% |
| 2025-01-15 | +53.3% | −2.8% | +53.3% |
| 2025-01-17 | +51.5% | +0.0% | +57.6% |
2,799 overlapping windows · 2015-06-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
64%
+8.1%
n=11
Feb
36%
−3.0%
n=11
Mar
45%
−4.0%
n=11
Apr
55%
−2.6%
n=11
May
55%
+2.7%
n=11
Jun
82%
+12.1%
n=11
Jul
58%
+6.3%
n=12
Aug
33%
−6.1%
n=12
Sep
50%
−0.1%
n=12
Oct
36%
−0.6%
n=11
Nov
64%
+2.6%
n=11
Dec
18%
−8.3%
n=11
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 17,805 @ $6.10 | $109K | −3.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 465,535 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 9,812 @ $6.51 | $64K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 18,327 @ $6.30 | $115K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 440,538 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Sale | 7,573 @ $6.30 | $48K | −6.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 117,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 7,357 @ $6.30 | $46K | −7.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 92,832 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Sale | 6,200 @ $6.30 | $39K | −8.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 64,744 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 5,439 @ $6.30 | $34K | −35.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,812 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 274 @ $6.30 | $2K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 12,865 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $9.50 | $24K | −2.9% of holding | −30.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,878 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 653 @ $9.10 | $6K | −5.1% of holding | −29.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,267 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $9.00 | $23K | −2.8% of holding | −26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,378 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $8.50 | $21K | −2.7% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,878 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 18,074 @ $6.94 | $125K | −4.2% of holding | +24.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 414,622 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 9,572 @ $7.40 | $71K | −100.0% of holding | +31.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 19,132 @ $7.63 | $146K | −4.7% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 389,894 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Sale | 7,906 @ $7.63 | $60K | −6.7% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 110,261 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 7,679 @ $7.63 | $59K | −7.7% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 92,378 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Sale | 6,196 @ $7.63 | $47K | −9.7% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 57,671 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 5,677 @ $7.63 | $43K | −37.2% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,572 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 284 @ $7.63 | $2K | −2.6% of holding | +23.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,837 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 675 @ $5.11 | $3K | −6.2% of holding | +16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,249 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 27,731 @ $5.49 | $152K | −7.1% of holding | −7.5% | −1.3% | 364,784 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 25,086 @ $4.98 | $125K | −100.0% of holding | +7.0% | +10.2% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 50,145 @ $5.12 | $257K | −13.3% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 327,862 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Sale | 27,083 @ $5.12 | $139K | −20.8% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 103,239 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 26,647 @ $5.12 | $136K | −23.9% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 84,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Sale | 20,165 @ $5.12 | $103K | −28.5% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 50,595 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 16,314 @ $5.12 | $83K | −39.4% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 25,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 1,333 @ $5.12 | $7K | −13.1% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 8,841 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Sale | 758 @ $7.14 | $5K | −10.2% of holding | −32.3% | +15.6% | 6,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Sale | 17,138 @ $7.63 | $131K | −7.9% of holding | −9.2% | −12.2% | 201,036 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 4,209 @ $7.48 | $31K | −100.0% of holding | −4.2% | −14.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Sale | 5,720 @ $7.49 | $43K | −6.6% of holding | −6.5% | −14.3% | 80,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Sale | 4,582 @ $7.49 | $34K | −7.1% of holding | −6.5% | −14.3% | 60,054 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Sale | 3,897 @ $7.49 | $29K | −12.5% of holding | −6.5% | −14.3% | 27,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Sale | 2,324 @ $7.49 | $17K | −35.6% of holding | −6.5% | −14.3% | 4,209 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
264 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 39,160 | 117,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 3,642 | 10,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 39,160 | 483,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 3,642 | 444,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 39,160 | 483,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 3,642 | 444,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 3,642 | 444,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 39,160 | 483,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Option exercise | 833 | 5,001 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Option exercise | 8,717 | 52,302 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 5,350 | 10,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 54,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 426 | 2,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 4,859 | 9,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Grasher Michael F | officer | Award / grant | 239,616 | 239,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 54,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 1,300 | 7,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Option exercise | 1,042 | 2,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Option exercise | 39 | 232 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 42,277 | 253,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | DIVITA CHARLES III | director | Option exercise | 1,966 | 11,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Option exercise | 4,556 | 9,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Option exercise | 8,717 | 52,302 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Option exercise | 5,492 | 5,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Rodrigues Fernando M. | officer | Option exercise | 5,492 | 5,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 1,300 | 100,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 98,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 4,859 | 89,737 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 1,300 | 100,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 98,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bliss Kelly | officer | Option exercise | 4,859 | 89,737 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Option exercise | 39 | 13,139 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Catapano Joseph Ronald | officer | Option exercise | 833 | 13,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 426 | 125,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 124,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 5,350 | 115,611 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 426 | 125,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 9,152 | 124,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vandervoort Adam C | officer | Option exercise | 5,350 | 115,611 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Nueno Carlos | officer | Option exercise | 8,717 | 70,944 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.