Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.34 · now $8.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SMWB has typically landed between $6.22 and $10.95 — a range of −25.5% to +31.4% from the issuance price $8.34.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,322 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SMWB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.34 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.19 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.24–$9.13
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.22–$10.95
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-16 | −58.5% | −58.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | −56.4% | −56.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | −55.2% | −55.2% | +1.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-14 | +71.0% | +0.0% | +71.0% |
| 2026-06-10 | +71.0% | +0.0% | +71.0% |
| 2026-06-12 | +66.9% | +0.0% | +66.9% |
1,322 overlapping windows · 2021-05-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 26,691 @ $8.53 | $228K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,253,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 26,691 @ $8.53 | $228K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,253,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 52,900 @ $8.54 | $452K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,280,191 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 52,900 @ $8.54 | $452K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,280,191 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 59,000 @ $8.05 | $475K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,333,091 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 59,200 @ $8.06 | $477K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,392,091 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 86,300 @ $8.06 | $695K | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,451,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 60,700 @ $8.33 | $506K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,537,591 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 164,817 @ $9.00 | $1.5M | −3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 140,008 @ $9.01 | $1.3M | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 39,302 @ $9.01 | $354K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 39,000 @ $9.00 | $351K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $8.85 | $664K | −1.6% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 59,992 @ $8.90 | $534K | −1.3% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 228,500 @ $8.82 | $2.0M | −4.6% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,744,396 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 200,000 @ $8.79 | $1.8M | −4.0% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,744,396 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 106,105 @ $8.75 | $928K | −2.2% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,638,291 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $8.90 | $356K | −0.9% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,598,291 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Offer Or | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $4.15 | $208K | +1.1% of holding | +52.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,744,396 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Eilam Barak | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $3.86 | $193K | +97.4% of holding | +32.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,315 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Beit-On Harel Moshe | director | Purchase | 75,000 @ $3.89 | $292K | +0.7% of holding | +33.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,885,778 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Offer Or | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $3.58 | $179K | +1.1% of holding | +33.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,691,396 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Offer Or | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $3.55 | $11K | +0.1% of holding | +33.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,694,396 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Rapaport-Dagim Tamar | director | Purchase | 40,000 @ $3.22 | $129K | +169.6% of holding | +42.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Offer Or | director | Purchase | 3,105 @ $3.20 | $10K | +0.1% of holding | +42.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,641,396 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 164,817 | 4,763,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 140,008 | 4,738,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 39,302 | 4,637,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 39,000 | 4,637,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 140,008 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 39,000 | 700,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 39,302 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 164,817 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 59,992 | 4,658,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 4,673,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 59,992 | 140,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 739,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 228,500 | 4,972,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 200,000 | 4,944,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 228,500 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Offer Or | director | Option exercise | 200,000 | 814,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.