Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.34 · now $32.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OSCR has typically landed between $22.75 and $47.47 — a range of −29.7% to +46.8% from the issuance price $32.34.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,371 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-03-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where OSCR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $32.34 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.54 (+0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.97–$38.1
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.75–$47.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,371 windows spanning 2021-03-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-11-01 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-02 | −48.5% | −49.1% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | −48.2% | −49.1% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-01-19 | +88.6% | +0.0% | +91.9% |
| 2023-03-16 | +87.5% | −2.3% | +101.2% |
| 2023-01-17 | +87.5% | −2.3% | +87.5% |
1,371 overlapping windows · 2021-03-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+20.3%
n=5
Feb
60%
+13.2%
n=5
Mar
40%
+4.0%
n=5
Apr
50%
+6.4%
n=6
May
83%
+4.5%
n=6
Jun
50%
+7.6%
n=6
Jul
50%
−2.4%
n=6
Aug
50%
+2.7%
n=6
Sep
67%
+2.2%
n=6
Oct
0%
−11.9%
n=5
Nov
40%
−0.3%
n=5
Dec
20%
−12.4%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 31,422 @ $31.45 | $988K | −6.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 449,444 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 28,869 @ $31.45 | $908K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,046,108 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Liang Janet | director | Sale | 10,360 @ $31.45 | $326K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 248,697 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | McAnaney Adam | officer | Sale | 9,092 @ $31.45 | $286K | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 209,004 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Baltrus Victoria | officer | Sale | 958 @ $31.45 | $30K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 213,631 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 150,000 @ $30.79 | $4.6M | −23.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 480,866 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 600,000 @ $30.34 | $18.2M | −55.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 480,866 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $31.74 | $595K | −25.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 56,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 30,228 @ $31.65 | $957K | −100.0% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 13,672 @ $30.80 | $421K | −31.1% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,228 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 3,600 @ $29.50 | $106K | −7.6% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,900 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 488,654 @ $28.35 | $13.9M | −5.8% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,887,160 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 135,590 @ $28.97 | $3.9M | −1.7% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,751,570 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 555,826 @ $29.17 | $16.2M | −6.2% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,434,740 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 58,926 @ $30.08 | $1.8M | −0.7% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,375,814 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 441,373 @ $29.11 | $12.8M | −4.6% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,140,361 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 149,795 @ $29.79 | $4.5M | −1.6% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,990,566 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 597,942 @ $28.60 | $17.1M | −5.9% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,598,934 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Sale | 17,200 @ $29.08 | $500K | −0.2% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,581,734 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 591,213 @ $29.58 | $17.5M | −55.1% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 482,665 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 286,988 @ $28.95 | $8.3M | −21.1% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,073,878 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 33,592 @ $29.58 | $994K | −99.7% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 102 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 33,591 @ $29.58 | $994K | −99.7% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 102 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 31,912 @ $29.58 | $944K | −99.7% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 97 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 16,307 @ $28.95 | $472K | −32.6% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,693 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 16,306 @ $28.95 | $472K | −32.6% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,694 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 15,491 @ $28.95 | $448K | −32.6% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,009 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 1,799 @ $30.09 | $54K | −0.4% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 480,866 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 102 @ $30.09 | $3K | −100.0% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 97 @ $30.09 | $3K | −100.0% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 24,452 @ $21.74 | $532K | −4.7% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 490,534 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 22,706 @ $21.74 | $494K | −2.1% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,083,954 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 9,668 @ $22.45 | $217K | −2.0% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 480,866 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 8,977 @ $22.45 | $202K | −0.8% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,074,977 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Liang Janet | director | Sale | 8,940 @ $21.74 | $194K | −3.3% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 262,592 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | McAnaney Adam | officer | Sale | 7,065 @ $21.74 | $154K | −3.1% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,890 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Liang Janet | director | Sale | 3,535 @ $22.45 | $79K | −1.3% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 259,057 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | McAnaney Adam | officer | Sale | 2,794 @ $22.45 | $63K | −1.3% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 218,096 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Baltrus Victoria | officer | Sale | 1,091 @ $21.74 | $24K | −0.5% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 215,021 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Baltrus Victoria | officer | Sale | 432 @ $22.45 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | +53.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 214,589 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 110,000 @ $25.03 | $2.8M | −9.0% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,106,660 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 91,259 @ $23.10 | $2.1M | −6.9% of holding | +25.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,225,401 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 8,741 @ $23.79 | $208K | −0.7% of holding | +25.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,216,660 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Bertolini Mark T | director | Purchase | 1,000,000 @ $11.92 | $11.9M | +10.9% of holding | +30.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,196,876 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 24,335 @ $13.39 | $326K | −4.5% of holding | −13.0% | +102.0% | 514,986 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 19,221 @ $13.39 | $257K | −1.3% of holding | −13.0% | +102.0% | 1,466,660 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | McAnaney Adam | officer | Sale | 18,710 @ $13.39 | $251K | −7.6% of holding | −13.0% | +102.0% | 227,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Liang Janet | director | Sale | 7,453 @ $13.39 | $100K | −2.7% of holding | −13.0% | +102.0% | 271,532 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Baltrus Victoria | officer | Sale | 4,638 @ $13.39 | $62K | −2.1% of holding | −13.0% | +102.0% | 216,112 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 23,038 @ $17.65 | $407K | −6.2% of holding | −25.7% | +77.8% | 350,180 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 76,962 @ $17.01 | $1.3M | −18.0% of holding | −22.2% | +79.6% | 350,180 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 96,928 @ $15.64 | $1.5M | −21.7% of holding | −20.0% | +77.0% | 350,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 137,933 @ $15.02 | $2.1M | −27.7% of holding | −8.0% | +97.9% | 360,215 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-24 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 38,835 @ $15.00 | $583K | −8.1% of holding | −1.1% | +89.4% | 438,348 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Blackley Richard Scott | director | Sale | 25,135 @ $16.59 | $417K | −1.8% of holding | −11.7% | +28.3% | 1,351,034 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 23,965 @ $16.59 | $398K | −4.8% of holding | −11.7% | +28.3% | 477,183 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Liang Janet | director | Sale | 7,338 @ $16.59 | $122K | −4.1% of holding | −11.7% | +28.3% | 172,527 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Baltrus Victoria | officer | Sale | 4,149 @ $16.59 | $69K | −2.0% of holding | −11.7% | +28.3% | 203,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | McAnaney Adam | officer | Sale | 1,852 @ $16.59 | $31K | −1.0% of holding | −11.7% | +28.3% | 179,241 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Schlosser Mario | director | Sale | 105,300 @ $15.05 | $1.6M | −17.4% of holding | +10.4% | +45.7% | 501,148 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 1,362,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 2,990,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 150,000 | 1,212,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 150,000 | 630,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 150,000 | 630,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 150,000 | 630,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 150,000 | 630,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 1,812,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 600,000 | 1,212,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 3,140,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 600,000 | 1,080,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 600,000 | 1,080,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 600,000 | 1,080,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 600,000 | 1,080,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Sankaran Sid | director | Award / grant | 858 | 2,061 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Gassen William | director | Award / grant | 684 | 7,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Plouffe David | director | Award / grant | 681 | 7,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 538,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 47,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 47,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 660,000 | 2,092,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 880,000 | 1,212,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 50,000 | 283,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Option exercise | 660,000 | 3,740,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 585,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 47,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 880,000 | 1,360,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 880,000 | 1,360,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 47,500 | 47,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schlosser Mario | director | Conversion | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Gassen William | director | Award / grant | 8,475 | 82,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lang Laura W | director | Award / grant | 8,475 | 82,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | WITTMAN VANESSA AMES | director | Award / grant | 8,475 | 137,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Sankaran Sid | director | Award / grant | 8,475 | 22,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Plouffe David | director | Award / grant | 8,475 | 137,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | BOYD JEFFERY H | director | Award / grant | 3,610 | 69,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Plouffe David | director | Award / grant | 1,461 | 6,854 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.