KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $58.41 · now $58.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KGS has typically landed between $51.69 and $69.81 — a range of −11.5% to +19.5% from the issuance price $58.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

786 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-06-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($58.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KGS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $58.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$51.69worst · -11.5%$69.81best · +19.5%
  • now $58.41 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $60.57 (+3.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $56.4–$64.73
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $51.69–$69.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 786 windows spanning 2023-06-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-02-05−27.9%−27.9%+0.0%
2025-02-06−27.6%−27.6%+1.5%
2026-06-29−26.1%−26.1%+0.9%
3 best
2026-01-12+46.1%+0.0%+46.1%
2026-02-02+41.4%+0.0%+41.4%
2026-01-14+40.3%+0.0%+44.2%

786 overlapping windows · 2023-06-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+14.5%
n=3
Feb
67%
+11.5%
n=3
Mar
67%
+0.3%
n=3
Apr
33%
+2.3%
n=3
May
67%
+2.4%
n=3
Jun
33%
+2.8%
n=3
Jul
50%
−1.6%
n=4
Aug
50%
+1.9%
n=4
Sep
50%
+1.2%
n=4
Oct
33%
+2.0%
n=3
Nov
67%
+10.1%
n=3
Dec
100%
+7.0%
n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$76$322026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $169K — Hamilton Ewan William2026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $63K — Lenamon William Chad2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $356K — McKee Robert Michael2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $375K — McKee Robert Michael2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $62K — Lenamon William Chad2026-07-13: 1 insider sale, $68K — Lenamon William Chad2026-07-08: 1 insider sale, $285K — Roclawski Cory Anne2026-06-17: 1 insider sale, $313K — Buhigas Pedro R.2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $187K — Hamilton Ewan William2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $68K — Lenamon William Chad2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $777K — Buhigas Pedro R.2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $326K — Hamilton Ewan William2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $706K — Roclawski Cory Anne, Hamilton Ewan William2026-03-13: 2 insider purchases, $603K — HOGAN RANDALL J, Darden Alexander Newsom2026-03-13: 1 insider sale, $264K — Hamilton Ewan William2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Roclawski Cory Anne2026-02-20: 1 insider purchase, $22K — McKee Robert Michael2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $335.5M — Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $333.2M — Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.2025-09-08: 1 insider sale, $342.1M — Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $342.1M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $333.2M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $335.5M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $22K2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $603K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $3.3M2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $569K2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $353K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $437K2026-09: 3 open-market sales, $588K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hamilton Ewan William — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lenamon William Chad — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed same daydirector McKee Robert Michael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector McKee Robert Michael — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lenamon William Chad — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lenamon William Chad — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed same dayofficer Roclawski Cory Anne — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed same dayofficer Buhigas Pedro R. — Sale on 2026-06-17, filed same dayofficer Hamilton Ewan William — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed same dayofficer Lenamon William Chad — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed same dayofficer Buhigas Pedro R. — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hamilton Ewan William — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Roclawski Cory Anne — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hamilton Ewan William — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HOGAN RANDALL J — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Darden Alexander Newsom — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hamilton Ewan William — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Roclawski Cory Anne — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector McKee Robert Michael — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerSale2,729 @ $61.85$169K−9.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open26,674Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-11Lenamon William ChadofficerSale1,000 @ $63.21$63K−1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open85,294Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01McKee Robert MichaeldirectorSale5,999 @ $59.31$356K−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open292,590Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19McKee Robert MichaeldirectorSale6,008 @ $62.39$375K−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open298,589Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Lenamon William ChadofficerSale1,000 @ $61.93$62K−1.1% of holding+3.9%not yet — horizon still open86,294Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13Lenamon William ChadofficerSale1,000 @ $67.79$68K−1.1% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open87,294Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-08Roclawski Cory AnneofficerSale4,169 @ $68.36$285K−14.5% of holding−21.7%not yet — horizon still open24,662Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-17Buhigas Pedro R.officerSale4,625 @ $67.78$313K−10.7% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open38,454Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerSale2,729 @ $68.62$187K−7.9% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open31,617Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-11Lenamon William ChadofficerSale1,000 @ $67.79$68K−1.1% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open90,918Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-19Buhigas Pedro R.officerSale13,942 @ $55.73$777K−24.6% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open42,723Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerSale5,797 @ $56.18$326K−14.4% of holding+6.2%−8.1%34,346Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Roclawski Cory AnneofficerSale10,852 @ $54.41$590K−25.7% of holding+6.9%−8.4%31,405Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerSale2,091 @ $55.25$116K−5.0% of holding+6.9%−8.4%40,143Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13HOGAN RANDALL JdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $54.81$329K+26.8% of holding+9.5%−10.3%28,406Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Darden Alexander NewsomdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $54.75$274Kownership Δ n/a+9.5%−10.3%5,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerSale4,830 @ $54.75$264K−10.3% of holding+9.5%−10.3%42,234Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12Roclawski Cory AnneofficerSale21,161 @ $56.52$1.2M−33.4% of holding+12.2%+2.9%42,257Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20McKee Robert MichaeldirectorPurchase433 @ $50.23$22K+0.2% of holding+20.2%+10.6%187,628Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-01Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale9,762,573 @ $34.37$335.5M−100.0% of holding+5.7%+83.0%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-12Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale10,000,000 @ $33.32$333.2M−50.6% of holding+9.0%+107.8%9,762,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale10,000,000 @ $34.21$342.1M−33.6% of holding−1.1%+66.4%19,762,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale3,222,338 @ $36.02$116.1M−9.3% of holding−9.9%−21.5%31,548,985Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-30Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale3,728,677 @ $47.50$177.1M−9.7% of holding−13.1%−38.9%34,771,323Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-12Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale5,500,000 @ $42.09$231.5M−12.5% of holding+12.7%−15.7%38,500,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Green Steven LeeofficerWithheld for tax1,85719,850Form 4
2026-07-06Griggs JohnofficerWithheld for tax3,771102,174Form 4
2026-07-06Roclawski Cory AnneofficerWithheld for tax2,70628,831Form 4
2026-07-06Lenamon William ChadofficerWithheld for tax2,62488,294Form 4
2026-07-06Buhigas Pedro R.officerWithheld for tax2,37836,076Form 4
2026-07-06Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerWithheld for tax2,21429,403Form 4
2026-07-03McKee Robert MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax9,838304,597Form 4
2026-05-07Duplantier Jon-AldirectorAward / grant2,13522,541Form 4
2026-05-07Holloway Gretchen LynndirectorAward / grant2,13521,541Form 4
2026-05-07Darden Alexander NewsomdirectorAward / grant2,1357,135Form 4
2026-05-07Montana Margaret CdirectorAward / grant2,13528,651Form 4
2026-05-07Drumgoole ChristopherdirectorAward / grant2,13522,541Form 4
2026-05-07Bullock William L. Jr.directorAward / grant2,1354,811Form 4
2026-05-07Bonno TerrydirectorAward / grant2,13534,541Form 4
2026-05-07HOGAN RANDALL JdirectorAward / grant2,13530,541Form 4
2026-03-08McKee Robert MichaeldirectorAward / grant180,000399,835Form 4
2026-03-08McKee Robert MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax86,110313,725Form 4
2026-03-08Griggs JohnofficerAward / grant54,000132,114Form 4
2026-03-08Lenamon William ChadofficerAward / grant48,000114,393Form 4
2026-03-08McKee Robert MichaeldirectorAward / grant32,207219,835Form 4
2026-03-08Roclawski Cory AnneofficerAward / grant27,00069,992Form 4
2026-03-08Griggs JohnofficerWithheld for tax26,169105,945Form 4
2026-03-08Lenamon William ChadofficerWithheld for tax22,47591,918Form 4
2026-03-08Buhigas Pedro R.officerAward / grant21,00067,931Form 4
2026-03-08Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerAward / grant18,00056,507Form 4
2026-03-08Roclawski Cory AnneofficerWithheld for tax13,73163,418Form 4
2026-03-08Buhigas Pedro R.officerWithheld for tax11,26656,665Form 4
2026-03-08Lenamon William ChadofficerAward / grant10,73666,393Form 4
2026-03-08Griggs JohnofficerAward / grant10,73678,114Form 4
2026-03-08Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerWithheld for tax9,44347,064Form 4
2026-03-08Roclawski Cory AnneofficerAward / grant7,15777,149Form 4
2026-03-08Green Steven LeeofficerAward / grant7,15721,314Form 4
2026-03-08Howard Jennifer LeGrandofficerAward / grant7,15720,763Form 4
2026-03-08Buhigas Pedro R.officerAward / grant7,15746,931Form 4
2026-03-08Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerAward / grant4,65238,507Form 4
2026-01-05Griggs JohnofficerWithheld for tax1,21767,378Form 4
2026-01-05Roclawski Cory AnneofficerWithheld for tax97442,992Form 4
2026-01-05Hamilton Ewan WilliamofficerWithheld for tax97433,855Form 4
2026-01-05Buhigas Pedro R.officerWithheld for tax97487,219Form 4
2026-01-05Lenamon William ChadofficerWithheld for tax64755,657Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.