CVXChevron CorporationEnergy · Oil & Gas Integratedas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $211.54 · now $211.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CVX has typically landed between $190.50 and $236.79 — a range of −9.9% to +11.9% from the issuance price $211.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($211.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CVX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $211.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$190.5worst · -9.9%$236.79best · +11.9%
  • now $211.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $215.73 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $206.77$224.69
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $190.5$236.79
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−50.3%−50.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−50.1%−50.1%+0.5%
2020-02-19−48.2%−50.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+58.4%−1.5%+58.4%
2020-03-23+55.7%+0.0%+60.8%
2020-03-19+45.6%−5.5%+51.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$387.9B
market cap
$5.77
EPS (TTM)
33.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-31
next earnings
Revenue$184.4B
'20'25
Net income$12.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$16.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr6.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr6.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.25
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $211.54$107.93$239.04
  • DCF (intrinsic)$171.90
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$116.97
  • Analyst target · range $174.00$230.00$210.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$211.54

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−0.6%
n=18
Feb
74%
+2.4%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.7%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.6%
n=19
May
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.2%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.0%
n=19
Sep
58%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
56%
+2.1%
n=18
Nov
61%
+3.1%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$218$1442026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $507K — Pate R. Hewitt2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $3.4M — Walz Andrew Benjamin2026-08-14: 2 insider sales, $63.6M — Wirth Michael K …2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — GUSTAVSON JEFF B2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Wirth Michael K2026-08-03: 8 insider sales, $157.4M — HESS JOHN B …2026-05-20: 7 insider sales, $73.4M — HESS JOHN B …2026-05-06: 3 insider sales, $36.0M — HESS JOHN B …2026-03-30: 1 insider sale, $8.6M — Pate R. Hewitt2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $9.1M — Pate R. Hewitt2026-03-02: 13 insider sales, $94.3M — Wirth Michael K, NELSON MARK A, Pate R. Hewitt, BONNER EIMEAR P …2026-02-27: 9 insider sales, $13.1M — Pate R. Hewitt, BONNER EIMEAR P, GUSTAVSON JEFF B …2026-02-18: 2 insider sales, $710K — Knowles Alana K, Walz Andrew Benjamin2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $205K — Booth Thomas Ryder2026-02-12: 3 insider sales, $2.2M — Booth Thomas Ryder, Walz Andrew Benjamin …2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $924 — Booth Thomas Ryder2026-02-03: 2 insider sales, $5.0M — Walz Andrew Benjamin, Booth Thomas Ryder2026-02-02: 2 insider sales, $8.0M — NELSON MARK A …2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $60.0M2025-11: 7 open-market sales, $84.2M2026-01: 12 open-market sales, $73.5M2026-02: 20 open-market sales, $29.2M2026-03: 15 open-market sales, $111.9M2026-05: 10 open-market sales, $109.4M2026-08: 14 open-market sales, $228.6M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer GUSTAVSON JEFF B — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HESS JOHN B — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-03-30, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer NELSON MARK A — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer NELSON MARK A — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONNER EIMEAR P — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wirth Michael K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BONNER EIMEAR P — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer GUSTAVSON JEFF B — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BONNER EIMEAR P — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BONNER EIMEAR P — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Pate R. Hewitt — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BONNER EIMEAR P — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Knowles Alana K — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Booth Thomas Ryder — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Booth Thomas Ryder — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Booth Thomas Ryder — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Booth Thomas Ryder — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Walz Andrew Benjamin — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Booth Thomas Ryder — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer NELSON MARK A — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer NELSON MARK A — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18Pate R. HewittofficerSale2,470 @ $205.11$507K−18.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,794Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale16,800 @ $201.06$3.4M−99.9% of holding+7.7%not yet — horizon still open14Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14Wirth Michael KdirectorSale306,789 @ $200.44$61.5M−89.3% of holding+12.3%not yet — horizon still open36,619Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14Wirth Michael KdirectorSale10,311 @ $201.05$2.1M−28.2% of holding+12.3%not yet — horizon still open26,308Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerSale14,044 @ $194.95$2.7M−78.8% of holding+9.8%not yet — horizon still open3,786Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05Wirth Michael KdirectorSale5,547 @ $187.00$1.0M−17.4% of holding+12.9%not yet — horizon still open26,308Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale271,946 @ $194.48$52.9M−40.9% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open393,742Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale174,821 @ $194.42$34.0M−16.3% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open899,555Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale118,657 @ $193.29$22.9M−15.1% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open665,688Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale90,031 @ $192.75$17.4M−10.3% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open784,345Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale55,510 @ $194.07$10.8M−20.0% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open222,535Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale44,490 @ $194.50$8.7M−20.0% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open178,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale30,031 @ $195.14$5.9M−7.6% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open363,711Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorSale25,179 @ $195.28$4.9M−2.8% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open874,376Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale119,787 @ $192.86$23.1M−22.2% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open420,422Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale117,836 @ $191.52$22.6M−17.9% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open540,209Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale59,045 @ $193.79$11.4M−14.0% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open361,377Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale42,678 @ $194.65$8.3M−11.8% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open318,699Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale30,581 @ $196.74$6.0M−9.8% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open281,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale7,038 @ $195.97$1.4M−2.2% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open311,661Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20HESS JOHN BdirectorSale3,035 @ $197.45$599K−1.1% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open278,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06HESS JOHN BdirectorSale88,921 @ $184.67$16.4M−10.8% of holding+1.6%not yet — horizon still open736,093Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06HESS JOHN BdirectorSale78,048 @ $185.21$14.5M−10.6% of holding+1.6%not yet — horizon still open658,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06HESS JOHN BdirectorSale28,031 @ $183.90$5.2M−3.3% of holding+1.6%not yet — horizon still open825,014Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-30Pate R. HewittofficerSale40,200 @ $213.30$8.6M−82.3% of holding−21.4%not yet — horizon still open8,638Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06Pate R. HewittofficerSale47,200 @ $192.12$9.1M−84.7% of holding+7.8%−4.3%8,558Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02Wirth Michael KdirectorSale90,524 @ $190.04$17.2M−74.3% of holding+14.1%−2.6%31,266Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Wirth Michael KdirectorSale86,329 @ $188.82$16.3M−46.5% of holding+14.1%−2.6%99,365Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02NELSON MARK AofficerSale77,000 @ $187.76$14.5M−87.2% of holding+14.1%−2.6%11,337Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Wirth Michael KdirectorSale64,399 @ $189.61$12.2M−64.8% of holding+14.1%−2.6%34,966Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02NELSON MARK AofficerSale62,600 @ $188.11$11.8M−84.7% of holding+14.1%−2.6%11,337Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Pate R. HewittofficerSale29,260 @ $188.13$5.5M−44.0% of holding+14.1%−2.6%37,298Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Wirth Michael KdirectorSale27,672 @ $188.01$5.2M−13.0% of holding+14.1%−2.6%185,694Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Pate R. HewittofficerSale23,757 @ $189.05$4.5M−63.7% of holding+14.1%−2.6%13,541Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02BONNER EIMEAR PofficerSale17,400 @ $190.60$3.3M−67.4% of holding+14.1%−2.6%8,427Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale6,600 @ $188.56$1.2M−56.9% of holding+14.1%−2.6%5,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Pate R. HewittofficerSale4,983 @ $189.84$946K−36.8% of holding+14.1%−2.6%8,558Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale5,000 @ $188.61$943K−100.0% of holding+14.1%−2.6%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Wirth Michael KdirectorSale3,700 @ $190.60$705K−10.6% of holding+14.1%−2.6%31,266Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27Pate R. HewittofficerSale21,237 @ $186.62$4.0M−66.0% of holding+20.5%−3.7%10,938Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27BONNER EIMEAR PofficerSale18,100 @ $186.56$3.4M−62.8% of holding+20.5%−3.7%10,728Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Pate R. HewittofficerSale6,958 @ $184.29$1.3M−15.8% of holding+20.5%−3.7%37,075Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerSale6,667 @ $186.04$1.2M−64.2% of holding+20.5%−3.7%3,716Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27BONNER EIMEAR PofficerSale5,500 @ $184.28$1.0M−14.9% of holding+20.5%−3.7%31,328Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Pate R. HewittofficerSale4,900 @ $185.61$909K−13.2% of holding+20.5%−3.7%32,175Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27BONNER EIMEAR PofficerSale2,500 @ $185.33$463K−8.0% of holding+20.5%−3.7%28,828Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Pate R. HewittofficerSale2,380 @ $187.22$446K−21.8% of holding+20.5%−3.7%8,558Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27BONNER EIMEAR PofficerSale2,300 @ $187.16$430K−21.4% of holding+20.5%−3.7%8,428Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-18Knowles Alana KofficerSale2,408 @ $183.28$441K−100.0% of holding+13.4%+0.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale1,463 @ $183.83$269K−100.0% of holding+13.4%+0.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Booth Thomas RyderofficerSale1,122 @ $182.37$205K−100.0% of holding+10.4%−2.5%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-12Booth Thomas RyderofficerSale10,600 @ $184.39$2.0M−86.9% of holding+10.8%−3.8%1,598Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-12Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale666 @ $183.40$122K−31.3% of holding+10.8%−3.8%1,463Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-12Booth Thomas RyderofficerSale476 @ $184.54$88K−29.8% of holding+10.8%−3.8%1,122Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-11Booth Thomas RyderofficerSale5 @ $184.77$924−100.0% of holding+11.2%−5.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerSale22,200 @ $176.53$3.9M−97.1% of holding+8.9%−5.5%666Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Booth Thomas RyderofficerSale6,000 @ $178.43$1.1M−92.6% of holding+8.9%−5.5%476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02NELSON MARK AofficerSale27,700 @ $174.09$4.8M−79.5% of holding+9.4%−0.0%7,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02NELSON MARK AofficerSale18,100 @ $174.28$3.2M−71.7% of holding+9.4%−0.0%7,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

241 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28HEWSON MARILLYN AdirectorDiscretionary2136,400Form 4
2026-08-28WARNER CYNTHIA JdirectorDiscretionary19426Form 4
2026-08-17Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerOption exercise12,70016,814Form 4
2026-08-17Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerOption exercise4,1004,114Form 4
2026-08-17Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerOption exercise4,1000Form 4
2026-08-17Moyo Dambisa FdirectorGift35014,495Form 4
2026-08-17Walz Andrew BenjaminofficerOption exercise12,7000Form 4
2026-08-14Wirth Michael KdirectorOption exercise317,100343,408Form 4
2026-08-14Wirth Michael KdirectorOption exercise317,1000Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,6333,786Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,8503,786Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,5613,786Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,8500Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,6330Form 4
2026-08-11GUSTAVSON JEFF BofficerOption exercise4,5618,839Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise243,706778,797Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise74,3101,074,376Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise103,7711,000,066Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise170,077535,091Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise117,498896,295Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise170,0770Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOther acquisition2,244,4975,000,000Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOther acquisition9,11816,404Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOther acquisition439,786439,786Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOther acquisition8,102365,014Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise243,7060Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise117,4980Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise103,7710Form 4
2026-08-03HESS JOHN BdirectorOption exercise74,3100Form 4
2026-06-01HEWSON MARILLYN AdirectorDiscretionary2096,131Form 4
2026-06-01WARNER CYNTHIA JdirectorDiscretionary20403Form 4
2026-05-27HORTON THOMAS WdirectorAward / grant1,2721,734Form 4
2026-05-27Moyo Dambisa FdirectorAward / grant1,27214,790Form 4
2026-05-27Umpleby III Donald JdirectorAward / grant1,2723,031Form 4
2026-05-27WARNER CYNTHIA JdirectorAward / grant1,2727,837Form 4
2026-05-27REED DEBRA LdirectorAward / grant1,27217,420Form 4
2026-05-27Huntsman Jon M JrdirectorAward / grant1,27212,002Form 4
2026-05-27Frank JohndirectorAward / grant1,27220,333Form 4
2026-05-27HERNANDEZ ENRIQUE JRdirectorAward / grant1,27234,859Form 4
2026-05-27HESS JOHN BdirectorAward / grant1,272356,900Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
David J. TaylorHousepurchase2026-07-012026-06-15$1–15K
Tim WalbergHousepurchase2026-06-032025-02-07$15–50K
David J. TaylorHousesale2026-03-202026-03-11$1–15K
David J. TaylorHousesale2026-03-202026-03-12$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-10$15–50K
David J. TaylorHousesale2026-03-062026-02-26$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2026-01-162025-12-29$15–50K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-01-152025-12-18$1–15K
Roger WilliamsHousesale2026-01-152025-12-22$15–50K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132024-10-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-01-122025-12-24$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.