CDNL · TickerCove

CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.43 · now $32.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CDNL has typically landed between $18.66 and $50.22 — a range of −42.5% to +54.9% from the issuance price $32.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

171 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-12-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$32.43 · 14% of range

$22.03 low$94.31 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+10.3%

typical move · IQR 34.3%

−42.5%worst (p90)+54.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CDNL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $32.43 (+0.0%)
typical $35.77 (+10.3%)
middle 50% $30.2–$41.33
90% range $18.66–$50.22

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 171 windows spanning 2025-12-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-07-15	−51.0%	−51.0%	+4.5%
2026-07-14	−48.4%	−48.4%	+6.1%
2026-07-17	−44.9%	−51.3%	+3.8%
3 best
2026-05-27	+85.3%	+0.0%	+85.3%
2026-05-29	+81.5%	+0.0%	+81.7%
2026-05-28	+78.1%	−2.0%	+78.1%

171 overlapping windows · 2025-12-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Wimmer Richard Bennett	director	Purchase	7,500 @ $39.13	$293K	+34.3% of holding	−14.9%	not yet — horizon still open	29,349	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Purchase	45,249 @ $38.82	$1.8M	+170.2% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	71,839	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Wood Anthony Leon Jr.	director	Purchase	34,019 @ $39.16	$1.3M	ownership Δ n/a	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	34,019	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Lee Richard Melvin Jr.	director	Purchase	27,000 @ $36.59	$988K	+78.8% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	61,254	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Wood Anthony Leon Jr.	director	Purchase	17,381 @ $39.75	$691K	+51.1% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	51,400	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Purchase	14,224 @ $37.69	$536K	+115.0% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	26,590	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	13,627 @ $39.22	$534K	+68.1% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	33,627	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Zelman Ivy	director	Purchase	12,647 @ $39.61	$501K	+62.5% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	32,891	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	12,073 @ $39.77	$480K	+35.9% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	45,700	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Purchase	11,511 @ $39.65	$456K	+16.0% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	83,350	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Purchase	12,366 @ $36.58	$452K	ownership Δ n/a	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	12,366	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Lee Richard Melvin Jr.	director	Purchase	7,000 @ $37.73	$264K	+11.4% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	68,254	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Purchase	7,000 @ $36.53	$256K	ownership Δ n/a	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	7,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-27	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	6,739 @ $49.89	$336K	ownership Δ n/a	+87.9%	not yet — horizon still open	6,739	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	5,355 @ $50.78	$272K	+79.5% of holding	+87.9%	not yet — horizon still open	12,094	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	4,206 @ $51.90	$218K	+34.8% of holding	+87.9%	not yet — horizon still open	16,300	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	3,600 @ $53.90	$194K	+22.1% of holding	+87.9%	not yet — horizon still open	19,900	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27	Wood Benjamin	officer	Purchase	100 @ $54.33	$5K	+0.5% of holding	+87.9%	not yet — horizon still open	20,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-26	Zelman Ivy	director	Purchase	6,921 @ $36.33	$251K	+82.3% of holding	+24.9%	not yet — horizon still open	15,326	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11	Lee Richard Melvin Jr.	director	Purchase	22,725 @ $21.00	$477K	+350.3% of holding	+1.2%	+172.0%	29,212	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11	Wimmer Richard Bennett	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $21.00	$210K	+148.7% of holding	+1.2%	+172.0%	16,725	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11	Gidley Tiffany Leann	officer	Purchase	6,000 @ $21.00	$126K	ownership Δ n/a	+1.2%	+172.0%	6,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11	Zelman Ivy	director	Purchase	2,275 @ $21.00	$48K	+37.1% of holding	+1.2%	+172.0%	8,405	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-05	Wimmer Richard Bennett	director	Award / grant	2,023	21,849	Form 4
2026-06-05	Zelman Ivy	director	Award / grant	1,817	20,244	Form 4
2026-06-05	SHANFELTER AUSTIN J	director	Award / grant	1,941	11,529	Form 4
2026-06-05	Lee Richard Melvin Jr.	director	Award / grant	1,941	34,254	Form 4
2026-05-07	SHANFELTER AUSTIN J	director	Award / grant	3,101	8,726	Form 4
2026-05-07	Wimmer Richard Bennett	director	Award / grant	3,101	19,826	Form 4
2026-05-07	Zelman Ivy	director	Award / grant	3,101	18,427	Form 4
2026-05-07	Lee Richard Melvin Jr.	director	Award / grant	3,101	25,826	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	3,302,980	10,179,004	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	1,653,571	5,095,925	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	665,476	2,050,844	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	595,238	1,834,386	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	330,357	1,018,084	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	66,071	203,617	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	66,071	203,617	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	1,653,571	5,095,925	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	330,357	1,018,084	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	665,476	2,050,844	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	3,302,980	10,179,004	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	595,238	1,834,386	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	66,071	203,617	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	1,653,571	5,095,925	Form 4
2025-12-11	West Erik Daniel	officer	Disposition	330,357	1,018,084	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	3,302,980	10,179,004	Form 4
2025-12-11	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Disposition	665,476	2,050,844	Form 4
2025-12-11	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Disposition	595,238	1,834,386	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	2,429,624	2,429,624	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	269,688	269,688	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	269,688	269,688	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	2,429,624	2,429,624	Form 4
2025-12-09	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Award / grant	13,481,984	13,481,984	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	269,688	269,688	Form 4
2025-12-09	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Award / grant	2,716,320	2,716,320	Form 4
2025-12-09	West Erik Daniel	officer	Award / grant	6,749,496	6,749,496	Form 4
2025-12-09	West Erik Daniel	officer	Award / grant	1,348,441	1,348,441	Form 4
2025-12-09	Rowe Michael Bruce Jr.	officer	Award / grant	2,429,624	2,429,624	Form 4
2025-12-09	West Erik Daniel	officer	Award / grant	1,348,441	1,348,441	Form 4
2025-12-09	Spivey Jeremy Simmons	director	Award / grant	13,481,984	13,481,984	Form 4
2025-12-09	West Erik Daniel	officer	Award / grant	6,749,496	6,749,496	Form 4
2025-12-09	West Erik Daniel	officer	Award / grant	6,749,496	6,749,496	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.