Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.21 · now $34.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HROW has typically landed between $26.36 and $45.40 — a range of −22.9% to +32.7% from the issuance price $34.21.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,729 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-09-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HROW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $34.21 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $34.88 (+2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.35–$39.41
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.36–$45.4
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2011-02-09 | −78.7% | −78.7% | +9.8% |
| 2011-05-31 | −75.1% | −75.1% | +49.5% |
| 2012-02-15 | −72.2% | −72.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2011-10-21 | +656.1% | −18.9% | +656.1% |
| 2011-10-24 | +629.8% | −18.9% | +656.1% |
| 2011-11-18 | +621.5% | +0.0% | +832.5% |
4,729 overlapping windows · 2007-09-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Shojaei Amir | officer | Sale | 11,250 @ $40.00 | $450K | −100.0% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Graves Adrienne L | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $31.07 | $31K | ownership Δ n/a | +35.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | SILVERNAIL LAUREN P | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $31.00 | $31K | ownership Δ n/a | +35.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BAUM MARK L | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $30.20 | $302K | +0.3% of holding | +25.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,996,130 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Purchase | 3,500 @ $29.90 | $105K | +0.4% of holding | +25.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 814,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 134,000 @ $39.67 | $5.3M | −3.6% of holding | −6.0% | −12.7% | 3,622,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,263 @ $39.67 | $169K | −6.7% of holding | −6.0% | −12.7% | 59,428 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 59,000 @ $39.15 | $2.3M | −1.5% of holding | −4.8% | −16.8% | 3,756,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,309 @ $39.15 | $51K | −2.0% of holding | −4.8% | −16.8% | 63,691 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $54.18 | $271K | −7.1% of holding | −30.9% | −44.0% | 65,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $53.35 | $1.1M | −22.2% of holding | −11.9% | −29.0% | 70,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $30.80 | $462K | −14.3% of holding | +8.4% | +41.3% | 90,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,204 @ $30.37 | $462K | −12.6% of holding | −0.6% | +42.8% | 105,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,796 @ $30.02 | $54K | −1.5% of holding | +1.8% | +35.4% | 120,204 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,000 @ $30.04 | $90K | −2.4% of holding | +3.0% | +21.9% | 122,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $26.59 | $133K | −3.8% of holding | +15.7% | +30.4% | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $25.90 | $259K | −7.1% of holding | +15.4% | +10.5% | 130,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $30.01 | $150K | −3.4% of holding | −7.4% | +41.7% | 140,000 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $29.64 | $148K | −3.3% of holding | −7.4% | +41.7% | 145,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $28.05 | $140K | −3.2% of holding | +0.3% | +29.7% | 150,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | Opaleye Management Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $35.59 | $712K | −11.4% of holding | −15.1% | +2.5% | 155,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Shojaei Amir | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 18,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Shojaei Amir | officer | Option exercise | 11,250 | 11,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sternberg Perry J. | director | Award / grant | 5,248 | 5,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Graves Adrienne L | director | Award / grant | 5,248 | 5,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | SILVERNAIL LAUREN P | director | Award / grant | 5,248 | 5,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Shojaei Amir | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Sullivan Patrick William | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Sullivan Patrick William | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BAUM MARK L | director | Withheld for tax | 79,994 | 2,986,130 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,665 | 811,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 180,000 | 3,066,124 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | 837,844 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 180,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Pollard Randall E. | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-21 | BAUM MARK L | director | Withheld for tax | 313,338 | 2,886,124 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-21 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 3,199,462 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | BAUM MARK L | director | Award / grant | 889,500 | 889,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Award / grant | 405,750 | 405,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | SILVERNAIL LAUREN P | director | Award / grant | 7,339 | 7,339 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Sternberg Perry J. | director | Award / grant | 7,339 | 7,339 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Graves Adrienne L | director | Award / grant | 7,339 | 7,339 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-07 | BAUM MARK L | director | Withheld for tax | 300,363 | 2,599,462 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-07 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 136,745 | 777,844 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-07 | SAHAREK JOHN P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 109,475 | 467,388 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | SAHAREK JOHN P. | officer | Option exercise | 277,200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | SAHAREK JOHN P. | officer | Option exercise | 277,200 | 576,863 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 346,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 762,300 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | BOLL ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 346,500 | 914,589 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-03 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 762,300 | 2,899,825 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Shojaei Amir | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2015-07-31 | BAUM MARK L | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.