Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.15 · now $7.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PAYO has typically landed between $5.59 and $8.76 — a range of −21.8% to +22.5% from the issuance price $7.15.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,464 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PAYO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.15 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.13 (-0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.54–$7.72
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.59–$8.76
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-02-06 | −34.8% | −34.8% | +0.0% |
| 2021-12-28 | −33.7% | −33.7% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-07 | −33.3% | −33.5% | +1.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-15 | +52.6% | +0.0% | +52.8% |
| 2026-05-19 | +46.2% | +0.0% | +46.5% |
| 2026-05-18 | +46.2% | +0.0% | +46.5% |
1,464 overlapping windows · 2020-10-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $7.01 | $175K | −0.9% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,887,266 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Galit Scott H. | director | Sale | 479,720 @ $6.74 | $3.2M | −30.5% of holding | −5.8% | −30.9% | 1,092,784 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Galit Scott H. | director | Sale | 612,731 @ $6.68 | $4.1M | −35.9% of holding | −1.2% | −29.3% | 1,092,784 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Morgan Susanna | director | Sale | 16,180 @ $6.77 | $110K | −16.7% of holding | −2.8% | −31.1% | 80,902 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Perry Itai | officer | Sale | 46,923 @ $8.11 | $381K | −19.1% of holding | −3.8% | −27.8% | 198,784 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Sale | 85,000 @ $10.40 | $884K | −3.6% of holding | −0.3% | −39.9% | 2,305,245 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | Galit Scott H. | director | Sale | 242,056 @ $10.30 | $2.5M | −17.6% of holding | −0.0% | −44.1% | 1,131,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Galit Scott H. | director | Sale | 242,055 @ $10.26 | $2.5M | −15.0% of holding | +3.0% | −39.4% | 1,373,235 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Sale | 96,350 @ $10.07 | $970K | −11.5% of holding | +3.8% | −40.2% | 741,748 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Sale | 263,873 @ $10.10 | $2.7M | −26.2% of holding | +1.1% | −35.4% | 741,748 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
136 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 6,936 | 5,654,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,303 | 2,786,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,652 | 970,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 34,563 | 5,661,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 25,873 | 5,696,405 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,321 | 2,790,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,160 | 971,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,282 | 977,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,194 | 2,802,587 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,369 | 995,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-16 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 60,485 | 2,826,781 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Goldman Amir | director | Gift | 500,000 | 2,257,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Marshall Christopher P | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 65,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Williams Rich | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 235,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | PATSLEY PAMELA H | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 240,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Eilam Barak | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 66,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Goldman Amir | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 87,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Morgan Susanna | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 141,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caro del Castillo Sharda | director | Award / grant | 31,298 | 142,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 69,125 | 5,722,278 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,303 | 2,912,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,652 | 1,020,646 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 25,873 | 5,832,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,321 | 2,915,569 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,161 | 1,022,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,194 | 2,927,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,282 | 1,028,459 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,369 | 1,045,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 60,485 | 2,952,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 69,125 | 5,858,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,913 | 1,056,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Perry Itai | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,014 | 175,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Caplan John | director | Withheld for tax | 27,740 | 5,927,899 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,210 | 3,012,569 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,605 | 1,063,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Award / grant | 95,545 | 3,025,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Ordonez Beatrice | officer | Award / grant | 755,033 | 2,930,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Award / grant | 377,516 | 1,021,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Goldman Tsafi | officer | Award / grant | 47,773 | 1,069,628 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Caplan John | director | Award / grant | 1,069,630 | 5,754,994 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.