ODTXOdyssey Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.12 · now $23.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ODTX has typically landed between $19.83 and $32.32 — a range of −14.2% to +39.8% from the issuance price $23.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

69 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-082026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ODTX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$19.83worst · -14.2%$32.32best · +39.8%
  • now $23.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.13 (+8.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.08$28.18
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $19.83$32.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 69 windows spanning 2026-05-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-05-11−7.2%−7.2%+2.8%
2026-06-04−6.4%−6.4%+12.2%
2026-05-12−6.1%−9.5%+0.2%
3 best
2026-07-23+49.3%+0.0%+49.3%
2026-07-29+43.9%+0.0%+46.2%
2026-07-28+39.0%−2.1%+43.2%

69 overlapping windows · 2026-05-082026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$29$162026-05-11: 6 insider purchases, $55.2M — TPG GP A, LLC, Li Nan (LN), SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, Chu Shelley …2026-05-11: 3 insider sales, $32K — SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC …2026-05-08: 3 insider purchases, $20.1M — Dimension Capital II, L.P., LEIDEN JEFFREY M, Haas Jason2026-05: 9 open-market purchases, $75.3M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $32K↑ buys↓ salesother TPG GP A, LLC — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Li Nan (LN) — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Chu Shelley — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same daytenPercentOwner SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Dimension Capital II, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LEIDEN JEFFREY M — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Haas Jason — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11TPG GP A, LLCotherPurchase1,388,889 @ $18.00$25.0M+60.4% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open3,690,146Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Li Nan (LN)directorPurchase1,111,111 @ $18.00$20.0M+50.0% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open3,333,516Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase222,222 @ $18.00$4.0M+13.8% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,831,383Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase200,000 @ $18.00$3.6M+24.5% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,014,851Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase133,333 @ $18.00$2.4M+30.2% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open574,314Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11Chu ShelleydirectorPurchase11,111 @ $18.00$200Kownership Δ n/a−5.3%not yet — horizon still open11,111Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale1,065 @ $18.00$19K−0.1% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,609,161Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale438 @ $18.00$8K−0.1% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open814,851Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale277 @ $18.00$5K−0.1% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open440,981Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Dimension Capital II, L.P.directorPurchase1,111,111 @ $18.00$20.0M+50.0% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open3,333,516Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $20.00$100K+1.9% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open270,198Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Haas JasondirectorPurchase1,000 @ $20.00$20K+1.6% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open62,908Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

153 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11TPG GP A, LLCotherOther acquisition2,351420,760Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorWithheld for tax1731,644Form 4
2026-05-11Opipari Anthony W.officerWithheld for tax47,502Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise764,3120Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,899,9840Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion200,0000Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,614,6500Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise484,3950Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion4,500,0000Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,657,8600Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion474,048474,048Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion139,366613,414Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion59,692673,106Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion61,762734,868Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion683,8171,418,685Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise191,5411,610,226Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion4,606,3200Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion118,512118,512Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion255,823374,335Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion204,658204,658Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion20,582225,240Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion166,168391,408Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise49,850441,258Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion463,106463,106Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion273,527736,633Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise78,656815,289Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion6,644,6500Form 4
2026-05-11Opipari Anthony W.officerOption exercise5417,506Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerExercise1,861,2110Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,151,5800Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorConversion28,69828,698Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorOption exercise2,96331,661Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorConversion79,1660Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorConversion100,0000Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorConversion96,0020Form 4
2026-05-11LEIDEN JEFFREY MdirectorOption exercise28,8000Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,299,8420Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion544,1620Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion600,1420Form 4
2026-05-11SR ONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,374,9810Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.