IMCRImmunocore Holdings plcHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.59 · now $31.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, IMCR has typically landed between $25.64 and $39.44 — a range of −18.8% to +24.8% from the issuance price $31.59.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,388 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where IMCR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$25.64worst · -18.8%$39.44best · +24.8%
  • now $31.59 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.28 (-1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.54–$34.02
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.64–$39.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,388 windows spanning 2021-02-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2021-12-20−43.0%−43.0%+6.6%
2021-12-21−42.7%−45.3%+2.4%
2021-12-28−39.0%−44.3%+0.8%
3 best
2022-06-14+58.7%+0.0%+63.8%
2022-06-16+55.0%+0.0%+55.0%
2022-03-04+53.3%+0.0%+53.3%

1,388 overlapping windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
−3.1%
n=5
Feb
0%
−6.2%
n=5
Mar
33%
+0.8%
n=6
Apr
50%
+1.0%
n=6
May
50%
−1.4%
n=6
Jun
50%
+0.1%
n=6
Jul
83%
+7.6%
n=6
Aug
50%
+0.2%
n=6
Sep
33%
−4.2%
n=6
Oct
40%
+0.3%
n=5
Nov
80%
+9.5%
n=5
Dec
20%
−1.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$40$282026-02-18: 4 insider sales, $619K — Jallal Bahija, Berman David M, St Leger Tina Amber, GOLL JOHN2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $23K — Berman David M2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Berman David M2025-11-28: 1 insider sale, $221K — Berman David M2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — Berman David M2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $721K — Berman David M2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $4K — Berman David M2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Berman David M2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $7K — Berman David M2025-09-12: 2 insider sales, $804K — Berman David M …2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $692K — Berman David M2025-09-10: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Berman David M …2025-09: 7 open-market sales, $4.8M2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $3.7M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $619K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Jallal Bahija — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer St Leger Tina Amber — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer GOLL JOHN — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Berman David M — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-18Jallal BahijadirectorSale11,474 @ $32.35$371K−48.2% of holding−3.7%+0.7%12,343Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Berman David MofficerSale5,965 @ $32.35$193K−50.4% of holding−3.7%+0.7%5,859Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18St Leger Tina AmberofficerSale1,000 @ $32.35$32K−47.2% of holding−3.7%+0.7%1,119Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18GOLL JOHNofficerSale698 @ $32.35$23K−51.7% of holding−3.7%+0.7%653Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05Berman David MofficerSale572 @ $40.14$23K−100.0% of holding−13.8%−34.6%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-04Berman David MofficerSale31,341 @ $40.26$1.3M−100.0% of holding−19.7%−39.5%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-28Berman David MofficerSale5,521 @ $40.09$221K−100.0% of holding−14.5%−36.9%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-26Berman David MofficerSale69,404 @ $40.12$2.8M−100.0% of holding−13.4%−39.6%0Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-25Berman David MofficerSale18,020 @ $40.03$721K−100.0% of holding−11.9%−40.2%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Berman David MofficerSale100 @ $40.00$4K−100.0% of holding−9.0%−38.6%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Berman David MofficerSale61,849 @ $35.23$2.2M−100.0% of holding−12.8%−15.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Berman David MofficerSale200 @ $35.01$7K−100.0% of holding−8.3%−12.8%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12Berman David MofficerSale21,232 @ $35.63$756K−94.2% of holding−9.3%−15.6%1,300Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-12Berman David MofficerSale1,300 @ $36.31$47K−100.0% of holding−9.3%−15.6%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Berman David MofficerSale19,081 @ $36.28$692K−100.0% of holding−11.0%−16.9%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Berman David MofficerSale30,138 @ $36.12$1.1M−96.2% of holding−10.5%−17.5%1,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10Berman David MofficerSale1,200 @ $36.77$44K−100.0% of holding−10.5%−17.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorPurchase646,290 @ $29.74$19.2M+46.0% of holding−4.2%−4.5%2,051,711Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorPurchase92,349 @ $29.56$2.7M+4.5% of holding−4.2%−4.5%2,144,060Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorPurchase60,110 @ $29.74$1.8M+54.7% of holding−4.2%−4.5%170,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorPurchase8,589 @ $29.56$254K+5.1% of holding−4.2%−4.5%178,596Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $113252773.88—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LPdirectorSale— @ $10533376.12—ownership Δ n/a−4.2%−4.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Ratcliffe Peter JohndirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-05-27Herbst Roy StevendirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-05-27Peterson KristinedirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-05-27Kaul SiddharthdirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-05-27Pao WilliamdirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-05-27Bell John IrvingdirectorAward / grant27,49227,492Form 4
2026-02-17Coy Travis AlanofficerAward / grant95,63795,637Form 4
2026-02-17Coy Travis AlanofficerAward / grant33,35333,353Form 4
2026-02-17St Leger Tina AmberofficerOption exercise2,1192,119Form 4
2026-02-17St Leger Tina AmberofficerOption exercise2,1196,357Form 4
2026-02-17GOLL JOHNofficerAward / grant21,25221,252Form 4
2026-02-17Berman David MofficerOption exercise11,82411,824Form 4
2026-02-17Berman David MofficerOption exercise11,82435,473Form 4
2026-02-17GOLL JOHNofficerAward / grant7,4117,411Form 4
2026-02-17GOLL JOHNofficerOption exercise1,3511,351Form 4
2026-02-17GOLL JOHNofficerOption exercise1,3514,054Form 4
2026-02-17Jallal BahijadirectorAward / grant88,57388,573Form 4
2026-02-17Jallal BahijadirectorAward / grant395,066395,066Form 4
2026-02-17Jallal BahijadirectorOption exercise23,81723,817Form 4
2026-02-17Jallal BahijadirectorOption exercise23,81771,453Form 4
2025-12-05Berman David MofficerOption exercise572572Form 4
2025-12-05Berman David MofficerOption exercise57211,832Form 4
2025-12-04Berman David MofficerOption exercise31,34131,341Form 4
2025-12-04Berman David MofficerOption exercise31,34112,404Form 4
2025-11-28Berman David MofficerOption exercise5,5215,521Form 4
2025-11-28Berman David MofficerOption exercise5,52143,745Form 4
2025-11-26Berman David MofficerOption exercise69,40469,404Form 4
2025-11-26Berman David MofficerOption exercise69,40449,266Form 4
2025-11-25Berman David MofficerOption exercise18,02018,020Form 4
2025-11-25Berman David MofficerOption exercise18,020118,670Form 4
2025-11-24Berman David MofficerOption exercise100100Form 4
2025-11-24Berman David MofficerOption exercise100136,690Form 4
2025-09-30Berman David MofficerOption exercise61,84961,849Form 4
2025-09-30Berman David MofficerOption exercise61,849136,790Form 4
2025-09-15Berman David MofficerOption exercise200200Form 4
2025-09-15Berman David MofficerOption exercise200198,639Form 4
2025-09-12Berman David MofficerOption exercise22,53222,532Form 4
2025-09-12Berman David MofficerOption exercise22,532198,839Form 4
2025-09-11Berman David MofficerOption exercise19,08119,081Form 4
2025-09-11Berman David MofficerOption exercise19,081221,371Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.