Issued 2026-09-16 at $154.03 · now $154.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HURN has typically landed between $135.08 and $179.50 — a range of −12.3% to +16.5% from the issuance price $154.03.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($154.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HURN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $154.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $154.03 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $156.95 (+1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $148.72–$165.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $135.08–$179.5
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-07-13 | −71.4% | −71.4% | +6.3% |
| 2009-07-14 | −70.9% | −71.4% | +6.4% |
| 2009-07-02 | −70.4% | −70.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-30 | +81.6% | +0.0% | +89.0% |
| 2026-06-29 | +78.3% | −5.6% | +78.3% |
| 2009-08-13 | +78.0% | +0.0% | +78.0% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
35%
−2.6%
n=20
Feb
35%
−1.5%
n=20
Mar
30%
−3.1%
n=20
Apr
65%
+4.1%
n=20
May
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Jun
65%
−0.3%
n=20
Jul
70%
+6.9%
n=20
Aug
50%
−2.9%
n=20
Sep
55%
+3.4%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Nov
70%
+4.1%
n=20
Dec
70%
+4.9%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Sale | 82 @ $156.56 | $13K | −0.3% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,119 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $154.25 | $309K | −8.9% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,490 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Featherstone Kyle | officer | Sale | 459 @ $152.67 | $70K | −30.4% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,050 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 5,613 @ $170.15 | $955K | −6.9% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 4,972 @ $160.28 | $797K | −5.0% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,499 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 3,060 @ $169.35 | $518K | −3.6% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,068 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 2,507 @ $162.56 | $408K | −2.7% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 2,168 @ $163.49 | $354K | −2.4% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,682 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 1,373 @ $164.49 | $226K | −1.6% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,309 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 1,142 @ $161.42 | $184K | −1.2% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 92,357 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 867 @ $171.17 | $148K | −1.1% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,588 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 884 @ $166.32 | $147K | −1.0% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,625 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 800 @ $165.22 | $132K | −0.9% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,509 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 497 @ $168.24 | $84K | −0.6% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,128 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Sale | 189 @ $172.51 | $33K | −0.3% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,399 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Brown Joy | director | Sale | 1,099 @ $105.43 | $116K | −11.2% of holding | −7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,675 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Brown Joy | director | Sale | 622 @ $104.08 | $65K | −6.0% of holding | −7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,774 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Brown Joy | director | Sale | 100 @ $106.25 | $11K | −1.2% of holding | −7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,575 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Sale | 598 @ $118.44 | $71K | −2.2% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,201 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Sale | 443 @ $118.44 | $52K | −3.1% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,646 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $132.04 | $66K | −1.2% of holding | −24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,317 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Sale | 170 @ $126.93 | $22K | −0.6% of holding | −8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,299 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Sale | 126 @ $126.93 | $16K | −0.9% of holding | −8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,089 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $127.68 | $64K | −1.2% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,817 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $139.15 | $70K | −1.2% of holding | −6.7% | −1.7% | 41,317 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $168.77 | $84K | −1.2% of holding | −12.5% | −22.9% | 41,817 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 400 @ $168.77 | $68K | −1.9% of holding | −12.5% | −22.9% | 20,990 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Sale | 170 @ $170.89 | $29K | −0.6% of holding | −8.3% | −52.0% | 26,469 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 136 @ $170.89 | $23K | −0.6% of holding | −8.3% | −52.0% | 21,390 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Sale | 126 @ $170.89 | $22K | −0.9% of holding | −8.3% | −52.0% | 14,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 1,183 @ $170.47 | $202K | −3.4% of holding | −4.1% | −48.1% | 33,235 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 683 @ $169.68 | $116K | −1.9% of holding | −4.1% | −48.1% | 34,418 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $172.91 | $86K | −1.2% of holding | −4.1% | −48.1% | 42,317 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 400 @ $172.91 | $69K | −1.8% of holding | −4.1% | −48.1% | 21,526 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 134 @ $171.39 | $23K | −0.4% of holding | −4.1% | −48.1% | 33,101 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $178.55 | $179K | −6.5% of holding | +0.8% | −50.7% | 14,341 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 662 @ $170.11 | $113K | −2.1% of holding | +3.0% | −44.3% | 30,355 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 1,498 @ $164.93 | $247K | −4.1% of holding | +5.0% | −47.5% | 35,304 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $164.20 | $82K | −1.2% of holding | +5.0% | −47.5% | 42,817 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 400 @ $164.20 | $66K | −1.8% of holding | +5.0% | −47.5% | 21,926 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 302 @ $163.59 | $49K | −0.8% of holding | +5.0% | −47.5% | 36,802 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 200 @ $163.31 | $33K | −0.5% of holding | +5.0% | −47.5% | 37,104 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 4,908 @ $161.15 | $791K | −9.9% of holding | +8.2% | −48.2% | 44,909 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 1,592 @ $162.34 | $258K | −3.5% of holding | +8.2% | −48.2% | 43,317 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 685 @ $165.72 | $114K | −1.8% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 37,304 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Sale | 500 @ $164.24 | $82K | −1.0% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 49,817 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 440 @ $163.75 | $72K | −1.1% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 38,354 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Sale | 400 @ $164.24 | $66K | −1.8% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 22,326 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 379 @ $161.65 | $61K | −1.0% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 38,925 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 365 @ $164.76 | $60K | −1.0% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 37,989 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Roth James H | director | Sale | 131 @ $162.54 | $21K | −0.3% of holding | +0.2% | −35.5% | 38,794 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-30 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 100 @ $170.14 | $17K | −0.3% of holding | −1.0% | −26.3% | 31,017 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-30 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 67 @ $172.00 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | −1.0% | −26.3% | 31,117 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 3,762 @ $170.30 | $641K | −9.9% of holding | −2.4% | −28.0% | 34,139 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 1,454 @ $171.54 | $249K | −4.3% of holding | −2.4% | −28.0% | 32,685 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 1,101 @ $172.51 | $190K | −3.4% of holding | −2.4% | −28.0% | 31,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 1,107 @ $160.00 | $177K | −2.8% of holding | −2.4% | −28.0% | 37,901 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 400 @ $173.25 | $69K | −1.3% of holding | −2.4% | −28.0% | 31,184 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-27 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 578 @ $155.00 | $90K | −1.5% of holding | +8.9% | −20.8% | 39,008 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-24 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Sale | 22 @ $155.00 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +6.5% | −21.1% | 39,586 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
54 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Richards L Thomas | director | Award / grant | 593 | 593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vernick Shoshana | director | Award / grant | 934 | 934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 41,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | LOCKHART H EUGENE | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 9,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 27,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 22,490 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Brown Joy | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 10,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Markell Peter Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 14,271 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Calder-Katz Hope | officer | Withheld for tax | 78 | 5,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Withheld for tax | 17,251 | 85,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,581 | 35,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kelly John D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,463 | 78,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Roth James H | director | Withheld for tax | 220 | 32,881 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Featherstone Kyle | officer | Withheld for tax | 180 | 1,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Calder-Katz Hope | officer | Withheld for tax | 154 | 3,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Award / grant | 12,613 | 98,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Featherstone Kyle | officer | Award / grant | 378 | 1,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kelly John D. | officer | Award / grant | 4,296 | 82,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Roth James H | director | Award / grant | 1,273 | 34,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Calder-Katz Hope | officer | Award / grant | 1,764 | 5,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Award / grant | 3,713 | 39,042 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Award / grant | 12,555 | 42,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Kelly John D. | officer | Award / grant | 15,548 | 86,140 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Award / grant | 32,161 | 103,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Roth James H | director | Withheld for tax | 203 | 35,101 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Gift | 10,170 | 70,948 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | MCCARTNEY JOHN | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 52,817 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Brown Joy | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 9,564 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | LOCKHART H EUGENE | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 10,242 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Markell Peter Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 12,771 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | SAWYER HUGH E III | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 24,998 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 15,593 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Zumwalt Debra | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 26,979 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Roth James H | director | Gift | 2,334 | 45,304 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-09 | Calder-Katz Hope | officer | Withheld for tax | 2 | 3,546 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Calder-Katz Hope | officer | Withheld for tax | 77 | 3,548 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Roth James H | director | Withheld for tax | 29,658 | 81,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Hussey C. Mark | director | Withheld for tax | 22,015 | 99,714 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Kelly John D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,459 | 67,394 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Dail James Ronald | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,062 | 38,904 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.