OSUR · TickerCove

OSUROraSure Technologies, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Suppliesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.48 · now $3.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OSUR has typically landed between $2.78 and $4.23 — a range of −20.2% to +21.7% from the issuance price $3.48.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.48 · 57% of range

$2.11 low$4.5 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−3.1%

typical move · IQR 17.8%

−20.2%worst (p90)+21.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OSUR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.48 (+0.0%)
typical $3.37 (-3.1%)
middle 50% $3.06–$3.68
90% range $2.78–$4.23

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-05-13	−49.3%	−49.8%	+2.8%
2022-05-19	−49.0%	−50.1%	+2.2%
2022-05-23	−48.7%	−51.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23	+118.9%	+0.0%	+118.9%
2020-03-25	+115.3%	+0.0%	+116.4%
2020-03-24	+112.5%	−1.8%	+112.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+3.1%

n=20

Feb

35%

−3.9%

n=20

Mar

50%

+5.3%

n=20

Apr

45%

+0.4%

n=20

May

30%

−4.5%

n=20

Jun

45%

−4.3%

n=20

Jul

65%

+6.0%

n=20

Aug

50%

+1.3%

n=20

Sep

50%

+2.4%

n=20

Oct

45%

+1.4%

n=20

Nov

50%

+1.4%

n=20

Dec

50%

+2.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-14	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.99	$75K	+28.3% of holding	+40.5%	not yet — horizon still open	113,462	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $3.02	$76K	+39.4% of holding	+37.6%	not yet — horizon still open	88,462	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.98	$75K	+65.0% of holding	+41.1%	not yet — horizon still open	63,462	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-20	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Purchase	32,300 @ $2.93	$95K	+5.8% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	589,562	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-20	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Purchase	32,300 @ $2.93	$95K	+1.5% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	2,190,874	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Purchase	22,022 @ $3.00	$66K	+1.0% of holding	+2.9%	−2.0%	2,158,574	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Purchase	22,021 @ $3.00	$66K	+4.1% of holding	+2.9%	−2.0%	557,262	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-28	Gagliano Nancy J	director	Purchase	2,100 @ $2.37	$5K	+1.3% of holding	+3.0%	+56.3%	160,254	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-28	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Purchase	28,670 @ $3.49	$100K	+2.3% of holding	+2.4%	−14.1%	1,288,334	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-27	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Purchase	78,625 @ $3.15	$247K	+6.7% of holding	+14.3%	−6.5%	1,259,664	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Purchase	64,000 @ $3.15	$202K	+20.8% of holding	+14.3%	−6.5%	371,013	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27	Kenny John P.	director	Purchase	47,659 @ $3.17	$151K	+204.9% of holding	+14.3%	−6.5%	70,915	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27	Gagliano Nancy J	director	Purchase	12,750 @ $3.08	$39K	+16.2% of holding	+14.3%	−6.5%	91,524	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27	Marmora Lelio	director	Purchase	7,000 @ $3.06	$21K	+11.5% of holding	+14.3%	−6.5%	67,720	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

61 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-06	Kenny John P.	director	Withheld for tax	5,116	204,598	Form 4
2026-06-26	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Award / grant	3,666	163,234	Form 4
2026-06-03	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Award / grant	46,106	159,568	Form 4
2026-06-03	Gagliano Nancy J	director	Award / grant	46,106	185,055	Form 4
2026-06-03	Kenny John P.	director	Award / grant	46,106	209,714	Form 4
2026-06-03	Marmora Lelio	director	Award / grant	46,106	148,460	Form 4
2026-06-03	McMahon Robert W.	director	Award / grant	46,106	123,137	Form 4
2026-06-03	Bertrand John D.	director	Award / grant	46,106	79,767	Form 4
2026-05-13	Marmora Lelio	director	Withheld for tax	28,406	102,354	Form 4
2026-05-13	McMahon Robert W.	director	Withheld for tax	22,888	77,031	Form 4
2026-05-13	Gagliano Nancy J	director	Withheld for tax	21,305	138,949	Form 4
2026-05-12	Bertrand John D.	director	Award / grant	33,661	33,661	Form 4
2026-03-26	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Award / grant	5,246	39,878	Form 4
2026-03-26	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Withheld for tax	1,416	38,462	Form 4
2026-03-02	Anthony Michele Marie	officer	Award / grant	42,982	185,788	Form 4
2026-03-02	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Award / grant	355,464	2,136,552	Form 4
2026-03-02	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Award / grant	88,348	535,241	Form 4
2026-03-01	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Withheld for tax	122,655	1,781,088	Form 4
2026-03-01	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Withheld for tax	56,116	1,903,743	Form 4
2026-03-01	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	20,745	446,893	Form 4
2026-03-01	Anthony Michele Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	10,817	142,806	Form 4
2026-03-01	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	7,639	467,638	Form 4
2026-03-01	Anthony Michele Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	4,062	153,623	Form 4
2026-03-01	Anthony Michele Marie	officer	Award / grant	14,183	157,685	Form 4
2026-03-01	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Award / grant	26,814	475,277	Form 4
2026-03-01	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Award / grant	129,032	1,959,859	Form 4
2025-12-17	Kenny John P.	director	Award / grant	10,286	163,608	Form 4
2025-10-28	Boyd Steven Kyle	director	Award / grant	34,632	34,632	Form 4
2025-09-24	Kenny John P.	director	Award / grant	6,118	153,322	Form 4
2025-08-08	McGrath Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	12,524	448,463	Form 4
2025-07-31	McMahon Robert W.	director	Withheld for tax	7,317	99,919	Form 4
2025-06-24	Kenny John P.	director	Award / grant	6,657	147,204	Form 4
2025-06-04	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Withheld for tax	146,000	1,878,076	Form 4
2025-06-04	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Withheld for tax	47,249	1,830,827	Form 4
2025-06-04	EGLINTON MANNER CARRIE	director	Award / grant	335,710	2,024,076	Form 4
2025-05-14	Marmora Lelio	director	Award / grant	71,017	130,760	Form 4
2025-05-14	Aspinall Mara G.	director	Award / grant	71,017	178,758	Form 4
2025-05-14	Gagliano Nancy J	director	Award / grant	71,017	158,154	Form 4
2025-05-14	Kenny John P.	director	Award / grant	71,017	140,547	Form 4
2025-05-14	McMahon Robert W.	director	Award / grant	71,017	107,236	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i