AZZAZZ Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Specialtiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $132.66 · now $132.66 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AZZ has typically landed between $116.76 and $153.30 — a range of −12.0% to +15.6% from the issuance price $132.66.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($132.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AZZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $132.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$116.76worst · -12.0%$153.3best · +15.6%
  • now $132.66 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $134.95 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $126.85–$143.06
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $116.76–$153.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−51.9%−51.9%+1.8%
2008-10-21−47.5%−47.5%+0.0%
2020-02-19−47.0%−52.4%+0.7%
3 best
2009-03-05+53.1%−2.2%+64.1%
2009-03-06+51.4%−0.9%+66.4%
2009-03-03+49.8%−4.6%+60.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.3%
n=20
Feb
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Mar
70%
+1.6%
n=20
Apr
50%
+3.1%
n=20
May
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Jun
65%
+4.7%
n=20
Jul
75%
+4.7%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.4%
n=20
Sep
30%
+0.4%
n=20
Oct
45%
−2.3%
n=20
Nov
60%
+3.6%
n=20
Dec
65%
+3.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$160$972026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $402K — Stovall Bryan Lee2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $648K — Vellines Jeffrey2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $398K — Mackey Tara D2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $3.2M — FERGUSON THOMAS E2026-01-21: 1 insider sale, $353K — Mackey Tara D2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $187K — Mackey Tara D2026-01-08: 1 insider sale, $119K — Mackey Tara D2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Russell Kurt L.2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $659K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $3.6M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Stovall Bryan Lee — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed same dayofficer Vellines Jeffrey — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed same dayofficer Mackey Tara D — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FERGUSON THOMAS E — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same dayofficer Mackey Tara D — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mackey Tara D — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Mackey Tara D — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Russell Kurt L. — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Stovall Bryan LeeofficerSale2,677 @ $150.07$402K−7.1% of holding−9.6%not yet — horizon still open35,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-11Vellines JeffreyofficerSale4,220 @ $153.55$648K−69.7% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open1,834Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-11Mackey Tara DofficerSale2,923 @ $136.00$398K−11.6% of holding−5.7%−3.3%22,373Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorSale25,000 @ $127.29$3.2M−13.6% of holding+2.5%+7.4%158,182Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-21Mackey Tara DofficerSale2,790 @ $126.64$353K−9.9% of holding+6.1%+13.0%25,296Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-09Mackey Tara DofficerSale1,568 @ $119.43$187K−5.3% of holding+11.3%+14.4%28,086Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-08Mackey Tara DofficerSale1,000 @ $118.71$119K−3.3% of holding+13.4%+16.5%29,654Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-12Russell Kurt L.officerSale10,321 @ $112.21$1.2M−38.0% of holding+2.9%+13.2%16,804Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11Stovall Bryan LeeofficerSale3,827 @ $111.71$428K−14.4% of holding+0.9%+12.3%22,709Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11Stovall Bryan LeeofficerSale773 @ $111.23$86K−2.8% of holding+0.9%+12.3%26,936Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11Stovall Bryan LeeofficerSale400 @ $111.24$44K−1.5% of holding+0.9%+12.3%26,536Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-22FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorSale26,516 @ $110.85$2.9M−12.6% of holding+0.6%+5.2%183,182Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-16Stovall Bryan LeeofficerSale5,000 @ $107.98$540K−15.3% of holding−0.4%−0.7%27,709Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-12FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorSale4,973 @ $93.91$467K−2.3% of holding−4.2%−8.7%209,393Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorSale18,851 @ $89.91$1.7M−8.9% of holding−1.8%−8.4%192,607Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorSale26,889 @ $85.88$2.3M−11.3% of holding−1.8%−8.9%211,458Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

231 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Davenport RhondaofficerAward / grant512512Form 4
2026-07-07Treadway Charles L.directorAward / grant937937Form 4
2026-07-07BERCE DANIEL EdirectorAward / grant93759,290Form 4
2026-07-07Jackson Carol RdirectorAward / grant93711,145Form 4
2026-07-07GRANNUM CLIVE AdirectorAward / grant93711,145Form 4
2026-07-07Purvis Steven R.directorAward / grant93723,862Form 4
2026-07-07Schapper Aaron MdirectorAward / grant937937Form 4
2026-07-07McGough EddirectorAward / grant93720,306Form 4
2026-06-30Crawford JasonofficerOther acquisition30519,022Form 4
2026-06-30Mackey Tara DofficerOther acquisition30531,405Form 4
2026-06-30FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorOther acquisition305201,827Form 4
2026-06-30Vellines JeffreyofficerOther acquisition226,054Form 4
2026-06-03Crawford JasonofficerWithheld for tax71719,825Form 4
2026-06-03Crawford JasonofficerOption exercise2220,542Form 4
2026-06-03Crawford JasonofficerOption exercise1,80320,520Form 4
2026-06-03Crawford JasonofficerOption exercise1,8030Form 4
2026-05-31Stovall Bryan LeeofficerWithheld for tax3,59237,677Form 4
2026-05-31Stovall Bryan LeeofficerOption exercise9,0170Form 4
2026-05-31Stovall Bryan LeeofficerOption exercise11241,269Form 4
2026-05-31Stovall Bryan LeeofficerOption exercise9,01741,157Form 4
2026-04-28FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorWithheld for tax19,996201,522Form 4
2026-04-28Stovall Bryan LeeofficerWithheld for tax4,03732,140Form 4
2026-04-28Mackey Tara DofficerWithheld for tax3,67931,100Form 4
2026-04-28FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorWithheld for tax3,622170,699Form 4
2026-04-28Crawford JasonofficerWithheld for tax2,48018,717Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax2,3636,032Form 4
2026-04-28Bella Todd MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1,1646,440Form 4
2026-04-28Stovall Bryan LeeofficerWithheld for tax63225,371Form 4
2026-04-28Mackey Tara DofficerWithheld for tax58224,826Form 4
2026-04-28Crawford JasonofficerWithheld for tax44914,893Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax4273,100Form 4
2026-04-28Bella Todd MichaelofficerWithheld for tax2104,003Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerOption exercise1318,395Form 4
2026-04-28FERGUSON THOMAS EdirectorOption exercise229174,321Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerOption exercise9363,504Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerOption exercise233,527Form 4
2026-04-28Vellines JeffreyofficerOption exercise5,1648,264Form 4
2026-04-28Bella Todd MichaelofficerOption exercise897,604Form 4
2026-04-28Bella Todd MichaelofficerOption exercise3,5127,515Form 4
2026-04-28Bella Todd MichaelofficerOption exercise164,213Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.