LPG · TickerCove

LPGDorian LPG Ltd.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $57.86 · now $57.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LPG has typically landed between $48.79 and $71.42 — a range of −15.7% to +23.4% from the issuance price $57.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,087 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-05-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($57.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$57.86 · 100% of range

$22.33 low$57.86 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+4.2%

typical move · IQR 17.3%

−15.7%worst (p90)+23.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LPG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $57.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $57.86 (+0.0%)
typical $60.3 (+4.2%)
middle 50% $55.31–$65.29
90% range $48.79–$71.42

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,087 windows spanning 2014-05-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−48.8%	−48.8%	+0.2%
2020-02-19	−43.8%	−48.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-13	−43.4%	−43.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2016-11-08	+60.1%	+0.0%	+60.1%
2019-03-11	+54.2%	+0.0%	+54.2%
2019-03-08	+50.7%	+0.0%	+50.7%

3,087 overlapping windows · 2014-05-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

33%

−1.1%

n=12

Feb

58%

+3.0%

n=12

Mar

67%

+0.4%

n=12

Apr

75%

+4.7%

n=12

May

67%

+4.2%

n=12

Jun

46%

+1.3%

n=13

Jul

54%

+3.3%

n=13

Aug

31%

−1.1%

n=13

Sep

31%

−1.9%

n=13

Oct

50%

+3.6%

n=12

Nov

67%

+7.7%

n=12

Dec

58%

+2.2%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Lunde Marit	director	Sale	12,104 @ $54.42	$659K	−65.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,499	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10	Young Theodore B.	officer	Sale	11,919 @ $54.50	$650K	−10.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	107,794	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-10	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $54.13	$271K	−5.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	95,836	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $53.12	$2.7M	−31.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	107,675	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-09	Young Theodore B.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $54.01	$270K	−4.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	119,713	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-08	Young Theodore B.	officer	Sale	9,081 @ $53.25	$484K	−6.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	124,713	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $45.04	$1.1M	−13.7% of holding	+28.1%	not yet — horizon still open	157,675	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-30	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $35.38	$708K	−11.2% of holding	+36.6%	not yet — horizon still open	157,842	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Tan Christina	director	Sale	5,708 @ $44.08	$252K	−5.5% of holding	−6.6%	not yet — horizon still open	98,068	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22	Kalborg Ted	director	Sale	15,373 @ $45.06	$693K	−18.8% of holding	−12.7%	not yet — horizon still open	66,348	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-09	Lycouris John	director	Sale	7,000 @ $35.72	$250K	−4.2% of holding	+6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	157,939	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-08	Lycouris John	director	Sale	3,000 @ $35.00	$105K	−1.8% of holding	+5.5%	not yet — horizon still open	164,939	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Sale	35,000 @ $35.19	$1.2M	−16.4% of holding	−0.7%	+34.3%	177,842	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18	Young Theodore B.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $34.84	$348K	−7.5% of holding	−0.7%	+34.3%	122,926	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $28.85	$721K	−10.5% of holding	+19.3%	+40.1%	212,842	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-01-07	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $27.30	$410K	+10.8% of holding	+15.5%	+40.0%	153,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-16	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $32.38	$162K	−5.3% of holding	−18.9%	+5.0%	89,440	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-27	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $31.96	$160K	−5.0% of holding	−5.6%	+13.8%	94,440	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-08	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Purchase	12,500 @ $17.75	$222K	+9.9% of holding	+8.2%	+23.9%	138,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-08	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Purchase	12,500 @ $17.75	$222K	+0.7% of holding	+8.2%	+23.9%	1,824,386	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-08	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $17.75	$89K	+19.5% of holding	+8.2%	+23.9%	30,664	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-20	LORENTZEN OIVIND	director	Sale	23,386 @ $23.11	$540K	−32.3% of holding	+0.1%	+11.4%	48,933	Form 4 · filed 103 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

46 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,383	137,877	Form 4
2026-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Withheld for tax	5,585	170,848	Form 4
2026-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,098	144,260	Form 4
2026-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Withheld for tax	4,634	176,433	Form 4
2026-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,083	133,794	Form 4
2026-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Withheld for tax	3,573	167,275	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,536	104,386	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,165	102,221	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,385	100,836	Form 4
2026-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Award / grant	26,432	149,358	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Award / grant	24,833	182,675	Form 4
2026-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Award / grant	23,128	181,067	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Award / grant	16,382	106,922	Form 4
2026-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Award / grant	45,429	1,882,667	Form 4
2026-03-31	Kalborg Ted	director	Award / grant	6,543	81,721	Form 4
2026-03-31	LORENTZEN OIVIND	director	Award / grant	6,314	15,506	Form 4
2026-03-31	Lunde Marit	director	Award / grant	6,499	18,603	Form 4
2026-03-31	McAvity Thomas Malcolm	director	Award / grant	6,684	67,445	Form 4
2026-03-31	Ross Mark H	director	Award / grant	6,039	8,837	Form 4
2026-03-31	Tan Christina	director	Award / grant	6,499	103,776	Form 4
2025-11-14	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Gift	19,600	1,837,238	Form 4
2025-11-14	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Gift	1,100	90,540	Form 4
2025-10-27	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Gift	1,500	1,856,838	Form 4
2025-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Withheld for tax	13,053	1,871,390	Form 4
2025-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Withheld for tax	11,198	1,858,338	Form 4
2025-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Withheld for tax	10,972	1,884,443	Form 4
2025-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,384	143,121	Form 4
2025-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Withheld for tax	5,586	172,573	Form 4
2025-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,098	138,023	Form 4
2025-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,097	132,926	Form 4
2025-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Withheld for tax	4,634	167,939	Form 4
2025-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,503	102,942	Form 4
2025-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,502	99,440	Form 4
2025-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,991	106,445	Form 4
2025-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Withheld for tax	1,854	1,869,536	Form 4
2025-08-05	Hansen Tim Truels	officer	Award / grant	35,976	237,842	Form 4
2025-08-05	HADJIPATERAS JOHN C	director	Award / grant	71,029	1,895,415	Form 4
2025-08-05	Lycouris John	director	Award / grant	36,160	178,159	Form 4
2025-08-05	Hadjipateras Alexander C.	officer	Award / grant	25,613	109,436	Form 4
2025-08-05	Young Theodore B.	officer	Award / grant	41,326	149,505	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i