Issued 2026-09-17 at $3.58 · now $3.40 (2026-09-18, −5.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, PNNT has typically landed between $3.18 and $3.93 — a range of −11.3% to +9.9% from the issuance price $3.58.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,864 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-04-19 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($3.58) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PNNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $3.58 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.4 (-5.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.61 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.46–$3.76
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.18–$3.93
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −68.4% | −68.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −67.6% | −67.6% | +0.3% |
| 2020-02-24 | −64.0% | −68.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-30 | +70.0% | +0.0% | +70.0% |
| 2008-11-19 | +68.5% | −6.0% | +68.5% |
| 2020-10-28 | +61.3% | +0.0% | +61.3% |
4,865 overlapping windows · 2007-04-19 – 2026-09-18 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Allorto Richard T JR | officer | Purchase | 15,000 @ $4.88 | $73K | +100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −32.2% | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 121,533 @ $5.92 | $719K | −79.0% of holding | +2.3% | −37.8% | 32,382 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $5.85 | $117K | −11.5% of holding | +2.0% | −37.8% | 153,915 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 23,303 @ $5.78 | $135K | −11.8% of holding | +4.7% | −37.1% | 173,915 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $5.75 | $58K | −4.8% of holding | +6.5% | −35.5% | 197,218 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 21,100 @ $6.04 | $127K | −9.2% of holding | +2.2% | −39.8% | 207,218 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 4,235 @ $5.91 | $25K | +1.6% of holding | +2.2% | −39.8% | 274,722 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $6.06 | $91K | −6.2% of holding | −1.6% | −41.1% | 228,318 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Flug Jeffrey | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $6.03 | $151K | −9.3% of holding | −3.6% | −41.8% | 243,318 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 1,515 @ $6.59 | $10K | +0.6% of holding | −0.5% | −12.9% | 270,487 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 3,640 @ $6.88 | $25K | +1.4% of holding | −3.2% | −15.9% | 268,972 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-27 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 3,675 @ $6.79 | $25K | +1.4% of holding | +6.5% | +7.0% | 265,332 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.