Issued 2026-09-25 at $66.85 · now $66.85 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, SLGL has typically landed between $47.67 and $102.33 — a range of −28.7% to +53.1% from the issuance price $66.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,151 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-02-01 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($66.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SLGL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $66.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $66.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $64.34 (-3.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $56.29–$72.38
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $47.67–$102.33
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,151 windows spanning 2018-02-01 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-07-12 | −60.9% | −61.9% | +0.0% |
| 2024-07-09 | −59.7% | −59.7% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-11 | −58.0% | −58.0% | +10.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-12-04 | +174.5% | −15.9% | +174.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | +159.6% | +0.0% | +159.6% |
| 2024-12-11 | +154.4% | −16.0% | +174.0% |
2,151 overlapping windows · 2018-02-01 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- October 2026 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: Efficacy and Safety of Patidegib Gel 2% for Preventing Basal Cell Carcinomas on the Face of Adults With Gorlin Syndrome (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
38%
+5.1%
n=8
Feb
38%
−1.4%
n=8
Mar
22%
−6.5%
n=9
Apr
33%
−0.6%
n=9
May
44%
+1.1%
n=9
Jun
67%
−1.0%
n=9
Jul
56%
+7.2%
n=9
Aug
44%
+8.4%
n=9
Sep
44%
−1.4%
n=9
Oct
25%
−6.5%
n=8
Nov
63%
+4.0%
n=8
Dec
38%
+18.8%
n=8
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,493 @ $65.94 | $98K | +0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 540,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,631 @ $66.80 | $109K | +0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 538,507 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,097 @ $68.70 | $213K | +0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 536,876 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,390 @ $68.74 | $233K | +0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 533,308 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 471 @ $69.37 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 533,779 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,100 @ $68.98 | $145K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 529,918 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 918 @ $69.52 | $64K | +0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 527,818 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 900 @ $68.95 | $62K | +0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 526,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 783 @ $69.52 | $54K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 526,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $68.23 | $341K | +1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 525,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 217 @ $69.10 | $15K | +0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 525,217 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-28 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,113 @ $68.42 | $1.4M | +4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 515,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $71.40 | $714K | +2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 494,887 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $68.81 | $344K | +1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 520,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 951 @ $71.50 | $68K | +0.2% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 494,887 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 920 @ $73.43 | $68K | +0.2% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 493,936 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 775 @ $73.89 | $57K | +0.2% of holding | +2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 493,016 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 229 @ $73.95 | $17K | +0.0% of holding | +12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 492,241 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-08 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $73.69 | $22K | +0.1% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 492,012 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,400 @ $71.97 | $101K | +0.3% of holding | +9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 491,712 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 312 @ $71.99 | $22K | +0.1% of holding | +14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 490,312 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,563 @ $64.43 | $101K | +0.3% of holding | +12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 490,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,937 @ $66.87 | $130K | +0.4% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 488,437 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,500 @ $67.98 | $102K | +0.3% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 486,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 34,665 @ $72.00 | $2.5M | +7.7% of holding | −18.1% | −43.2% | 485,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-24 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $72.00 | $360K | +50.0% of holding | −18.1% | −43.2% | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-13 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 291 @ $63.00 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | +20.3% | +9.6% | 450,335 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $58.00 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | +38.5% | +19.5% | 450,944 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-27 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $57.05 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | +52.0% | +34.5% | 449,944 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,151 @ $55.98 | $64K | +0.3% of holding | +50.2% | +28.8% | 449,844 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-22 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,173 @ $56.57 | $123K | +0.5% of holding | +41.7% | +34.7% | 448,693 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 198 @ $42.98 | $9K | +0.0% of holding | +49.5% | +60.2% | 447,331 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,394 @ $41.92 | $100K | +0.5% of holding | +55.9% | +76.1% | 447,133 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-31 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 22,497 @ $41.99 | $945K | +5.3% of holding | +51.1% | +65.1% | 443,739 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-30 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 35,169 @ $41.99 | $1.5M | +9.1% of holding | +50.5% | +65.3% | 421,242 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-29 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 8,638 @ $41.85 | $362K | +2.3% of holding | +35.7% | +52.6% | 386,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-26 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,626 @ $41.68 | $68K | +0.4% of holding | +51.0% | +68.4% | 377,435 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-23 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 260 @ $41.66 | $11K | +0.1% of holding | +32.1% | +63.7% | 375,809 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,019 @ $41.15 | $42K | +0.3% of holding | +38.0% | +64.6% | 375,549 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,735 @ $40.37 | $110K | +0.7% of holding | +74.0% | +67.6% | 374,530 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 87 @ $40.00 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | +72.2% | +76.1% | 371,795 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $39.77 | $12K | +0.1% of holding | +31.4% | +68.3% | 371,708 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 444 @ $39.50 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | +30.6% | +80.1% | 371,408 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,524 @ $37.81 | $95K | +0.7% of holding | +10.2% | +87.6% | 370,964 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,340 @ $37.37 | $162K | +1.2% of holding | +8.4% | +73.4% | 368,440 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 943 @ $40.00 | $38K | +0.3% of holding | +8.0% | +60.8% | 364,100 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 6 @ $35.50 | $213 | +0.0% of holding | +0.7% | +66.8% | 363,157 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,784 @ $35.83 | $207K | +1.6% of holding | +12.7% | +92.7% | 363,151 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.