PRGOPerrigo Company plcas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.54 · now $13.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PRGO has typically landed between $11.29 and $15.49 — a range of −16.6% to +14.4% from the issuance price $13.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PRGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$11.29worst · -16.6%$15.49best · +14.4%
  • now $13.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.46 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.62–$14.29
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.29–$15.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-10-22−43.4%−43.4%+1.3%
2025-10-21−41.5%−41.5%+0.0%
2025-10-23−41.2%−43.0%+2.0%
3 best
2026-07-14+46.3%+0.0%+49.1%
2026-07-10+44.4%−3.1%+44.4%
2026-07-15+44.2%+0.0%+45.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+1.7%
n=18
Feb
53%
−1.4%
n=19
Mar
63%
+3.2%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.6%
n=19
May
32%
−2.1%
n=19
Jun
53%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+3.1%
n=19
Aug
32%
−0.2%
n=19
Sep
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Oct
33%
−1.5%
n=18
Nov
50%
−1.9%
n=18
Dec
44%
−2.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$92025-11-12: 1 insider purchase, $106K — Parker Geoffrey M.2025-09-08: 1 insider purchase, $28K — Lennox Abigail2025-09-05: 1 insider purchase, $23K — Atkinson Charles2025-08-22: 1 insider purchase, $36K — Willis Robert2025-08-18: 2 insider purchases, $169K — Parker Geoffrey M., Bezerra Eduardo Guarita2025-08: 6 open-market purchases, $304K2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $51K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $106K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Parker Geoffrey M. — Purchase on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lennox Abigail — Purchase on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Atkinson Charles — Purchase on 2025-09-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Willis Robert — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed same daydirector Parker Geoffrey M. — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bezerra Eduardo Guarita — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-11-12Parker Geoffrey M.directorPurchase7,500 @ $14.18$106K+75.9% of holding−4.9%−30.4%17,375Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08Lennox AbigailofficerPurchase1,255 @ $22.41$28Kownership Δ n/a−6.3%−57.7%1,255Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-05Atkinson CharlesofficerPurchase1,000 @ $23.20$23Kownership Δ n/a−6.7%−57.9%1,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Willis RobertofficerPurchase1,488 @ $24.10$36K+3.7% of holding−15.8%−45.4%41,939Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18Parker Geoffrey M.directorPurchase4,375 @ $22.97$100K+15.1% of holding−9.6%−41.8%33,287Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18Bezerra Eduardo GuaritaofficerPurchase3,000 @ $22.74$68K+6.5% of holding−9.6%−41.8%48,949Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08Lockwood-Taylor PatrickdirectorPurchase4,060 @ $22.37$91K+5.0% of holding−2.1%−43.8%85,412Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-08Lockwood-Taylor PatrickdirectorPurchase346 @ $22.38$8K+0.4% of holding−2.1%−43.8%85,758Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-08Lockwood-Taylor PatrickdirectorPurchase54 @ $22.37$1K+0.1% of holding−2.1%−43.8%85,812Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Parker Geoffrey M.directorOption exercise1,26334,480Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorOption exercise1,26346,728Form 4
2026-09-11Parker Geoffrey M.directorWithheld for tax60733,873Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorWithheld for tax60746,121Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorOption exercise1,2630Form 4
2026-09-11Parker Geoffrey M.directorOption exercise1,2630Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorAward / grant2,0592,059Form 4
2026-09-11Parker Geoffrey M.directorOption exercise1,2630Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorAward / grant2,0592,059Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorOption exercise1,2630Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorAward / grant2,0592,059Form 4
2026-09-11Alford Bradley AdirectorOption exercise1,2630Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerOption exercise7,70114,448Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerWithheld for tax2,78411,664Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerOption exercise7,7010Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerOption exercise7,7010Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerOption exercise7,7010Form 4
2026-09-09Ball DavidofficerOption exercise7,7010Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerOption exercise15,66015,660Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerWithheld for tax8,1757,485Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerOption exercise1,8439,328Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerWithheld for tax9638,365Form 4
2026-07-08Khoury RobertoofficerOption exercise73714,498Form 4
2026-07-08Khoury RobertoofficerWithheld for tax38514,113Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerOption exercise1,8433,684Form 4
2026-07-08Khoury RobertoofficerOption exercise7371,474Form 4
2026-07-08Manzone AlbertdirectorAward / grant235,627235,627Form 4
2026-07-08Amin Ahmed SalmandirectorAward / grant14,96414,964Form 4
2026-07-08Gajial Muhammad OmerdirectorAward / grant14,96414,964Form 4
2026-07-08Gajial Muhammad OmerdirectorAward / grant14,96414,964Form 4
2026-07-08Amin Ahmed SalmandirectorAward / grant14,96414,964Form 4
2026-07-08Atkinson CharlesofficerAward / grant123,704123,704Form 4
2026-07-08Ball DavidofficerAward / grant70,68870,688Form 4
2026-07-08Bezerra Eduardo GuaritaofficerAward / grant141,376141,376Form 4
2026-07-08Khoury RobertoofficerAward / grant113,101113,101Form 4
2026-07-08Lennox AbigailofficerAward / grant84,82684,826Form 4
2026-07-08Lennox AbigailofficerAward / grant84,82684,826Form 4
2026-07-08Willis RobertofficerAward / grant60,08560,085Form 4
2026-07-08Winterman Matthew JohnofficerAward / grant70,68870,688Form 4
2026-07-08Atkinson CharlesofficerAward / grant123,704123,704Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-28$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-28$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-26$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-26$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-23$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-22$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-22$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-05$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-05$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-02$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-02$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-01$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-01$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-07-192023-06-29$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.