Issued 2026-09-16 at $70.40 · now $70.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DOCU has typically landed between $54.18 and $86.15 — a range of −23.0% to +22.4% from the issuance price $70.40.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,087 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-04-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($70.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DOCU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $70.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $70.4 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.62 (-1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $62.96–$76.27
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $54.18–$86.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,087 windows spanning 2018-04-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-11-03 | −52.3% | −52.3% | +0.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | −49.4% | −52.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-05 | −48.2% | −49.5% | +2.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-06-09 | +49.7% | +0.0% | +49.7% |
| 2023-11-15 | +45.5% | −2.6% | +45.5% |
| 2023-11-17 | +45.4% | −1.6% | +46.9% |
2,087 overlapping windows · 2018-04-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
75%
+1.6%
n=8
Feb
38%
−3.3%
n=8
Mar
38%
−1.2%
n=8
Apr
50%
−1.8%
n=8
May
67%
+9.9%
n=9
Jun
33%
−1.5%
n=9
Jul
89%
+8.8%
n=9
Aug
56%
+2.4%
n=9
Sep
33%
−2.1%
n=9
Oct
50%
−1.9%
n=8
Nov
50%
+3.3%
n=8
Dec
50%
+3.3%
n=8
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Wilderotter Mary Agnes | director | Sale | 1,096 @ $70.60 | $77K | −25.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,199 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Marrs Anna | director | Sale | 548 @ $67.00 | $37K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 13,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Solvik Peter | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $65.25 | $2.0M | −24.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 90,253 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Solvik Peter | director | Sale | 16,000 @ $65.22 | $1.0M | −24.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,558 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Briggs Teresa | director | Sale | 548 @ $64.60 | $35K | −4.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 11,550 @ $65.25 | $754K | −12.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 84,879 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 3,450 @ $66.64 | $230K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 81,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-04 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $70.00 | $2.1M | −23.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,429 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | BEER JAMES A | director | Sale | 450 @ $64.02 | $29K | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,586 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $60.00 | $900K | −10.6% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 126,429 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 21,993 @ $46.11 | $1.0M | −12.1% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,038 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 14,400 @ $45.53 | $656K | −9.2% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 142,029 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 11,754 @ $45.53 | $535K | −18.1% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,061 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $45.54 | $273K | −6.3% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,972 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 4,257 @ $45.58 | $194K | −2.3% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 181,031 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 600 @ $45.99 | $28K | −0.4% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 246 @ $46.01 | $11K | −0.5% of holding | +19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,815 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 9,222 @ $42.64 | $393K | −10.4% of holding | +11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,485 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 6,680 @ $43.52 | $291K | −8.4% of holding | +11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,805 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-05 | Marrs Anna | director | Sale | 363 @ $49.42 | $18K | −2.7% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,977 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | BEER JAMES A | director | Sale | 450 @ $55.04 | $25K | −2.9% of holding | −15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,036 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Marrs Anna | director | Sale | 365 @ $55.04 | $20K | −2.8% of holding | −15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,615 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-29 | Briggs Teresa | director | Sale | 365 @ $50.04 | $18K | −3.4% of holding | −14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,263 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 17,450 @ $48.12 | $840K | −10.3% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 152,237 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 6,481 @ $47.33 | $307K | −10.8% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,731 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 6,100 @ $47.39 | $289K | −3.5% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 5,419 @ $46.22 | $250K | −8.3% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,212 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 3,108 @ $47.31 | $147K | −3.8% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,433 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilderotter Mary Agnes | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $48.15 | $144K | −4.8% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,803 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 2,700 @ $46.44 | $125K | −1.5% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,787 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 2,692 @ $46.21 | $124K | −3.2% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 82,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 200 @ $47.95 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,233 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 100 @ $48.00 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,631 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 4,300 @ $47.92 | $206K | −5.1% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,374 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 4,092 @ $48.93 | $200K | −5.1% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,282 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 3,824 @ $49.50 | $189K | −5.0% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,458 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 3,085 @ $46.67 | $144K | −3.5% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,674 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 1,395 @ $45.52 | $64K | −1.6% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,759 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Marrs Anna | director | Sale | 363 @ $46.33 | $17K | −2.9% of holding | +2.6% | +22.7% | 12,251 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | BEER JAMES A | director | Sale | 450 @ $45.02 | $20K | −3.0% of holding | +6.5% | +25.7% | 14,757 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Marrs Anna | director | Sale | 365 @ $45.02 | $16K | −3.0% of holding | +6.5% | +25.7% | 11,889 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Briggs Teresa | director | Sale | 364 @ $44.31 | $16K | −3.8% of holding | +12.5% | +29.3% | 9,170 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-09 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 16,151 @ $69.35 | $1.1M | −9.6% of holding | −30.5% | −37.1% | 152,360 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 9,799 @ $69.98 | $686K | −6.4% of holding | −30.5% | −37.1% | 142,561 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 6,500 @ $70.00 | $455K | −5.5% of holding | −30.5% | −37.1% | 111,713 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Sale | 300 @ $70.83 | $21K | −0.2% of holding | −30.5% | −37.1% | 142,261 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 4,164 @ $67.28 | $280K | −6.8% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 57,220 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 2,670 @ $68.45 | $183K | −4.7% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 54,550 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 2,720 @ $66.74 | $182K | −4.2% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 61,384 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 2,613 @ $66.94 | $175K | −3.5% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 71,067 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Sale | 2,446 @ $65.39 | $160K | −3.7% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 64,104 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 1,290 @ $65.43 | $84K | −1.7% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 73,680 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $67.78 | $75K | −1.5% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 69,967 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Hansen Paula | officer | Sale | 997 @ $68.62 | $68K | −1.4% of holding | −29.9% | −37.2% | 68,970 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 8,565 @ $68.61 | $588K | −10.9% of holding | −18.9% | −48.8% | 70,197 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 5,990 @ $68.61 | $411K | −4.8% of holding | −18.9% | −48.8% | 118,213 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 5,253 @ $67.88 | $357K | −6.3% of holding | −18.9% | −48.8% | 78,762 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Sale | 3,525 @ $67.86 | $239K | −2.8% of holding | −18.9% | −48.8% | 124,203 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Sale | 1,683 @ $70.87 | $119K | −2.4% of holding | −14.5% | −47.0% | 68,496 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
241 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 23,141 | 69,424 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 3,024 | 17,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 44,234 | 125,663 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 11,497 | 11,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 9,276 | 54,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,730 | 107,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 3,370 | 23,591 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,508 | 90,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 1,658 | 5,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 1,544 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 3,024 | 17,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 20,007 | 40,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,559 | 109,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 4,537 | 26,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 1,105 | 3,701 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,983 | 59,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Option exercise | 3,528 | 20,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 67,467 | 226,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 2,187 | 6,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 7,196 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Option exercise | 15,980 | 127,841 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 1,091 | 3,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Withheld for tax | 33,454 | 193,051 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 6,194 | 68,139 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 5,086 | 17,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 4,129 | 45,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 15,197 | 167,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Option exercise | 7,325 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 2,346 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 18,277 | 71,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Shaughnessy James P | officer | Option exercise | 2,932 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 5,119 | 35,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 3,413 | 23,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 1,564 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 8,749 | 26,247 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | officer | Option exercise | 7,433 | 81,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chatwani Robert | officer | Option exercise | 35,307 | 108,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Thygesen Allan C. | director | Option exercise | 10,466 | 73,262 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Option exercise | 7,433 | 81,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hansen Paula | officer | Option exercise | 39,444 | 129,416 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.