Issued 2026-09-25 at $562.90 · now $562.89 (2026-09-25, −0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, DELL has typically landed between $470.96 and $725.11 — a range of −16.3% to +28.8% from the issuance price $562.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,520 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-08-17 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($562.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DELL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $562.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $562.89 (-0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $585.97 (+4.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $538.15–$633.79
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $470.96–$725.11
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,520 windows spanning 2016-08-17 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −45.3% | −45.3% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-14 | −40.8% | −40.8% | +0.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | −40.1% | −45.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-30 | +123.0% | +0.0% | +123.0% |
| 2026-05-01 | +107.1% | +0.0% | +121.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | +104.7% | +0.0% | +104.7% |
2,520 overlapping windows · 2016-08-17 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$290.5B
market cap
$12.59
EPS (TTM)
34.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-09-03
next earnings
Revenue$113.5B
'21'26
Net income$5.9B
'21'26
Free cash flow$8.6B
'21'26
Net margin · by yr5.2%
'21'26
ROE · by yr-240.3%
'21'26
Debt / equity · by yr-12.75
'21'26
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$109.01
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$430.64
- Analyst target · range $270.00–$700.00$500.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-25$562.89
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−1.0%
n=10
Feb
70%
+4.6%
n=10
Mar
50%
+2.9%
n=10
Apr
80%
+7.9%
n=10
May
90%
+16.5%
n=10
Jun
60%
+1.5%
n=10
Jul
50%
+1.6%
n=10
Aug
70%
+1.9%
n=10
Sep
91%
+6.8%
n=11
Oct
70%
+3.0%
n=10
Nov
70%
+4.3%
n=10
Dec
50%
−2.3%
n=10
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Durban Egon | director | Sale | 1,850 @ $548.40 | $1.0M | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,405,236 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-22 | Radakovich Lynn Vojvodich | director | Sale | 2,022 @ $565.28 | $1.1M | −7.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 25,267 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-21 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 3,949 @ $569.40 | $2.2M | −82.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-21 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,645 @ $569.40 | $1.5M | −82.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 561 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-21 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 839 @ $571.51 | $479K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-21 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 561 @ $571.51 | $321K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Kennedy David Alan | officer | Sale | 23,035 @ $584.98 | $13.5M | −12.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 160,062 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 8,176 @ $585.47 | $4.8M | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 125,851 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 7,892 @ $584.49 | $4.6M | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 134,027 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 7,460 @ $585.47 | $4.4M | −5.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 137,092 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 7,202 @ $584.49 | $4.2M | −4.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 144,553 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 6,980 @ $586.43 | $4.1M | −5.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 118,871 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 6,575 @ $587.51 | $3.9M | −5.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 112,296 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 6,370 @ $586.43 | $3.7M | −4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 130,723 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $587.51 | $3.5M | −4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 124,723 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 4,688 @ $588.46 | $2.8M | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 107,607 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 4,278 @ $588.46 | $2.5M | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 120,445 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 4,283 @ $585.47 | $2.5M | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,178 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 4,135 @ $584.49 | $2.4M | −5.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 76,462 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Rothberg Richard J | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $583.36 | $2.3M | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 132,415 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 3,657 @ $586.43 | $2.1M | −5.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 68,522 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 3,444 @ $587.51 | $2.0M | −5.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,077 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 3,435 @ $583.49 | $2.0M | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 141,919 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 3,134 @ $583.49 | $1.8M | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,755 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,909 @ $590.54 | $1.7M | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 102,492 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,654 @ $590.54 | $1.6M | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 115,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,655 @ $582.44 | $1.5M | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 145,354 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 2,456 @ $588.46 | $1.4M | −3.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 62,621 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,423 @ $582.44 | $1.4M | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 154,889 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,207 @ $589.56 | $1.3M | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,401 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,110 @ $581.52 | $1.2M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 148,009 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,014 @ $589.56 | $1.2M | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 118,431 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 1,925 @ $581.52 | $1.1M | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 157,312 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 1,799 @ $583.49 | $1.0M | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,596 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $582.01 | $1.0M | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,383,800 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 1,524 @ $590.54 | $900K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 59,941 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 1,391 @ $582.44 | $810K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 82,395 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 1,165 @ $591.24 | $689K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 101,327 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 1,156 @ $589.56 | $682K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 61,465 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 1,105 @ $581.52 | $643K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 83,786 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 1,063 @ $591.24 | $628K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 114,714 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Kennedy David Alan | officer | Sale | 861 @ $586.03 | $505K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 159,201 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 639 @ $579.59 | $370K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 150,727 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 610 @ $591.24 | $361K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 59,331 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 608 @ $580.51 | $353K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 150,119 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 583 @ $579.59 | $338K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 159,792 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 555 @ $580.51 | $322K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 159,237 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 406 @ $577.60 | $235K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,609 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 370 @ $577.60 | $214K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 160,597 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 335 @ $579.59 | $194K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 319 @ $580.51 | $185K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 84,892 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 243 @ $578.51 | $141K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,366 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Sale | 222 @ $578.51 | $128K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 160,375 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 212 @ $577.60 | $122K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 167 @ $585.47 | $98K | −25.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 502 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 161 @ $584.49 | $94K | −19.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 669 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 143 @ $586.43 | $84K | −28.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 359 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 135 @ $587.51 | $79K | −37.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 224 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Sale | 127 @ $578.51 | $73K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,545 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Sale | 96 @ $588.46 | $56K | −42.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 128 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
60 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Radakovich Lynn Vojvodich | director | Option exercise | 2,022 | 27,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-22 | Radakovich Lynn Vojvodich | director | Option exercise | 2,022 | 45,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Other acquisition | 114,714 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Other acquisition | 59,331 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Other acquisition | 101,327 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,139 | 8,868,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 70,460 | 16,383,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 468 | 108,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,037 | 241,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 68,637 | 15,960,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 68,637 | 160,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 70,460 | 152,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,037 | 1,037 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 468 | 468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,139 | 85,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,743 | 8,906,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 109,172 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 69,723 | 16,028,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 16,454,211 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,053 | 242,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 133,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,053 | 1,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,743 | 74,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 69,723 | 139,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,743 | 74,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,053 | 1,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,743 | 74,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 133,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,053 | 1,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 133,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 1,053 | 1,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | SL SPV-2, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 69,723 | 139,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners IV, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 133,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Partners V DE (AIV), L.P. | director | Option exercise | 38,743 | 74,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.P. | director | Option exercise | 475 | 475 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| John Mcguire | House | sale | 2026-06-10 | 2026-06-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-01 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-24 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-17 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-05 | $1–15K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-03-02 | 2026-02-04 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-06 | $1–15K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $15–50K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $15–50K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2025-11-22 | 2025-10-10 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.