Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.12 · now $32.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RM has typically landed between $26.86 and $38.49 — a range of −16.4% to +19.8% from the issuance price $32.12.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,605 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-03-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $32.12 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.85 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.43–$34.27
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.86–$38.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,605 windows spanning 2012-03-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −59.4% | −59.4% | +2.5% |
| 2020-03-05 | −59.0% | −59.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-06 | −57.3% | −58.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-13 | +71.3% | +0.0% | +92.1% |
| 2020-05-14 | +60.1% | +0.0% | +80.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | +57.0% | −12.9% | +67.4% |
3,605 overlapping windows · 2012-03-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
36%
−0.7%
n=14
Feb
43%
−0.8%
n=14
Mar
43%
−5.6%
n=14
Apr
80%
+2.1%
n=15
May
53%
+2.1%
n=15
Jun
73%
+4.7%
n=15
Jul
73%
+5.9%
n=15
Aug
60%
+1.3%
n=15
Sep
53%
−1.1%
n=15
Oct
71%
−0.8%
n=14
Nov
57%
+4.4%
n=14
Dec
64%
+2.9%
n=14
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,159 @ $31.65 | $37K | −4.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,118 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Sale | 200 @ $35.00 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,507 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Lamba Lakhbir S. | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $31.76 | $111K | +6.7% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,734 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Lamba Lakhbir S. | director | Purchase | 6,500 @ $31.59 | $205K | +14.2% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,234 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Barnette Steven B | officer | Sale | 3,274 @ $43.30 | $142K | −19.6% of holding | −26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,472 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Barnette Steven B | officer | Sale | 1,600 @ $42.04 | $67K | −8.7% of holding | −22.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,746 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Johnson Sandra K. | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $36.00 | $36K | −4.4% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,933 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $35.06 | $105K | −6.8% of holding | +8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,942 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-29 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,916 @ $38.50 | $112K | −0.3% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 948,458 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,101 @ $39.59 | $83K | −0.2% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 951,374 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,788 @ $40.18 | $233K | −0.6% of holding | −13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 953,475 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-20 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $39.68 | $595K | −1.5% of holding | −18.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 959,263 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,173 @ $38.56 | $277K | −0.7% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 974,263 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Sale | 2,961 @ $38.95 | $115K | −9.6% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,745 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-17 | Barnette Steven B | officer | Sale | 1,600 @ $40.00 | $64K | −8.0% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,346 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,827 @ $38.48 | $494K | −1.3% of holding | −16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 981,436 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 17,602 @ $38.06 | $670K | −1.7% of holding | −15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 994,263 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Sale | 14,978 @ $38.09 | $571K | −32.2% of holding | −15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,524 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Sale | 5,457 @ $38.09 | $208K | −16.4% of holding | −15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,398 @ $38.02 | $281K | −0.7% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,011,865 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Sale | 3,009 @ $38.06 | $115K | −6.1% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,502 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $38.07 | $114K | −8.3% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,202 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Campos Roel C | director | Purchase | 953 @ $32.07 | $31K | +0.8% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,154 | Form 4 · filed 27 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,310 @ $34.05 | $45K | −0.3% of holding | +5.4% | −8.4% | 425,606 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 980 @ $34.05 | $33K | −0.4% of holding | +5.4% | −8.4% | 261,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 259 @ $34.05 | $9K | −0.2% of holding | +5.4% | −8.4% | 103,611 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 57 @ $34.05 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +5.4% | −8.4% | 24,277 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 22 @ $34.05 | $749 | −0.4% of holding | +5.4% | −8.4% | 4,908 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 3,201 @ $34.51 | $110K | −0.7% of holding | −1.2% | −15.4% | 426,916 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 2,391 @ $34.51 | $83K | −0.9% of holding | −1.2% | −15.4% | 262,287 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 632 @ $34.51 | $22K | −0.6% of holding | −1.2% | −15.4% | 103,870 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 138 @ $34.51 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | −1.2% | −15.4% | 24,334 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 54 @ $34.51 | $2K | −1.1% of holding | −1.2% | −15.4% | 4,930 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $35.02 | $91K | −5.6% of holding | −8.1% | −17.7% | 43,942 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Sale | 400 @ $35.04 | $14K | −0.9% of holding | −6.6% | −15.6% | 46,542 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 809 @ $38.62 | $31K | −0.1% of holding | −8.7% | +4.4% | 1,019,263 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 500 @ $39.25 | $20K | −0.0% of holding | −9.7% | +4.2% | 1,020,072 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,837 @ $38.94 | $811K | −2.0% of holding | −10.8% | +3.4% | 1,021,296 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-09 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 724 @ $39.64 | $29K | −0.1% of holding | −10.8% | +3.4% | 1,020,572 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-08 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 18,294 @ $38.79 | $710K | −1.7% of holding | −11.6% | +3.7% | 1,042,133 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300 @ $39.05 | $12K | −0.0% of holding | −7.1% | +5.8% | 1,060,427 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,576 @ $38.88 | $295K | −0.7% of holding | −9.7% | +1.5% | 1,060,727 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,827 @ $40.09 | $354K | −0.8% of holding | +1.5% | −5.6% | 1,068,303 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Forager Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,968 @ $38.93 | $310K | −0.7% of holding | −2.5% | −1.4% | 1,077,130 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 25,514 @ $37.80 | $964K | −5.6% of holding | −0.8% | −7.8% | 430,117 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 16,740 @ $37.80 | $633K | −5.9% of holding | −0.8% | −7.8% | 264,678 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 6,605 @ $37.80 | $250K | −5.9% of holding | −0.8% | −7.8% | 104,502 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,603 @ $37.80 | $61K | −6.1% of holding | −0.8% | −7.8% | 24,472 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 316 @ $37.80 | $12K | −6.0% of holding | −0.8% | −7.8% | 4,984 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 7,828 @ $36.68 | $287K | −2.7% of holding | +4.2% | −6.9% | 281,418 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 3,091 @ $36.68 | $113K | −2.7% of holding | +4.2% | −6.9% | 111,107 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 138 @ $36.68 | $5K | −2.5% of holding | +4.2% | −6.9% | 5,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Dunn Michael R | director | Sale | 5,580 @ $37.46 | $209K | −5.1% of holding | +5.0% | −11.4% | 103,109 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Dunn Michael R | director | Sale | 4,420 @ $37.44 | $165K | −3.9% of holding | +5.5% | −13.0% | 108,689 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 778 @ $37.59 | $29K | −0.3% of holding | +2.4% | −19.0% | 289,246 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 739 @ $37.59 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | +2.4% | −19.0% | 455,631 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 307 @ $37.59 | $12K | −0.3% of holding | +2.4% | −19.0% | 114,198 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 63 @ $37.59 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +2.4% | −19.0% | 26,075 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 15 @ $37.59 | $564 | −0.3% of holding | +2.4% | −19.0% | 5,438 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-26 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 778 @ $39.53 | $31K | −0.3% of holding | −0.9% | −16.8% | 290,024 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Award / grant | 23,764 | 453,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Award / grant | 4,064 | 429,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Barnette Steven B | officer | Award / grant | 4,393 | 17,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Award / grant | 17,466 | 63,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Parmar Manish | officer | Award / grant | 10,695 | 71,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Award / grant | 13,247 | 46,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Award / grant | 8,321 | 55,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Johnson Sandra K. | director | Gift | 1,360 | 20,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Contreras-Sweet Maria | director | Award / grant | 3,829 | 39,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Dunn Michael R | director | Award / grant | 3,583 | 106,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Freiberg Steven J | director | Award / grant | 3,829 | 142,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Johnson Sandra K. | director | Award / grant | 3,583 | 22,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Palomares Carlos | director | Award / grant | 4,286 | 74,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Booth Julie | director | Award / grant | 3,829 | 8,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Award / grant | 3,337 | 34,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Brown Jonathan David | director | Award / grant | 3,337 | 34,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Campos Roel C | director | Award / grant | 3,583 | 117,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Parmar Manish | officer | Award / grant | 5,125 | 61,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Lamba Lakhbir S. | director | Award / grant | 36,613 | 45,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Award / grant | 6,444 | 47,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Award / grant | 5,125 | 32,870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Award / grant | 14,645 | 46,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,957 | 30,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 8,918 | 36,663 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 8,918 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Palomares Carlos | director | Withheld for tax | 4,589 | 69,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Palomares Carlos | director | Option exercise | 9,188 | 74,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Palomares Carlos | director | Option exercise | 9,188 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,500 | 49,511 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,657 | 36,202 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,228 | 46,942 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Parmar Manish | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,124 | 56,027 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Rana Harpreet | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,041 | 56,011 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,589 | 39,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Barnette Steven B | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,392 | 19,946 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Parmar Manish | officer | Withheld for tax | 816 | 58,151 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Atwood Catherine R | officer | Withheld for tax | 703 | 49,170 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,609 | 55,088 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Fisher Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 12,379 | 62,697 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Lamba Lakhbir S. | director | Award / grant | 9,121 | 9,121 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.