Issued 2026-09-16 at $331.02 · now $331.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SNOW has typically landed between $254.08 and $413.98 — a range of −23.2% to +25.1% from the issuance price $331.02.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,486 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($331.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SNOW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $331.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $331.02 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $331.93 (+0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $298.49–$365.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $254.08–$413.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,486 windows spanning 2020-09-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-10 | −46.4% | −46.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-11 | −41.9% | −43.2% | +3.7% |
| 2022-02-09 | −41.4% | −41.4% | +1.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-30 | +105.3% | +0.0% | +105.3% |
| 2026-05-01 | +85.2% | −0.9% | +98.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | +81.0% | −3.4% | +81.0% |
1,486 overlapping windows · 2020-09-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
33%
−1.5%
n=6
Feb
0%
−4.8%
n=6
Mar
0%
−11.3%
n=6
Apr
33%
−5.4%
n=6
May
67%
+15.5%
n=6
Jun
67%
+4.1%
n=6
Jul
67%
+5.1%
n=6
Aug
67%
+5.2%
n=6
Sep
17%
−2.4%
n=6
Oct
33%
+4.6%
n=6
Nov
50%
+14.8%
n=6
Dec
33%
−5.3%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Beaulier Jonathan Mead | officer | Sale | 12,292 @ $336.12 | $4.1M | −5.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 213,085 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 8,191 @ $318.51 | $2.6M | −30.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 19,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Raghunathan Vivek | officer | Sale | 3,876 @ $318.51 | $1.2M | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 240,453 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 2,986 @ $318.51 | $951K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 334,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Ho Emily | officer | Sale | 768 @ $332.93 | $256K | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 39,958 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-09 | Dageville Benoit | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $335.72 | $16.8M | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,618,215 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 2,730 @ $335.72 | $917K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 319,887 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | GARRETT MARK | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $350.00 | $17.5M | −83.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,074 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 34,005 @ $353.87 | $12.0M | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,171,746 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 12,973 @ $353.87 | $4.6M | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 389,174 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 840 @ $353.87 | $297K | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 25,196 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 403 @ $353.87 | $143K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,170 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $380.00 | $3.8M | −35.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,568 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-01 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $325.57 | $4.9M | −4.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,379 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Dageville Benoit | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $309.44 | $15.5M | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,684,883 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 18,023 @ $319.98 | $5.8M | −27.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 46,840 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 12,662 @ $319.06 | $4.0M | −16.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 64,863 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 4,259 @ $320.89 | $1.4M | −9.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 42,581 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 3,988 @ $321.99 | $1.3M | −9.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,593 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 3,895 @ $324.13 | $1.3M | −11.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 30,987 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 3,711 @ $322.88 | $1.2M | −9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 34,882 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 2,392 @ $324.88 | $777K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,595 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 60 @ $325.82 | $20K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,535 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 61,332 @ $324.10 | $19.9M | −26.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 166,755 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 46,307 @ $325.96 | $15.1M | −37.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 77,911 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 42,537 @ $325.06 | $13.8M | −25.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 124,218 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 40,412 @ $323.24 | $13.1M | −15.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 228,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 12,003 @ $330.34 | $4.0M | −20.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 46,209 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 11,046 @ $322.09 | $3.6M | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 268,499 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 10,586 @ $331.35 | $3.5M | −22.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 35,623 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 9,137 @ $327.20 | $3.0M | −11.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 68,774 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 6,594 @ $328.07 | $2.2M | −9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 62,180 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 4,030 @ $332.42 | $1.3M | −11.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,593 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 3,968 @ $329.01 | $1.3M | −6.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,212 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 3,058 @ $333.37 | $1.0M | −9.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,535 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Dageville Benoit | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $335.70 | $16.8M | −1.8% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,751,551 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 34,005 @ $324.06 | $11.0M | −2.9% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,131,259 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $325.00 | $8.1M | −6.8% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 340,379 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 12,973 @ $324.06 | $4.2M | −3.1% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 402,147 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $325.00 | $1.6M | −14.9% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,568 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 840 @ $324.06 | $272K | −3.1% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,036 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Speiser Michael L | director | Sale | 403 @ $324.06 | $131K | −1.8% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,573 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $300.00 | $1.5M | −1.3% of holding | +3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 365,379 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $293.99 | $1.5M | −1.3% of holding | +3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 370,379 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $300.00 | $6.0M | −5.1% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 375,379 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $300.00 | $1.5M | −13.0% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,568 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Sale | 4,986 @ $300.00 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Dageville Benoit | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $280.00 | $14.0M | −1.7% of holding | +10.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,818,219 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 2,699 @ $277.54 | $749K | −8.2% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,318 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 1,945 @ $275.23 | $535K | −5.6% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,017 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 1,783 @ $278.24 | $496K | −5.9% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,535 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 1,297 @ $271.51 | $352K | −3.4% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,640 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 1,078 @ $272.83 | $294K | −2.9% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,562 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 632 @ $269.58 | $170K | −1.6% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,218 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 600 @ $274.08 | $164K | −1.7% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,962 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 281 @ $270.62 | $76K | −0.7% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,937 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 95,030 @ $274.51 | $26.1M | −40.7% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,600 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 59,978 @ $275.39 | $16.5M | −43.3% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 78,622 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 48,058 @ $276.26 | $13.3M | −61.1% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,564 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Slootman Frank | director | Sale | 36,567 @ $273.47 | $10.0M | −13.5% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,630 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Raghunathan Vivek | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,839 | 245,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Beaulier Jonathan Mead | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,776 | 225,377 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ramaswamy Sridhar | director | Withheld for tax | 3,975 | 465,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ramaswamy Sridhar | director | Withheld for tax | 1,735 | 463,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,567 | 339,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,456 | 338,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,343 | 336,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Raghunathan Vivek | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,074 | 244,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Dageville Benoit | director | Withheld for tax | 931 | 179,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Dageville Benoit | director | Withheld for tax | 864 | 178,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Slootman Frank | director | Withheld for tax | 815 | 27,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Slootman Frank | director | Withheld for tax | 505 | 27,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | ROBINS BRIAN G | officer | Withheld for tax | 431 | 142,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ho Emily | officer | Withheld for tax | 250 | 40,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Dageville Benoit | director | Withheld for tax | 242 | 178,134 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ho Emily | officer | Withheld for tax | 126 | 40,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Beaulier Jonathan Mead | officer | Withheld for tax | 101 | 233,153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Dageville Benoit | director | Gift | 100,000 | 2,501,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Gift | 11,238 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dageville Benoit | director | Gift | 16,668 | 2,601,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | ROBINS BRIAN G | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,915 | 143,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Ramaswamy Sridhar | director | Withheld for tax | 3,187 | 470,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,858 | 323,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Ramaswamy Sridhar | director | Withheld for tax | 1,328 | 469,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Raghunathan Vivek | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,301 | 253,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Kleinerman Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 904 | 322,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Beaulier Jonathan Mead | officer | Withheld for tax | 653 | 233,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dageville Benoit | director | Withheld for tax | 555 | 180,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Raghunathan Vivek | officer | Withheld for tax | 543 | 253,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | ROBINS BRIAN G | officer | Withheld for tax | 366 | 143,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dageville Benoit | director | Withheld for tax | 232 | 180,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Ho Emily | officer | Withheld for tax | 181 | 41,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Beaulier Jonathan Mead | officer | Withheld for tax | 174 | 233,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | GARRETT MARK | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 60,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | GARRETT MARK | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 350,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Dageville Benoit | director | Gift | 16,668 | 2,668,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Option exercise | 48,990 | 77,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Slootman Frank | director | Option exercise | 48,990 | 4,436,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Option exercise | 251,010 | 279,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Slootman Frank | director | Option exercise | 251,010 | 4,485,645 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.