Issued 2026-09-16 at $396.02 · now $396.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LFUS has typically landed between $343.04 and $461.95 — a range of −13.4% to +16.6% from the issuance price $396.02.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($396.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LFUS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $396.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $396.02 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $397.47 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $372.08–$422.85
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $343.04–$461.95
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −42.9% | −42.9% | +1.6% |
| 2008-10-22 | −41.7% | −41.7% | +3.3% |
| 2008-10-01 | −40.6% | −40.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-31 | +49.1% | +0.0% | +49.1% |
| 2009-04-02 | +47.1% | −2.8% | +47.1% |
| 2009-04-01 | +45.3% | +0.0% | +45.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Feb
70%
+2.6%
n=20
Mar
55%
+1.2%
n=20
Apr
45%
+3.0%
n=20
May
55%
+3.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Aug
60%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.5%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.9%
n=20
Dec
60%
+2.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 1,142 @ $482.31 | $551K | −16.9% of holding | −13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,624 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 247 @ $483.26 | $119K | −3.5% of holding | −13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,766 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Sale | 1,432 @ $480.00 | $687K | −5.1% of holding | −15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,683 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 2,462 @ $451.93 | $1.1M | −3.6% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,175 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 256 @ $450.66 | $115K | −0.4% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,637 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 209 @ $454.07 | $95K | −0.3% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,928 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 38 @ $452.75 | $17K | −0.1% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,137 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 35 @ $449.76 | $16K | −0.1% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,893 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-03 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Sale | 603 @ $488.31 | $294K | −2.2% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,678 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 10,090 @ $486.18 | $4.9M | −48.8% of holding | −12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,598 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 81 @ $484.90 | $39K | −0.8% of holding | −12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,517 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 8,926 @ $435.22 | $3.9M | −51.3% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,472 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 2,408 @ $436.38 | $1.1M | −28.4% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 63 @ $437.37 | $28K | −1.0% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,001 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 2,333 @ $446.78 | $1.0M | −27.4% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,173 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 2,287 @ $446.78 | $1.0M | −21.2% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,506 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 1,291 @ $446.78 | $577K | −20.9% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,882 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Ruppel David | officer | Sale | 506 @ $445.16 | $225K | −8.8% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,260 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 282 @ $396.90 | $112K | −4.5% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,001 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-28 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 498 @ $392.47 | $195K | −7.3% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,283 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 317 @ $392.47 | $124K | −4.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,781 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Cerniglia Kristina A. | director | Sale | 2,343 @ $368.38 | $863K | −35.5% of holding | −0.3% | −1.9% | 4,255 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Sale | 591 @ $367.65 | $217K | −2.1% of holding | −6.2% | −0.1% | 26,909 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Sale | 200 @ $368.42 | $74K | −0.7% of holding | −6.2% | −0.1% | 27,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Sale | 120 @ $366.61 | $44K | −0.4% of holding | −6.2% | −0.1% | 26,789 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-10 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 4,570 @ $346.13 | $1.6M | −6.1% of holding | −2.7% | +19.8% | 69,853 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 390 @ $347.35 | $135K | −0.6% of holding | −2.7% | +19.8% | 69,463 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Sale | 40 @ $348.47 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | −2.7% | +19.8% | 69,423 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 2,440 @ $346.94 | $847K | −27.5% of holding | −5.3% | +18.1% | 6,433 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 60 @ $344.97 | $21K | −0.7% of holding | −5.3% | +18.1% | 8,873 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-05 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 1,170 @ $329.18 | $385K | −11.8% of holding | −7.4% | +23.4% | 8,763 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 1,033 @ $330.14 | $341K | −11.8% of holding | −7.4% | +23.4% | 7,730 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 749 @ $330.98 | $248K | −9.7% of holding | −7.4% | +23.4% | 6,981 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Sale | 548 @ $332.21 | $182K | −7.8% of holding | −7.4% | +23.4% | 6,433 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Chu Maggie | director | Sale | 2,061 @ $326.71 | $673K | −23.5% of holding | −6.5% | +26.6% | 6,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 16,107 @ $325.19 | $5.2M | −36.0% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 28,591 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 3,779 @ $320.40 | $1.2M | −38.6% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 6,009 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 2,406 @ $322.37 | $776K | −17.4% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 11,396 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $325.44 | $683K | −17.1% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 10,175 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 1,787 @ $326.44 | $583K | −12.7% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 12,275 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 1,608 @ $321.39 | $517K | −14.1% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 9,788 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 1,519 @ $327.39 | $497K | −9.7% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 14,062 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Ruppel David | officer | Sale | 1,113 @ $320.78 | $357K | −17.2% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 5,347 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 642 @ $323.50 | $208K | −4.4% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 13,802 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 623 @ $326.45 | $203K | −1.4% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 44,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Ruppel David | officer | Sale | 382 @ $322.31 | $123K | −7.1% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 4,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 320 @ $324.34 | $104K | −2.2% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 14,444 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 120 @ $325.50 | $39K | −0.8% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 14,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 109 @ $327.15 | $36K | −0.2% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 45,321 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 82 @ $328.14 | $27K | −0.5% of holding | +5.6% | +32.5% | 15,581 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 2,162 @ $268.31 | $580K | −7.0% of holding | +2.3% | +65.7% | 28,591 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 2,029 @ $270.02 | $548K | −16.6% of holding | +2.3% | +65.7% | 10,195 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Sale | 20 @ $270.41 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | +2.3% | +65.7% | 10,175 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 4,454 @ $259.07 | $1.2M | −42.6% of holding | +4.0% | +68.3% | 6,009 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 3,036 @ $259.12 | $787K | −33.6% of holding | +6.2% | +71.4% | 5,998 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Sale | 2,333 @ $255.50 | $596K | −28.0% of holding | −1.0% | +69.4% | 5,998 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Conrad Alexander | officer | Sale | 8,217 @ $261.06 | $2.1M | −49.4% of holding | −4.0% | +35.9% | 8,420 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 4,923 @ $260.84 | $1.3M | −12.0% of holding | −4.0% | +35.9% | 36,010 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Stafford Ryan K | officer | Sale | 4,783 @ $261.72 | $1.3M | −13.3% of holding | −4.0% | +35.9% | 31,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Conrad Alexander | officer | Sale | 3,522 @ $261.75 | $922K | −41.8% of holding | −4.0% | +35.9% | 4,898 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
234 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Award / grant | 58 | 64,986 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Henderson Gregory N. | director | Award / grant | 30 | 19,129 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | CHUNG T J | director | Award / grant | 17 | 19,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Khandelwal Abhishek | officer | Award / grant | 15 | 8,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Award / grant | 8 | 4,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Award / grant | 7 | 26,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | NOGLOWS WILLIAM P | director | Award / grant | 6 | 22,186 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Award / grant | 5 | 10,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Chu Maggie | director | Award / grant | 5 | 6,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Hamed Karim Wagdy | officer | Award / grant | 5 | 2,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Ruppel David | officer | Award / grant | 5 | 5,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | D'Angelo Anne-Marie W | officer | Award / grant | 3 | 1,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Award / grant | 3 | 64,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | GREEN MARIA C | director | Award / grant | 3 | 4,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Award / grant | 1 | 26,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | CHUNG T J | director | Award / grant | 1 | 19,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Cerniglia Kristina A. | director | Award / grant | 1 | 4,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | NOGLOWS WILLIAM P | director | Award / grant | 1 | 22,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Award / grant | 1 | 5,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | PAEPER HOLLY Beth | director | Award / grant | 1 | 693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kelsey Todd P. | director | Award / grant | 1 | 295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Ruppel David | officer | Withheld for tax | 168 | 5,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamed Karim Wagdy | officer | Withheld for tax | 141 | 2,821 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Kelsey Todd P. | director | Award / grant | 294 | 294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | PAEPER HOLLY Beth | director | Award / grant | 56 | 692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Khandelwal Abhishek | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,122 | 8,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Option exercise | 689 | 7,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Gorski Jeffrey G | officer | Option exercise | 689 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Option exercise | 1,432 | 28,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Option exercise | 1,432 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | GRILLO ANTHONY | director | Award / grant | 35 | 67,925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Henderson Gregory N. | director | Award / grant | 31 | 19,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Khandelwal Abhishek | officer | Award / grant | 16 | 9,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | CHUNG T J | director | Award / grant | 10 | 19,301 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Nayar Deepak | officer | Award / grant | 9 | 4,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Chu Maggie | director | Award / grant | 6 | 6,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kim Peter Sung-Jip | officer | Award / grant | 5 | 10,522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ruppel David | officer | Award / grant | 5 | 5,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamed Karim Wagdy | officer | Award / grant | 4 | 2,962 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | HUNTER GORDON | director | Award / grant | 4 | 26,682 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.