CLBKColumbia Financial, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.46 · now $11.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLBK has typically landed between $10.07 and $13.01 — a range of −12.1% to +13.6% from the issuance price $11.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,091 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-04-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CLBK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.07worst · -12.1%$13.01best · +13.6%
  • now $11.46 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.55 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.01–$12.1
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.07–$13.01
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,091 windows spanning 2018-04-23 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−28.5%−28.5%+0.0%
2020-02-18−26.9%−28.0%+0.5%
2020-02-11−24.9%−24.9%+0.0%
3 best
2024-06-25+29.8%+0.0%+29.8%
2024-06-26+28.6%+0.0%+28.6%
2024-06-21+24.6%−1.4%+24.6%

2,091 overlapping windows · 2018-04-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
−2.5%
n=8
Feb
75%
+3.0%
n=8
Mar
38%
−2.4%
n=8
Apr
38%
−2.5%
n=8
May
44%
+0.8%
n=9
Jun
56%
+1.6%
n=9
Jul
67%
+2.2%
n=9
Aug
44%
+0.3%
n=9
Sep
33%
−0.6%
n=9
Oct
50%
+0.4%
n=8
Nov
88%
+5.6%
n=8
Dec
50%
+2.7%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$12$62026-09-03: 1 insider purchase, $234 — Holland Noel R.2026-07-20: 30 insider purchases, $4.8M — Splaine Thomas Jr, Klein Steven M, Schlesinger Allyson Katz, Kemly Thomas J. …2026-07: 30 open-market purchases, $4.8M2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $234↑ buys↓ salesdirector Holland Noel R. — Purchase on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Splaine Thomas Jr — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Klein Steven M — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schlesinger Allyson Katz — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kemly Thomas J. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klimowich John — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Randall Elizabeth E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Van Dyk Robert — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gibney Dennis E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sorrentini Lucy — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Massood Michael Jr. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Prabhu Manesh Balachandran — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lewis Oliver Edward Jr — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kemly Thomas J. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gibney Dennis E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Randall Elizabeth E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gibney Dennis E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Randall Elizabeth E. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Massood Michael Jr. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WAINWRIGHT JIM HOBART — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kuiken James Michael — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinaldi Mayra Liseth — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Holland Noel R. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Holland Noel R. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schlesinger Allyson Katz — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klimowich John — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinaldi Mayra Liseth — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lewis Oliver Edward Jr — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinaldi Mayra Liseth — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinaldi Mayra Liseth — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinaldi Mayra Liseth — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Holland Noel R.directorPurchase20 @ $11.68$234+0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open80,817Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-20Splaine Thomas JrofficerPurchase50,000 @ $10.00$500K+5800.5% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open50,862Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Klein Steven MdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $10.00$500K+7.6% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open711,570Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Schlesinger Allyson KatzofficerPurchase44,400 @ $10.00$444K+30.0% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open192,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Kemly Thomas J.directorPurchase40,000 @ $10.00$400K+7.3% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open588,391Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Klimowich JohnofficerPurchase30,000 @ $10.00$300K+79.6% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open67,686Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Randall Elizabeth E.directorPurchase27,200 @ $10.00$272K+123.7% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open49,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Van Dyk RobertdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $10.00$250K+8.4% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open322,013Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Gibney Dennis E.directorPurchase20,500 @ $10.00$205K+5.8% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open376,592Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Sorrentini LucydirectorPurchase20,000 @ $10.00$200Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open20,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Massood Michael Jr.directorPurchase15,000 @ $10.00$150K+19.2% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open93,063Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Prabhu Manesh BalachandranofficerPurchase15,000 @ $10.00$150Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open15,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Lewis Oliver Edward JrofficerPurchase14,500 @ $10.00$145Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open14,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Kemly Thomas J.directorPurchase13,057 @ $10.00$131K+14.5% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open103,138Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Gibney Dennis E.directorPurchase12,500 @ $10.00$125K+56.8% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open34,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Randall Elizabeth E.directorPurchase12,200 @ $10.00$122K+82.7% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open26,949Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Gibney Dennis E.directorPurchase11,500 @ $10.00$115Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open11,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Randall Elizabeth E.directorPurchase10,580 @ $10.00$106K+11.1% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open105,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Massood Michael Jr.directorPurchase10,000 @ $10.00$100K+21.3% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open57,044Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20WAINWRIGHT JIM HOBARTdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.00$100K+141.7% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open17,055Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Kuiken James MichaeldirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.00$100Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Rinaldi Mayra LisethofficerPurchase9,000 @ $10.00$90K+252.0% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open12,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Holland Noel R.directorPurchase7,500 @ $10.00$75K+33.8% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open29,674Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Holland Noel R.directorPurchase7,500 @ $10.00$75K+7.4% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open109,316Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Schlesinger Allyson KatzofficerPurchase5,600 @ $10.00$56Kownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open5,600Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Klimowich JohnofficerPurchase5,000 @ $10.00$50K+3.6% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open145,056Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Rinaldi Mayra LisethofficerPurchase1,157 @ $10.00$12K+7.3% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open17,104Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Lewis Oliver Edward JrofficerPurchase500 @ $10.00$5K+0.8% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open65,296Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Rinaldi Mayra LisethofficerPurchase100 @ $10.00$1K+22.7% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open540Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Rinaldi Mayra LisethofficerPurchase50 @ $10.00$500ownership Δ n/a+3.2%not yet — horizon still open50Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20Rinaldi Mayra LisethofficerPurchase30 @ $10.00$300+34.1% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

269 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant159154,636Form 4
2026-09-04Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant5920,669Form 4
2026-09-04Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant1529,833Form 4
2026-09-03Holland Noel R.directorGift2080,797Form 4
2026-08-26Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant661154,478Form 4
2026-08-26Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant39291,850Form 4
2026-08-26Randall Elizabeth E.directorAward / grant21249,396Form 4
2026-08-26Schlesinger Allyson KatzofficerAward / grant12829,924Form 4
2026-08-26Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant12829,818Form 4
2026-08-26Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant8820,611Form 4
2026-08-26Sorrentini LucydirectorAward / grant7316,970Form 4
2026-08-26Lewis Oliver Edward JrofficerAward / grant4610,837Form 4
2026-08-26Schlesinger Allyson KatzofficerAward / grant4410,347Form 4
2026-08-26Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant399,309Form 4
2026-08-26Gibney Dennis E.directorAward / grant184,316Form 4
2026-08-26Prabhu Manesh BalachandranofficerAward / grant102,259Form 4
2026-08-26Lewis Oliver Edward JrofficerAward / grant61,503Form 4
2026-08-21Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant158153,816Form 4
2026-08-21Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant5820,523Form 4
2026-08-07Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant171153,659Form 4
2026-08-07Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant6320,465Form 4
2026-08-07Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant1629,690Form 4
2026-07-24Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant171153,488Form 4
2026-07-24Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant6320,402Form 4
2026-07-10Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant8769,689Form 4
2026-07-10Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant329,245Form 4
2026-07-10Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant810,079Form 4
2026-06-26Torres Daria Stacy-WallsdirectorAward / grant47929,563Form 4
2026-06-26Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant8969,602Form 4
2026-06-26Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant339,213Form 4
2026-06-26Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant1410,071Form 4
2026-06-12Torres Daria Stacy-WallsdirectorAward / grant23629,083Form 4
2026-06-12Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant9069,513Form 4
2026-06-12Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant339,180Form 4
2026-06-12Holland Noel R.directorAward / grant810,057Form 4
2026-05-29Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant9269,423Form 4
2026-05-29Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant349,147Form 4
2026-05-15Torres Daria Stacy-WallsdirectorAward / grant24928,848Form 4
2026-05-15Kemly Thomas J.directorAward / grant9569,331Form 4
2026-05-15Klimowich JohnofficerAward / grant359,113Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.