Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.54 · now $40.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DCOM has typically landed between $34.87 and $47.76 — a range of −14.0% to +17.8% from the issuance price $40.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DCOM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $40.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.9 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $38–$43.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.87–$47.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −40.4% | −40.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −39.1% | −39.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −38.9% | −38.9% | +1.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-06-14 | +38.3% | +0.0% | +38.3% |
| 2023-11-28 | +37.0% | +0.0% | +38.0% |
| 2023-11-27 | +36.7% | −0.7% | +37.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−1.2%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Mar
70%
−2.1%
n=20
Apr
40%
−1.1%
n=20
May
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Jun
65%
+3.9%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.6%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.0%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Nov
70%
+5.3%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 2,904 @ $41.40 | $120K | −0.7% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 420,339 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 2,882 @ $41.40 | $119K | −0.3% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 906,625 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,162 @ $41.40 | $48K | −0.9% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 129,669 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 168 @ $41.40 | $7K | −0.5% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,282 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 54 @ $41.40 | $2K | −0.9% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,099 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 13,098 @ $40.96 | $536K | −3.0% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 423,243 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 12,999 @ $40.96 | $532K | −1.4% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 909,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 5,240 @ $40.96 | $215K | −3.9% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,831 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 755 @ $40.96 | $31K | −2.3% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 243 @ $40.96 | $10K | −3.8% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,153 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 8,594 @ $40.59 | $349K | −0.9% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 922,506 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 80 @ $40.59 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,205 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | NIELSEN RAYMOND A | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $41.73 | $75K | −5.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 14,907 @ $41.17 | $614K | −1.6% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 931,100 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 3,987 @ $41.17 | $164K | −0.9% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 436,341 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,571 @ $41.17 | $65K | −1.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,071 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 178 @ $41.17 | $7K | −0.5% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,285 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 44 @ $41.17 | $2K | −0.7% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,396 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-31 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 30,661 @ $40.76 | $1.2M | −3.1% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 946,007 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 14,990 @ $40.76 | $611K | −3.3% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 440,328 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 5,931 @ $40.76 | $242K | −4.1% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,642 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,130 @ $40.76 | $46K | −3.4% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,463 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 288 @ $40.76 | $12K | −4.3% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,440 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 6,187 @ $40.79 | $252K | −0.6% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 976,668 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 3,115 @ $40.79 | $127K | −0.7% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 455,318 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,244 @ $40.79 | $51K | −0.9% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,573 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 326 @ $40.79 | $13K | −1.0% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,593 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 57 @ $40.79 | $2K | −0.8% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,728 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 13,800 @ $39.02 | $538K | −2.9% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 458,433 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 12,003 @ $39.02 | $468K | −1.2% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 982,855 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 6,030 @ $39.02 | $235K | −4.0% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 144,817 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 663 @ $39.02 | $26K | −0.1% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 994,858 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 255 @ $39.02 | $10K | −3.6% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,785 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 6,726 @ $39.29 | $264K | −1.4% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 472,233 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 4,142 @ $39.29 | $163K | −2.7% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 150,847 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,790 @ $39.29 | $70K | −0.2% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 995,521 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,238 @ $39.29 | $49K | −0.1% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 997,311 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 123 @ $39.29 | $5K | −1.7% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,040 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 6,963 @ $39.67 | $276K | −1.4% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 478,959 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 4,288 @ $39.67 | $170K | −2.7% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,989 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,853 @ $39.67 | $74K | −0.2% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000,402 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 1,281 @ $39.67 | $51K | −0.1% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 998,549 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 128 @ $39.67 | $5K | −1.8% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,163 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 5,892 @ $40.08 | $236K | −3.6% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,277 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 5,244 @ $40.08 | $210K | −1.1% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 485,922 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 4,636 @ $40.08 | $186K | −0.5% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,001,683 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 98 @ $40.08 | $4K | −1.3% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,291 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | SUSKIND DENNIS A | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $39.00 | $195K | −5.4% of holding | −1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,090 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | SUSKIND DENNIS A | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $38.75 | $194K | −5.1% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 92,090 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | NIELSEN RAYMOND A | director | Sale | 1,650 @ $37.09 | $61K | −4.4% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,607 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-13 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Sale | 19,550 @ $35.07 | $686K | −8.8% of holding | −6.5% | +3.6% | 202,648 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Sale | 5,476 @ $35.14 | $192K | −2.4% of holding | −6.4% | +3.8% | 222,198 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $34.83 | $261K | −0.7% of holding | −7.2% | +6.5% | 1,006,319 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-30 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 20,339 @ $33.96 | $691K | −2.0% of holding | −1.9% | +12.7% | 1,013,819 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Wu Judy | officer | Sale | 495 @ $29.80 | $15K | −12.0% of holding | −1.7% | +25.2% | 3,622 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Purchase | 20,537 @ $26.26 | $539K | +2.0% of holding | +12.7% | +34.5% | 1,034,158 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | director | Sale | 20,537 @ $26.25 | $539K | −2.0% of holding | +12.7% | +34.5% | 1,013,621 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | NIELSEN RAYMOND A | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $26.28 | $53K | −5.5% of holding | +10.9% | +33.5% | 34,185 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | NIELSEN RAYMOND A | director | Sale | 200 @ $26.39 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | +10.9% | +33.5% | 33,985 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-30 | NIELSEN RAYMOND A | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $26.61 | $53K | −5.2% of holding | +9.5% | +30.7% | 36,185 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
109 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,378 | 191,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,378 | 172,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,189 | 163,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,253 | 17,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,253 | 20,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Germano Judith H | director | Award / grant | 439 | 10,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perry Joseph | director | Award / grant | 84 | 58,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Germano Judith H | director | Award / grant | 528 | 10,419 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Perry Joseph | director | Award / grant | 101 | 58,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,808 | 192,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,387 | 196,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,303 | 194,882 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Withheld for tax | 814 | 44,206 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Withheld for tax | 624 | 45,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Withheld for tax | 475 | 45,644 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 439 | 19,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 430 | 18,626 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | GEISEL THOMAS X | officer | Withheld for tax | 426 | 7,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Withheld for tax | 399 | 12,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Withheld for tax | 341 | 13,068 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wu Judy | officer | Withheld for tax | 333 | 3,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 328 | 19,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Withheld for tax | 265 | 12,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wu Judy | officer | Withheld for tax | 263 | 3,359 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | DiGangi Elizabeth Felice | officer | Withheld for tax | 36 | 2,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Award / grant | 17,375 | 209,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Award / grant | 7,239 | 51,445 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fegan Michael | officer | Award / grant | 3,786 | 22,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wu Judy | officer | Award / grant | 1,743 | 4,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Award / grant | 2,515 | 14,919 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | GEISEL THOMAS X | officer | Award / grant | 4,779 | 8,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | DiGangi Elizabeth Felice | officer | Award / grant | 458 | 2,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,486 | 200,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Lubow Stuart H | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,590 | 198,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,353 | 46,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,015 | 20,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Withheld for tax | 822 | 13,409 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Reddy Avinash | officer | Withheld for tax | 820 | 46,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fegan Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 618 | 19,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Porzelt Christopher J | officer | Withheld for tax | 526 | 14,231 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.