CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $589.00 · now $589.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CASY has typically landed between $541.60 and $670.61 — a range of −8.0% to +13.9% from the issuance price $589.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($589.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CASY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $589 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$541.6worst · -8.0%$670.61best · +13.9%
  • now $589 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $601.62 (+2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $573.72–$629.51
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $541.6–$670.61
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-08-17−32.3%−32.5%+0.0%
2020-02-21−31.6%−31.6%+0.6%
2026-08-14−30.6%−30.6%+2.8%
3 best
2009-03-05+48.5%+0.0%+52.2%
2009-03-04+46.2%−2.6%+48.3%
2009-03-06+43.4%+0.0%+48.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$31.9B
market cap
$19.16
EPS (TTM)
45.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-09-14
next earnings
Revenue$17.6B
'21'26
Net income$714M
'21'26
Free cash flow$722M
'21'26
Net margin · by yr4.1%
'21'26
ROE · by yr18.1%
'21'26
Debt / equity · by yr0.74
'21'26

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 50 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $589.00$214.26$1,132
  • DCF (intrinsic)$277.58
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 23.8× · n=50$456.42
  • Analyst target · range $795.00–$1,069$950.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$589.00

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+1.2%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.5%
n=19
Mar
63%
+2.5%
n=19
Apr
74%
+2.7%
n=19
May
58%
+1.0%
n=19
Jun
63%
+3.4%
n=19
Jul
89%
+4.4%
n=19
Aug
47%
+1.1%
n=19
Sep
58%
+1.7%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.9%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.2%
n=18
Dec
33%
−2.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$916$4932026-07-09: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Koschel Williams Ena2026-07-08: 2 insider sales, $5.2M — Bramlage Stephen P JR, Wing Allison M.2026-07-07: 20 insider sales, $15.2M — REBELEZ DARREN M …2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — Koschel Williams Ena2026-06-30: 2 insider sales, $2.4M — FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL …2026-06-29: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Lindsey Katrina S2026-06-26: 1 insider purchase, $199K — Spanos Mike2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $200K — Spanos Mike2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $137K — Lindsey Katrina S2026-01-05: 1 insider purchase, $166K — Castanon Moats Maria2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.9M2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $166K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $200K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $137K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $199K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $4.0M2026-07: 24 open-market sales, $25.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Koschel Williams Ena — Sale on 2026-07-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bramlage Stephen P JR — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wing Allison M. — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector REBELEZ DARREN M — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Koschel Williams Ena — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lindsey Katrina S — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Spanos Mike — Purchase on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Spanos Mike — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Lindsey Katrina S — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Castanon Moats Maria — Purchase on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-09Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale2,800 @ $833.69$2.3M−11.3% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open21,969Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08Bramlage Stephen P JRdirectorSale5,700 @ $838.16$4.8M−16.1% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open29,677Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-08Wing Allison M.directorSale530 @ $837.58$444K−14.8% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open3,042Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale2,667 @ $800.37$2.1M−2.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open98,921Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale2,384 @ $801.26$1.9M−2.4% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open96,537Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale2,229 @ $799.44$1.8M−2.1% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open101,588Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,536 @ $802.35$1.2M−1.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open95,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,317 @ $803.48$1.1M−1.4% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open93,684Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,156 @ $805.58$931K−1.2% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open91,660Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,075 @ $798.37$858K−1.0% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open103,817Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale893 @ $797.21$712K−0.8% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open104,892Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale865 @ $808.56$699K−1.0% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open89,805Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale868 @ $804.47$698K−0.9% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open92,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale685 @ $796.33$545K−0.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open105,785Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale638 @ $807.53$515K−0.7% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open90,670Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale635 @ $794.96$505K−0.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open106,470Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale601 @ $793.02$477K−0.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open107,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale468 @ $794.27$372K−0.4% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open107,105Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale352 @ $806.41$284K−0.4% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open91,308Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale270 @ $814.97$220K−0.3% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open89,315Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale168 @ $811.86$136K−0.2% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open89,585Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale141 @ $815.76$115K−0.2% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open89,174Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale52 @ $810.30$42K−0.1% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open89,753Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale3,000 @ $785.20$2.4M−10.8% of holding+10.9%not yet — horizon still open24,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale2,893 @ $787.46$2.3M−22.5% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open9,943Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale120 @ $788.24$95K−1.2% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open9,823Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Lindsey Katrina SofficerSale2,000 @ $800.00$1.6M−23.1% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open6,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-26Spanos MikedirectorPurchase256 @ $778.81$199K+5.7% of holding+8.3%not yet — horizon still open4,758Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Spanos MikedirectorPurchase300 @ $665.43$200K+7.1% of holding+7.2%−21.4%4,499Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-11Lindsey Katrina SofficerSale200 @ $683.04$137K−4.7% of holding+7.0%−21.0%4,039Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Castanon Moats MariadirectorPurchase300 @ $554.66$166K+59.6% of holding+15.1%+40.7%803Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale3,487 @ $555.40$1.9M−30.4% of holding−8.6%+31.5%7,993Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-02Bramlage Stephen P JRdirectorSale760 @ $507.56$386K−2.8% of holding+2.2%−2.1%25,994Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Spanos MikedirectorPurchase200 @ $503.18$101K+6.0% of holding+0.2%−0.6%3,560Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Bramlage Stephen P JRdirectorSale7,835 @ $509.12$4.0M−22.2% of holding−4.8%−5.1%27,397Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale5,992 @ $508.10$3.0M−5.9% of holding−4.8%−5.1%95,345Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale3,453 @ $507.17$1.8M−3.3% of holding−4.8%−5.1%101,337Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale3,100 @ $503.53$1.6M−19.0% of holding−4.8%−5.1%13,188Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale3,021 @ $506.13$1.5M−2.8% of holding−4.8%−5.1%104,790Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale2,983 @ $507.55$1.5M−12.2% of holding−4.8%−5.1%21,542Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale2,407 @ $509.08$1.2M−2.5% of holding−4.8%−5.1%92,938Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale2,209 @ $508.06$1.1M−10.3% of holding−4.8%−5.1%19,333Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Lindsey Katrina SofficerSale2,000 @ $506.07$1.0M−30.1% of holding−4.8%−5.1%4,636Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-17FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale1,703 @ $504.78$860K−12.9% of holding−4.8%−5.1%11,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,566 @ $505.08$791K−1.4% of holding−4.8%−5.1%107,811Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,540 @ $511.00$787K−1.7% of holding−4.8%−5.1%90,323Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale1,534 @ $506.32$777K−5.9% of holding−4.8%−5.1%24,525Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale1,075 @ $510.04$548K−1.2% of holding−4.8%−5.1%91,863Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Bramlage Stephen P JRdirectorSale643 @ $510.25$328K−2.3% of holding−4.8%−5.1%26,754Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale589 @ $509.90$300K−3.0% of holding−4.8%−5.1%18,744Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale483 @ $511.80$247K−0.5% of holding−4.8%−5.1%89,840Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorSale463 @ $503.43$233K−0.4% of holding−4.8%−5.1%109,377Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale376 @ $511.17$192K−2.0% of holding−4.8%−5.1%18,368Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17Koschel Williams EnadirectorSale309 @ $511.96$158K−1.7% of holding−4.8%−5.1%18,059Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-17FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerSale5 @ $505.43$3K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−5.1%11,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Brennan Thomas P JRofficerSale6,600 @ $506.03$3.3M−75.9% of holding−2.7%−5.4%2,100Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12Wing Allison M.directorSale1,000 @ $502.16$502K−24.6% of holding−1.2%−7.5%3,058Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04Lindsey Katrina SofficerSale198 @ $436.81$86K−7.4% of holding+1.9%+1.0%2,495Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-04Lindsey Katrina SofficerSale52 @ $437.75$23K−2.1% of holding+1.9%+1.0%2,443Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-26RENDA LARREE MdirectorSale4,762 @ $421.88$2.0M−40.6% of holding+8.2%+11.4%6,977Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

186 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Donthi SridirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02LENHARDT DAVID KdirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02LENHARDT DAVID KdirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Donthi SridirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02SCHMELING JUDYdirectorAward / grant2200Form 4
2026-09-02RENDA LARREE MdirectorOption exercise3267,837Form 4
2026-09-02Castanon Moats MariadirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Castanon Moats MariadirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Castanon Moats MariadirectorOption exercise3261,129Form 4
2026-09-02SCHMELING JUDYdirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Frieson DonalddirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Frieson DonalddirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Frieson DonalddirectorOption exercise3263,922Form 4
2026-09-02Trojan GregdirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Trojan GregdirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Trojan GregdirectorOption exercise3262,585Form 4
2026-09-02Spanos MikedirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Spanos MikedirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Spanos MikedirectorOption exercise3265,084Form 4
2026-09-02Heiden Cara KaydirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02Heiden Cara KaydirectorOption exercise3269,869Form 4
2026-09-02SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorOption exercise510Form 4
2026-09-02SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorOption exercise5151Form 4
2026-09-02RENDA LARREE MdirectorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02RENDA LARREE MdirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Donthi SridirectorOption exercise3262,021Form 4
2026-09-02Wing Allison M.directorOption exercise3263,379Form 4
2026-09-02Wing Allison M.directorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-09-02Wing Allison M.directorOption exercise3260Form 4
2026-09-02SCHMELING JUDYdirectorOption exercise3265,314Form 4
2026-09-02LENHARDT DAVID KdirectorOption exercise3265,380Form 4
2026-06-30Lindsey Katrina SofficerGift5046,164Form 4
2026-06-15REBELEZ DARREN MdirectorWithheld for tax26,059108,174Form 4
2026-06-15Bramlage Stephen P JRdirectorWithheld for tax7,27835,377Form 4
2026-06-15Koschel Williams EnadirectorWithheld for tax7,23727,769Form 4
2026-06-15Brennan Thomas P JRofficerWithheld for tax4,43514,171Form 4
2026-06-15FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax3,60012,836Form 4
2026-06-15Lindsey Katrina SofficerWithheld for tax3,2998,668Form 4
2026-06-15FRAZELL CHAD MICHAELofficerOption exercise2458,402Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Rick LarsenHousepurchase2026-04-152026-04-07$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-11$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousesale2023-10-102023-09-08$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousepurchase2019-09-302019-08-30$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousesale2019-09-302019-08-21$1–15K
Roger W. MarshallSenatesale2018-08-062017-03-21$1–15K
Roger W. MarshallSenatepurchase2018-08-062017-03-17$1–15K
Roger W. MarshallSenatesale2018-08-062017-03-02$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2018-07-262018-06-07$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2018-07-262018-06-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2018-07-262018-07-06$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.