JBGSJBG SMITH PropertiesReal Estate · REIT - Diversifiedas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.26 · now $11.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBGS has typically landed between $9.76 and $12.64 — a range of −13.3% to +12.3% from the issuance price $11.26.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,291 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-07-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JBGS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.76worst · -13.3%$12.64best · +12.3%
  • now $11.26 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.13 (-1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.57–$11.7
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.76–$12.64
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,291 windows spanning 2017-07-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−40.7%−40.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−37.6%−37.6%+0.0%
2020-02-24−35.8%−39.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-28+39.7%−0.6%+42.4%
2023-11-13+37.6%+0.0%+37.6%
2020-11-04+37.2%−1.2%+37.3%

2,291 overlapping windows · 2017-07-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+0.1%
n=9
Feb
33%
−2.8%
n=9
Mar
56%
−1.4%
n=9
Apr
56%
−1.2%
n=9
May
22%
−0.0%
n=9
Jun
33%
+0.2%
n=9
Jul
67%
+5.1%
n=9
Aug
30%
−3.9%
n=10
Sep
40%
−2.5%
n=10
Oct
33%
−4.4%
n=9
Nov
67%
+6.1%
n=9
Dec
56%
+0.3%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$112026-06-08: 2 insider sales, $300K — MUSELES STEVEN A …2025-11-24: 2 insider sales, $80K — Regan-Levine Evan …2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $97K — Regan-Levine Evan2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $318K — MUSELES STEVEN A2025-10-30: 2 insider sales, $490K — MUSELES STEVEN A, ESTES SCOTT A2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $135K — Regan-Levine Evan2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $94K — Xanders George Laucks2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $65K — Xanders George Laucks2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $30K — MUSELES STEVEN A2025-09-09: 1 insider sale, $110K — Valdes Angela2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $98K — MUSELES STEVEN A2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $505K — Banerjee Madhumita Moina2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $505K2025-09: 6 open-market sales, $531K2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $808K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $177K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $300K↑ buys↓ salesofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Regan-Levine Evan — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer Regan-Levine Evan — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer Regan-Levine Evan — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed same dayofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ESTES SCOTT A — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Regan-Levine Evan — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed same dayofficer Xanders George Laucks — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Xanders George Laucks — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Valdes Angela — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer MUSELES STEVEN A — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Banerjee Madhumita Moina — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-08MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale12,032 @ $15.01$181K−100.0% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale7,978 @ $15.00$120K−39.9% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open12,032Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Regan-Levine EvanofficerSale3,985 @ $17.90$71K−100.0% of holding−10.0%−30.7%0Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-11-24Regan-Levine EvanofficerSale500 @ $17.91$9K−11.1% of holding−10.0%−30.7%3,985Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-11-07Regan-Levine EvanofficerSale5,200 @ $18.56$97K−53.7% of holding−6.3%−30.0%4,485Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-31MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale16,253 @ $19.58$318K−100.0% of holding−5.9%−27.5%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-30MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale15,003 @ $19.41$291K−48.0% of holding−6.2%−30.0%16,253Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-30ESTES SCOTT AdirectorSale10,000 @ $19.87$199K−33.3% of holding−6.2%−30.0%20,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Regan-Levine EvanofficerSale5,714 @ $23.62$135K−100.0% of holding−13.0%−39.2%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-12Xanders George LaucksofficerSale4,000 @ $23.44$94K−100.0% of holding−13.8%−40.8%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-11Xanders George LaucksofficerSale2,750 @ $23.48$65K−40.7% of holding−13.6%−38.7%4,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-10MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale1,295 @ $23.40$30K−100.0% of holding−16.6%−38.6%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09Valdes AngelaofficerSale4,775 @ $23.04$110K−100.0% of holding−11.9%−40.2%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-02MUSELES STEVEN AofficerSale4,622 @ $21.17$98K−78.1% of holding−1.2%−34.7%1,295Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-19Banerjee Madhumita MoinadirectorSale24,524 @ $20.58$505K−100.0% of holding+13.0%−30.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31Valdes AngelaofficerSale10,098 @ $21.53$217K−100.0% of holding+0.1%−28.3%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31Xanders George LaucksofficerSale5,600 @ $21.57$121K−67.1% of holding+0.1%−28.3%2,750Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

185 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-30Mall Alisa MichelledirectorAward / grant17,19782,085Form 4
2026-04-30Glosserman Michael JdirectorAward / grant17,61771,216Form 4
2026-04-30Forman Alan SdirectorAward / grant18,036101,065Form 4
2026-04-30ESTES SCOTT AdirectorAward / grant18,875119,727Form 4
2026-04-30MELTON CAROL AdirectorAward / grant17,197110,721Form 4
2026-04-30MULROW WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant18,03687,230Form 4
2026-04-30Stewart Robert AlexanderdirectorAward / grant16,778220,666Form 4
2026-04-30Forman Alan SdirectorAward / grant18,036101,065Form 4
2026-04-30SHUMAN D ELLENdirectorAward / grant18,036112,596Form 4
2026-04-30Glosserman Michael JdirectorAward / grant17,61771,216Form 4
2026-04-30ESTES SCOTT AdirectorAward / grant18,875119,727Form 4
2026-04-30CALDWELL PHYLLIS RdirectorAward / grant15,43571,861Form 4
2026-04-30MELTON CAROL AdirectorAward / grant17,197110,721Form 4
2026-04-30Stewart Robert AlexanderdirectorAward / grant16,778220,666Form 4
2026-04-30SHUMAN D ELLENdirectorAward / grant18,036112,596Form 4
2026-04-30MULROW WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant18,03687,230Form 4
2026-04-30Mall Alisa MichelledirectorAward / grant17,19782,085Form 4
2026-04-30CALDWELL PHYLLIS RdirectorAward / grant15,43571,861Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,0100Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,01020,010Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,010323,146Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,01020,010Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,010323,146Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,01020,010Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,0100Form 4
2026-02-17MUSELES STEVEN AofficerConversion20,01020,010Form 4
2026-02-13Valdes AngelaofficerAward / grant5,067114,967Form 4
2026-02-13Valdes AngelaofficerAward / grant5,067114,967Form 4
2026-01-02MUSELES STEVEN AofficerAward / grant35,121260,656Form 4
2026-01-02Regan-Levine EvanofficerAward / grant31,48159,362Form 4
2026-01-02Regan-Levine EvanofficerAward / grant24,981148,307Form 4
2026-01-02Regan-Levine EvanofficerAward / grant65,000213,307Form 4
2026-01-02Regan-Levine EvanofficerAward / grant60,000273,307Form 4
2026-01-02Xanders George LaucksofficerAward / grant59,259574,064Form 4
2026-01-02Xanders George LaucksofficerAward / grant47,024583,460Form 4
2026-01-02Xanders George LaucksofficerAward / grant125,000708,460Form 4
2026-01-02Xanders George LaucksofficerAward / grant100,000808,460Form 4
2026-01-02Xanders George LaucksofficerAward / grant61,046869,506Form 4
2026-01-02Banerjee Madhumita MoinadirectorAward / grant58,333591,325Form 4
2026-01-02Banerjee Madhumita MoinadirectorAward / grant46,289289,094Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.