Issued 2026-09-16 at $92.14 · now $92.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ITRI has typically landed between $79.58 and $108.32 — a range of −13.6% to +17.6% from the issuance price $92.14.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($92.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ITRI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $92.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $92.14 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $91.62 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $85.2–$98.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $79.58–$108.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −52.7% | −52.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −51.0% | −51.0% | +1.1% |
| 2008-09-25 | −50.3% | −50.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-20 | +69.9% | +0.0% | +73.7% |
| 2008-11-19 | +62.5% | −5.3% | +64.4% |
| 2008-11-21 | +52.2% | +0.0% | +57.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Feb
45%
+1.9%
n=20
Mar
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Apr
45%
+0.8%
n=20
May
70%
+3.1%
n=20
Jun
65%
+2.4%
n=20
Jul
50%
+0.8%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.3%
n=20
Sep
55%
+0.5%
n=20
Oct
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Nov
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Dec
65%
+5.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 7,883 @ $97.36 | $767K | −24.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 24,392 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 1,153 @ $97.36 | $112K | −5.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 593 @ $97.36 | $58K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,799 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 581 @ $97.36 | $57K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,218 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 283 @ $99.99 | $28K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,662 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 887 @ $98.79 | $88K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 367,009 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 455 @ $98.79 | $45K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 118,440 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 331 @ $98.79 | $33K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 12,683 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 329 @ $98.79 | $33K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,945 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 222 @ $98.79 | $22K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 32,275 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 200 @ $98.79 | $20K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 29,916 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 178 @ $98.79 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,930 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Sale | 76 @ $98.79 | $8K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,671 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 247 @ $98.87 | $24K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,274 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 4,041 @ $98.95 | $400K | −3.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 118,895 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 783 @ $97.83 | $77K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 367,896 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 365 @ $97.83 | $36K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 117,113 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 286 @ $97.83 | $28K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,521 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 275 @ $97.83 | $27K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 13,014 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 212 @ $97.83 | $21K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 32,497 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 195 @ $97.83 | $19K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 30,116 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 187 @ $97.83 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 32,108 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Sale | 58 @ $97.83 | $6K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,747 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 11,400 @ $82.99 | $946K | −46.2% of holding | +5.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,289 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 293 @ $84.50 | $25K | −1.0% of holding | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 862 @ $84.37 | $73K | −0.2% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 368,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 442 @ $84.37 | $37K | −0.4% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 117,478 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 322 @ $84.37 | $27K | −1.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,689 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 319 @ $84.37 | $27K | −1.1% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,100 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 216 @ $84.37 | $18K | −0.7% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,709 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 195 @ $84.37 | $16K | −0.6% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,311 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 174 @ $84.37 | $15K | −0.5% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,295 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Sale | 74 @ $84.37 | $6K | −0.8% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,805 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 255 @ $80.88 | $21K | −0.9% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,419 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 760 @ $79.60 | $60K | −0.2% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 369,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 355 @ $79.60 | $28K | −0.3% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 117,920 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 277 @ $79.60 | $22K | −0.9% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,674 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 267 @ $79.60 | $21K | −1.1% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 189 @ $79.60 | $15K | −0.6% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,506 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 181 @ $79.60 | $14K | −0.6% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,469 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Sale | 57 @ $79.60 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,879 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 124 @ $81.59 | $10K | −0.4% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,650 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 3,533 @ $95.92 | $339K | −2.9% of holding | −3.1% | −9.1% | 118,275 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 299 @ $97.84 | $29K | −1.0% of holding | −2.4% | −9.3% | 29,951 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 220 @ $97.84 | $22K | −0.7% of holding | −2.4% | −9.3% | 30,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 1,772 @ $94.81 | $168K | −0.5% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 370,301 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 962 @ $94.81 | $91K | −0.8% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 121,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 560 @ $94.81 | $53K | −2.2% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 25,278 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 544 @ $94.81 | $52K | −1.8% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 30,470 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 385 @ $94.81 | $37K | −1.1% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 33,131 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 348 @ $94.81 | $33K | −1.1% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 30,695 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Sale | 188 @ $94.81 | $18K | −2.1% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 8,936 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Sale | 176 @ $94.81 | $17K | −0.5% of holding | −0.2% | −11.1% | 32,774 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 1,055 @ $96.25 | $102K | −3.3% of holding | +1.4% | −8.8% | 31,014 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Sale | 3,061 @ $100.17 | $307K | −0.8% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 372,073 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Sale | 1,426 @ $100.17 | $143K | −1.1% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 122,770 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Sale | 1,074 @ $100.17 | $108K | −4.0% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 25,838 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Sale | 1,071 @ $100.17 | $107K | −3.2% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 32,069 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Sale | 828 @ $100.17 | $83K | −2.4% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 33,516 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Sale | 763 @ $100.17 | $76K | −2.4% of holding | −1.5% | −11.2% | 31,043 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Option exercise | 4,380 | 121,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Option exercise | 1,443 | 122,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Option exercise | 1,443 | 8,615 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Option exercise | 4,380 | 7,135 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | JAEHNERT FRANK M | director | Award / grant | 621 | 23,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perez Santiago | director | Award / grant | 621 | 12,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mirchandani Sanjay | director | Award / grant | 621 | 6,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LEYDEN TIMOTHY M | director | Award / grant | 248 | 16,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Lande Jerome J. | director | Award / grant | 621 | 10,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Drury Scott D. | director | Award / grant | 621 | 2,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Savage Sheri | director | Award / grant | 621 | 2,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Drury Scott D. | director | Award / grant | 580 | 1,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | LEYDEN TIMOTHY M | director | Award / grant | 232 | 16,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mirchandani Sanjay | director | Award / grant | 580 | 6,203 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Savage Sheri | director | Award / grant | 580 | 1,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Lande Jerome J. | director | Award / grant | 580 | 10,144 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | JAEHNERT FRANK M | director | Award / grant | 580 | 22,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Perez Santiago | director | Award / grant | 580 | 11,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Award / grant | 6,276 | 25,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Award / grant | 6,527 | 20,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Marcolini John F. | officer | Award / grant | 13,490 | 33,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Award / grant | 26,511 | 287,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Deitrich Thomas | director | Award / grant | 143,730 | 431,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Award / grant | 6,527 | 25,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Reeves Donald L. III | officer | Award / grant | 13,490 | 38,559 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Award / grant | 16,066 | 103,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Hooper Joan S | officer | Award / grant | 35,977 | 139,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Wright David Marshall | officer | Award / grant | 1,807 | 9,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Ware Christopher E. | officer | Award / grant | 11,242 | 36,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Award / grant | 6,276 | 28,059 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pulatie-Hahn Laurie Ann | officer | Award / grant | 9,375 | 37,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Award / grant | 6,527 | 26,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Patrick Justin K | officer | Award / grant | 12,365 | 39,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mirchandani Sanjay | director | Award / grant | 529 | 5,597 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Savage Sheri | director | Award / grant | 529 | 1,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | LEYDEN TIMOTHY M | director | Award / grant | 211 | 15,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Drury Scott D. | director | Award / grant | 529 | 1,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | JAEHNERT FRANK M | director | Award / grant | 529 | 21,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Perez Santiago | director | Award / grant | 529 | 11,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Lande Jerome J. | director | Award / grant | 529 | 9,538 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.