FNKOFunko, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.26 · now $5.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FNKO has typically landed between $3.60 and $6.76 — a range of −31.6% to +28.6% from the issuance price $5.26.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,207 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FNKO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.6worst · -31.6%$6.76best · +28.6%
  • now $5.26 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.35 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.78–$5.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.6–$6.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,207 windows spanning 2017-11-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-10-06−62.8%−62.8%+4.9%
2022-10-18−60.5%−64.1%+1.5%
2022-10-21−59.2%−63.3%+3.7%
3 best
2020-05-07+97.7%+0.0%+97.7%
2020-05-06+88.1%+0.0%+88.1%
2020-11-06+77.0%+0.0%+80.2%

2,207 overlapping windows · 2017-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+7.1%
n=9
Feb
56%
−1.8%
n=9
Mar
33%
−10.2%
n=9
Apr
56%
+1.1%
n=9
May
100%
+22.5%
n=9
Jun
78%
+5.6%
n=9
Jul
44%
+0.2%
n=9
Aug
56%
+3.7%
n=9
Sep
22%
−4.0%
n=9
Oct
38%
−5.4%
n=8
Nov
25%
−9.0%
n=8
Dec
78%
+8.0%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$32026-09-03: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Simon Josh …2026-09-01: 2 insider sales, $234K — Le Pendeven Yves …2026-08-28: 1 insider sale, $48K — Le Pendeven Yves2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $28K — Le Pendeven Yves2026-08-24: 1 insider purchase, $500K — DENSON CHARLES D2026-08-12: 1 insider sale, $52K — Shah Husnal2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $1K — Shah Husnal2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $7K — Le Pendeven Yves2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $92K — Le Pendeven Yves2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $208K — Oddie Andrew David2026-03-18: 1 insider sale, $47K — Daw Tracy D2026-03-16: 3 insider sales, $47K — Oddie Andrew David, Shah Husnal, Le Pendeven Yves2026-03-13: 3 insider sales, $43K — Oddie Andrew David, Le Pendeven Yves, Shah Husnal2026-03-09: 6 insider sales, $36K — Oddie Andrew David, Shah Husnal, Le Pendeven Yves …2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $837 — Shah Husnal2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $2K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $8372026-03: 13 open-market sales, $173K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $208K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $500K2026-08: 6 open-market sales, $228K2026-09: 4 open-market sales, $1.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Simon Josh — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Simon Josh — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 6 days after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DENSON CHARLES D — Purchase on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Oddie Andrew David — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Daw Tracy D — Sale on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Oddie Andrew David — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Oddie Andrew David — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Oddie Andrew David — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Oddie Andrew David — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Le Pendeven Yves — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shah Husnal — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Simon JoshdirectorSale136,345 @ $5.76$786K−47.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open151,440Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03Simon JoshdirectorSale45,548 @ $5.87$267K−13.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open287,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale34,074 @ $6.51$222K−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale1,833 @ $6.60$12K−5.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open34,074Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-28Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale6,862 @ $7.02$48K−16.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open35,907Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-08-27Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale4,000 @ $7.00$28K−8.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open42,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24DENSON CHARLES DdirectorPurchase72,992 @ $6.85$500K+37.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open269,084Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12Shah HusnalofficerSale8,800 @ $5.95$52K−53.1% of holding−6.5%not yet — horizon still open7,767Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Shah HusnalofficerSale200 @ $6.00$1K−1.2% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open16,567Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale1,117 @ $6.00$7K−2.3% of holding−11.5%not yet — horizon still open46,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale13,138 @ $7.00$92K−22.6% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open44,936Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale34,656 @ $6.00$208K−50.0% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open34,657Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-18Daw Tracy DofficerSale12,793 @ $3.65$47K−21.4% of holding+17.2%not yet — horizon still open47,016Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale6,250 @ $3.71$23K−8.3% of holding−1.8%+24.9%69,313Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Shah HusnalofficerSale3,651 @ $3.73$14K−17.9% of holding−1.8%+24.9%16,767Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale2,832 @ $3.74$11K−4.6% of holding−1.8%+24.9%58,074Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale4,844 @ $4.13$20K−7.1% of holding−16.0%+16.2%62,963Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale3,199 @ $4.14$13K−5.7% of holding−16.0%+16.2%52,506Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Shah HusnalofficerSale2,358 @ $4.15$10K−16.4% of holding−16.0%+16.2%12,018Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-09Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale3,413 @ $4.36$15K−5.8% of holding−16.3%+12.4%55,671Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale2,331 @ $4.34$10K−3.9% of holding−16.3%+12.4%58,040Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Shah HusnalofficerSale1,019 @ $4.32$4K−10.7% of holding−16.3%+12.4%8,528Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale896 @ $4.33$4K−1.9% of holding−16.3%+12.4%45,338Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Shah HusnalofficerSale328 @ $4.44$1K−3.5% of holding−16.3%+12.4%8,950Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale296 @ $4.38$1K−0.6% of holding−16.3%+12.4%45,938Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Shah HusnalofficerSale263 @ $3.18$837−3.5% of holding+6.1%+56.2%7,203Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale795 @ $2.59$2K−1.8% of holding+17.9%+29.2%43,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Williams Cynthia WdirectorSale34,126 @ $3.93$134K−26.4% of holding+23.6%−37.8%94,945Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Williams Cynthia WdirectorSale13,331 @ $3.97$53K−28.9% of holding+23.6%−37.8%32,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale9,580 @ $4.96$47K−15.5% of holding−2.1%−48.4%52,203Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-24Daw Tracy DofficerSale1,495 @ $4.03$6K−5.1% of holding−15.2%−50.7%27,826Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-22Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale2,436 @ $4.17$10K−5.4% of holding−17.8%−57.0%42,459Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-22Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale233 @ $4.22$984−0.6% of holding−17.8%−57.0%41,345Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Daw Tracy DofficerSale18,608 @ $7.14$133K−41.4% of holding−37.6%−72.1%26,332Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-17Harinstein JasondirectorPurchase15,000 @ $7.09$106Kownership Δ n/a−38.5%−70.6%15,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-14Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale7,433 @ $7.08$53K−15.7% of holding−35.4%−70.7%39,986Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale6,243 @ $7.08$44K−11.6% of holding−35.4%−70.7%47,419Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale2,490 @ $7.10$18K−5.8% of holding−35.4%−70.7%40,719Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale746 @ $7.16$5K−2.8% of holding−35.4%−70.7%26,062Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Williams Cynthia WdirectorPurchase14,000 @ $7.63$107Kownership Δ n/a−26.2%−72.7%14,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale2,563 @ $8.13$21K−9.2% of holding−30.4%−73.4%25,336Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale320 @ $8.16$3K−0.9% of holding−30.4%−73.4%34,809Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-07Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale3,867 @ $8.87$34K−14.3% of holding−32.3%−75.8%23,200Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07Le Pendeven YvesofficerSale1,006 @ $8.88$9K−2.9% of holding−32.3%−75.8%34,233Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-06Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale359 @ $14.14$5K−1.7% of holding−38.0%−88.3%20,186Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-06Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale358 @ $14.00$5K−1.7% of holding−1.2%−73.1%20,186Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-02Oddie Andrew DavidofficerSale27,712 @ $13.67$379K−57.9% of holding−0.4%−74.9%20,186Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-20Daw Tracy DofficerSale14,650 @ $12.55$184K−69.7% of holding+1.9%−63.6%6,362Form 4 · filed same day
2021-05-28LUNSFORD MICHAEL CdirectorSale5,208 @ $26.03$136K−27.1% of holding−19.5%−45.3%14,036Form 4 · filed 1617 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

193 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Simon JoshdirectorOption exercise83,333333,333Form 4
2026-09-01Simon JoshdirectorOption exercise250,000250,000Form 4
2026-09-01Simon JoshdirectorOption exercise83,333666,667Form 4
2026-09-01Simon JoshdirectorOption exercise250,000750,000Form 4
2026-08-08Le Pendeven YvesofficerOption exercise2,95047,886Form 4
2026-08-08Le Pendeven YvesofficerOption exercise2,9505,900Form 4
2026-06-12Kerns MikedirectorOption exercise17,41930,500Form 4
2026-06-12EDWARDS TREVOR AdirectorOption exercise17,41933,653Form 4
2026-06-12EDWARDS TREVOR AdirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12IRVINE DIANE MdirectorOption exercise17,41941,992Form 4
2026-06-12IRVINE DIANE MdirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12Levy Sarah KirshbaumdirectorOption exercise17,41940,892Form 4
2026-06-12Levy Sarah KirshbaumdirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12Harinstein JasondirectorOption exercise17,41935,527Form 4
2026-06-12Harinstein JasondirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12Jacobs JessedirectorOption exercise17,41934,486Form 4
2026-06-12Jacobs JessedirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12Kerns MikedirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12TCG Capital Management, LPdirectorOption exercise17,41934,486Form 4
2026-06-12TCG Capital Management, LPdirectorOption exercise17,41930,500Form 4
2026-06-12TCG Capital Management, LPdirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-12DENSON CHARLES DdirectorOption exercise17,419196,092Form 4
2026-06-12DENSON CHARLES DdirectorOption exercise17,4190Form 4
2026-06-03TCG Capital Management, LPdirectorAward / grant28,73628,736Form 4
2026-06-03IRVINE DIANE MdirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03IRVINE DIANE MdirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03Levy Sarah KirshbaumdirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03Levy Sarah KirshbaumdirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03Harinstein JasondirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03Harinstein JasondirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03Kerns MikedirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03Jacobs JessedirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03Jacobs JessedirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03EDWARDS TREVOR AdirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03EDWARDS TREVOR AdirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03Duchscher ReeddirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03Duchscher ReeddirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03DENSON CHARLES DdirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4
2026-06-03DENSON CHARLES DdirectorAward / grant14,36814,368Form 4
2026-06-03Kerns MikedirectorAward / grant21,44521,445Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.