Issued 2026-09-17 at $33.71 · now $33.71 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, FIGR has typically landed between $22.93 and $49.70 — a range of −32.0% to +47.4% from the issuance price $33.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
235 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-11 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($33.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FIGR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $33.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $33.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $34.73 (+3.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.1–$39.35
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.93–$49.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 235 windows spanning 2025-09-11 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-28 | −62.8% | −62.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | −57.6% | −57.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | −54.1% | −54.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-12-17 | +92.5% | +0.0% | +98.2% |
| 2025-12-16 | +91.0% | −3.6% | +91.0% |
| 2025-12-18 | +72.9% | +0.0% | +85.9% |
235 overlapping windows · 2025-09-11 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
100%
+39.3%
n=1
Feb
0%
−55.6%
n=1
Mar
100%
+34.3%
n=1
Apr
100%
+3.4%
n=1
May
100%
+0.7%
n=1
Jun
0%
−13.1%
n=1
Jul
0%
−18.9%
n=1
Aug
100%
+47.3%
n=1
Sep
0%
−8.1%
n=1
Oct
100%
+8.9%
n=1
Nov
0%
−8.5%
n=1
Dec
100%
+12.7%
n=1
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $38.64 | $290K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 484,151 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 500 @ $39.36 | $20K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 483,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 40,778 @ $31.26 | $1.3M | −9.6% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 383,471 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 6,135 @ $32.03 | $197K | −1.6% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,336 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 737 @ $32.94 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 376,599 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $30.03 | $120K | −0.8% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 491,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 2,379 @ $28.48 | $68K | −0.5% of holding | +36.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 495,740 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 1,532 @ $27.52 | $42K | −0.3% of holding | +36.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 498,119 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 89 @ $29.11 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | +36.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 495,651 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $30.03 | $120K | −0.8% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 499,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 3,232 @ $27.40 | $89K | −0.6% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 504,419 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 704 @ $28.64 | $20K | −0.1% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 503,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 64 @ $29.01 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 503,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 9,117 @ $30.06 | $274K | −1.8% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 507,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 4,237 @ $35.85 | $152K | −0.8% of holding | −21.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 541,484 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 2,377 @ $34.92 | $83K | −0.4% of holding | −21.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 545,721 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 1,386 @ $36.59 | $51K | −0.3% of holding | −21.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 540,098 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 2,031 @ $36.03 | $73K | −0.1% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,641 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 14,562 @ $37.25 | $542K | −0.5% of holding | −23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,950 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 309 @ $38.15 | $12K | −0.0% of holding | −23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,641 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 16,909 @ $43.34 | $733K | −3.9% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 413,517 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 7,466 @ $44.15 | $330K | −1.8% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 406,051 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 6,570 @ $42.53 | $279K | −1.5% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 430,426 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 5,702 @ $40.49 | $231K | −1.3% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 441,613 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 5,800 @ $39.47 | $229K | −1.3% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 447,315 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 4,617 @ $41.47 | $191K | −1.0% of holding | −33.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 436,996 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 10,105 @ $37.57 | $380K | −37.5% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,842 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 10,105 @ $37.57 | $380K | −37.5% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,842 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 7,682 @ $40.47 | $311K | −100.0% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 7,682 @ $40.47 | $311K | −100.0% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 6,202 @ $38.30 | $238K | −36.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 6,202 @ $38.30 | $238K | −36.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 5,849 @ $36.61 | $214K | −17.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,947 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 5,849 @ $36.61 | $214K | −17.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,947 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 2,958 @ $39.48 | $117K | −27.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,682 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 2,958 @ $39.48 | $117K | −27.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,682 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 2,394 @ $35.68 | $85K | −6.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,796 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Sale | 2,394 @ $35.68 | $85K | −6.8% of holding | −31.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,796 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 47,875 @ $31.84 | $1.5M | −1.5% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,202,591 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 8,844 @ $32.69 | $289K | −0.3% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 106 @ $33.53 | $4K | −0.0% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,641 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 49,692 @ $33.26 | $1.7M | −1.5% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,298,008 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 47,542 @ $34.10 | $1.6M | −1.4% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,250,466 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Sale | 30,135 @ $32.31 | $974K | −0.9% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,347,700 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $32.25 | $258K | −1.4% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 548,098 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 27,561 @ $35.93 | $990K | −100.0% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Ou June | director | Sale | 27,561 @ $35.93 | $990K | −100.0% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Ou June | director | Sale | 26,158 @ $35.14 | $919K | −48.7% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,561 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 26,158 @ $35.14 | $919K | −48.7% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,561 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Sale | 14,121 @ $33.85 | $478K | −20.8% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,719 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Ou June | director | Sale | 14,121 @ $33.85 | $478K | −20.8% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,719 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 6,111 @ $33.66 | $206K | −1.1% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 556,398 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 1,589 @ $32.70 | $52K | −0.3% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 562,509 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Sale | 300 @ $34.19 | $10K | −0.1% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 556,098 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 24,630 @ $32.28 | $795K | −5.3% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 441,169 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 19,998 @ $31.45 | $629K | −4.1% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 465,799 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Sale | 5,080 @ $33.00 | $168K | −1.2% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 436,089 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Sale | 156,947 @ $33.50 | $5.3M | −84.5% of holding | −17.2% | −16.9% | 28,795 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Sale | 28,795 @ $34.38 | $990K | −100.0% of holding | −17.2% | −16.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Sale | 26,170 @ $33.50 | $877K | −84.5% of holding | −17.2% | −16.9% | 4,801 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
176 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Option exercise | 20,746 | 481,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Option exercise | 20,746 | 654,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Ou June | director | Withheld for tax | 263,910 | 4,512,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 263,910 | 4,512,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,330 | 460,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Option exercise | 38,281 | 424,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Option exercise | 38,281 | 497,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,543 | 386,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 29,612 | 4,776,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ou June | director | Withheld for tax | 29,612 | 4,776,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Withheld for tax | 15,355 | 3,045,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Withheld for tax | 132,861 | 3,060,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 29,958 | 4,806,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ou June | director | Withheld for tax | 29,958 | 4,806,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Ou June | director | Withheld for tax | 30,370 | 32,043,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 30,370 | 32,043,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ou June | director | Award / grant | 3,192 | 6,132,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Award / grant | 3,192 | 6,132,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Goldwasser Lesley | director | Award / grant | 3,192 | 12,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kgil Minchung | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,330 | 516,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 2,031 | 3,195,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 2,031 | 4,557,881 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 14,871 | 3,208,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 14,871 | 4,559,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Option exercise | 38,821 | 453,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Option exercise | 38,821 | 535,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 32,074,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 32,074,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 35,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 35,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 35,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Ou June | director | Conversion | 35,190 | 35,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Stevens David Todd | officer | Withheld for tax | 21,795 | 414,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 31,496 | 32,109,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ou June | director | Withheld for tax | 31,496 | 32,109,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 12,567 | 3,377,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Option exercise | 12,567 | 4,574,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Tannenbaum Michael Benjamin | director | Withheld for tax | 132,861 | 3,365,268 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cagney Michael Scott | director | Conversion | 67,840 | 29,903,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Ou June | director | Conversion | 67,840 | 29,903,863 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.