Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.40 · now $27.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KMPR has typically landed between $22.70 and $31.41 — a range of −17.1% to +14.6% from the issuance price $27.40.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KMPR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $27.4 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.14 (-0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.35–$28.93
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.7–$31.41
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-11 | −42.5% | −42.5% | +7.0% |
| 2008-09-10 | −40.2% | −40.2% | +8.5% |
| 2009-02-05 | −37.5% | −37.5% | +7.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-09 | +83.4% | +0.0% | +87.9% |
| 2009-03-06 | +82.2% | −3.0% | +82.2% |
| 2009-03-05 | +80.6% | −3.0% | +80.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | McAnena Stephen J | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $26.50 | $80K | +10.7% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,945 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | LADERMAN GERALD | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $26.49 | $106K | +13.6% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,365 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Evans Carl Thomas Jr. | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.53 | $27K | +1.1% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,629 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Camden Bradley T | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.34 | $26K | +2.0% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,259 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Gorevic Jason N | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $25.91 | $130K | +18.7% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,802 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | MCKINNEY SUZET M | director | Sale | 504 @ $34.66 | $17K | −9.1% of holding | −11.0% | −33.8% | 5,060 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Parker Stuart B. | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $36.82 | $921K | +108.0% of holding | +9.5% | −27.2% | 48,152 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | LADERMAN GERALD | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $49.37 | $148K | +13.9% of holding | +3.6% | −41.2% | 24,635 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-07 | Gorevic Jason N | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $49.14 | $98K | +10.0% of holding | +3.6% | −41.2% | 22,072 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-07 | Canida Teresa Alvarez | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $48.96 | $98K | +7.5% of holding | +3.6% | −41.2% | 28,521 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-07 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $50.33 | $25K | +5.2% of holding | +3.6% | −41.2% | 10,197 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-07 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $49.90 | $25K | +5.4% of holding | +3.6% | −41.2% | 9,697 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-10 | LADERMAN GERALD | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $62.24 | $156K | +13.1% of holding | −4.4% | −48.1% | 21,635 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Paracchini Alberto J | director | Purchase | 500 @ $61.71 | $31K | +5.1% of holding | −4.4% | −48.1% | 10,323 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
133 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Withheld for tax | 247 | 27,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Kappler Eric E | officer | Award / grant | 30,738 | 30,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Rock Laura A | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,196 | 30,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Coomer Kelly L | officer | Award / grant | 43,913 | 43,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McAnena Stephen J | officer | Award / grant | 27,945 | 27,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | DeSantis Anthony J | director | Award / grant | 6,188 | 6,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McAnena Stephen J | officer | Award / grant | 111,777 | 111,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Ramamoorthy Anand | officer | Withheld for tax | 579 | 22,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Gorevic Jason N | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 26,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Canida Teresa Alvarez | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 33,251 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Whiting Susan D | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 20,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Cochran George N | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 40,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | MCKINNEY SUZET M | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 9,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Johnson Lacy M. | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 24,641 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Paracchini Alberto J | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 15,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | LADERMAN GERALD | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 29,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Parker Stuart B. | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 52,882 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Hunton Matthew A | other | Withheld for tax | 1,017 | 53,925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Camden Bradley T | officer | Withheld for tax | 822 | 50,259 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Alexander James Allen | officer | Withheld for tax | 762 | 25,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | BOSCHELLI JOHN MICHAEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 715 | 56,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Rock Laura A | officer | Withheld for tax | 705 | 31,348 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Withheld for tax | 607 | 27,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Evans Carl Thomas Jr. | officer | Withheld for tax | 587 | 90,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Camden Bradley T | officer | Award / grant | 6,794 | 51,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Hunton Matthew A | other | Award / grant | 6,794 | 54,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | BOSCHELLI JOHN MICHAEL | officer | Award / grant | 5,908 | 56,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Alexander James Allen | officer | Award / grant | 5,356 | 26,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Rock Laura A | officer | Award / grant | 4,989 | 32,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Ramamoorthy Anand | officer | Award / grant | 4,989 | 23,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Evans Carl Thomas Jr. | officer | Award / grant | 4,989 | 91,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Award / grant | 4,739 | 27,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Hunton Matthew A | other | Withheld for tax | 781 | 48,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | BOSCHELLI JOHN MICHAEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 721 | 50,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Evans Carl Thomas Jr. | officer | Withheld for tax | 521 | 86,227 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Flint Christopher Wade | officer | Withheld for tax | 507 | 23,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Camden Bradley T | officer | Withheld for tax | 453 | 44,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Alexander James Allen | officer | Withheld for tax | 232 | 21,135 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Alexander James Allen | officer | Award / grant | 559 | 21,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | BOSCHELLI JOHN MICHAEL | officer | Award / grant | 23,629 | 23,629 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.