ALLThe Allstate CorporationFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $254.85 · now $254.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ALL has typically landed between $231.58 and $283.74 — a range of −9.1% to +11.3% from the issuance price $254.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($254.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ALL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $254.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$231.58worst · -9.1%$283.74best · +11.3%
  • now $254.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $258.31 (+1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $247.17$269.44
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $231.58$283.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−47.3%−47.3%+0.0%
2008-09-30−45.4%−47.1%+0.0%
2008-10-01−43.8%−44.5%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+66.6%+0.0%+79.0%
2008-11-19+62.8%−9.0%+62.8%
2008-12-01+51.6%+0.0%+51.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$66.9B
market cap
$45.33
EPS (TTM)
5.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-05
next earnings
Revenue$66.5B
'20'25
Net income$10.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$9.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr15.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr33.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.24
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $254.85$170.63$784.97
  • DCF (intrinsic)$322.04
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$742.60
  • Analyst target · range $213.00$319.00$261.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$254.85

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
39%
−1.3%
n=18
Feb
74%
+1.4%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.8%
n=19
Apr
68%
+2.9%
n=19
May
47%
+0.5%
n=19
Jun
37%
−0.8%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.7%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Sep
68%
+1.9%
n=19
Oct
44%
−1.7%
n=18
Nov
72%
+3.3%
n=18
Dec
72%
+3.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$275$1872026-08-11: 2 insider sales, $14.9M — Rizzo Mario …2026-08-07: 3 insider sales, $8.9M — Dugenske John E …2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $451K — REDMOND ANDREA2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $335K — Prindiville Mark Q2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — Rizzo Mario2026-03-16: 3 insider sales, $3.5M — WILSON THOMAS J …2026-03-02: 3 insider sales, $3.6M — WILSON THOMAS J …2026-02-25: 4 insider sales, $7.1M — Merten Jesse E …2026-02-17: 3 insider sales, $3.5M — WILSON THOMAS J …2026-02-02: 4 insider sales, $3.4M — WILSON THOMAS J …2026-01-12: 5 insider sales, $3.5M — WILSON THOMAS J …2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — Gupta Suren2026-01-02: 4 insider sales, $3.4M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-12-15: 4 insider sales, $3.5M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-12-01: 2 insider sales, $3.6M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-11-28: 1 insider sale, $814K — Gupta Suren2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $161K — Gupta Suren2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $129K — Gupta Suren2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $4.7M — Gupta Suren2025-11-17: 4 insider sales, $3.7M — WILSON THOMAS J, Gupta Suren …2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $301K — Gupta Suren2025-11-03: 4 insider sales, $3.2M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-10-20: 4 insider sales, $3.3M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-10-06: 3 insider sales, $3.5M — WILSON THOMAS J …2025-08-22: 4 insider sales, $1.5M — Prindiville Mark Q …2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-10: 7 open-market sales, $6.8M2025-11: 13 open-market sales, $13.0M2025-12: 6 open-market sales, $7.1M2026-01: 10 open-market sales, $11.0M2026-02: 11 open-market sales, $14.0M2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $7.1M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $4.4M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $451K2026-08: 5 open-market sales, $23.8M↑ buys↓ salesother Rizzo Mario — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeother Rizzo Mario — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dugenske John E — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dugenske John E — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dugenske John E — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector REDMOND ANDREA — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeother Prindiville Mark Q — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeother Rizzo Mario — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Merten Jesse E — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Merten Jesse E — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Merten Jesse E — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Merten Jesse E — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gupta Suren — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON THOMAS J — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradeother Prindiville Mark Q — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeother Prindiville Mark Q — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeother Prindiville Mark Q — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeother Prindiville Mark Q — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Rizzo MariootherSale43,398 @ $264.17$11.5M−31.3% of holding−2.3%not yet — horizon still open95,054Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Rizzo MariootherSale12,827 @ $265.55$3.4M−13.5% of holding−2.3%not yet — horizon still open82,227Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Dugenske John EofficerSale25,717 @ $268.80$6.9M−66.3% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open13,054Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Dugenske John EofficerSale3,901 @ $272.05$1.1M−9.1% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open38,771Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Dugenske John EofficerSale3,378 @ $270.20$913K−7.3% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open42,672Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-01REDMOND ANDREAdirectorSale2,225 @ $202.91$451K−100.0% of holding+18.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Prindiville Mark QotherSale1,550 @ $216.27$335K−5.3% of holding+9.8%not yet — horizon still open27,558Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-01Rizzo MariootherSale18,578 @ $218.80$4.1M−18.4% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open82,227Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-16WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale9,320 @ $209.48$2.0M−11.0% of holding+0.1%+10.6%75,725Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale5,348 @ $208.39$1.1M−5.9% of holding+0.1%+10.6%85,045Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale2,139 @ $207.65$444K−2.3% of holding+0.1%+10.6%90,393Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale9,284 @ $211.86$2.0M−8.5% of holding+2.4%+9.5%100,055Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale6,612 @ $212.66$1.4M−6.6% of holding+2.4%+9.5%93,443Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale911 @ $213.50$195K−1.0% of holding+2.4%+9.5%92,532Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25Merten Jesse EofficerSale15,893 @ $208.58$3.3M−27.7% of holding+6.1%+14.7%41,583Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Merten Jesse EofficerSale8,811 @ $207.53$1.8M−13.3% of holding+6.1%+14.7%57,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Merten Jesse EofficerSale7,982 @ $209.40$1.7M−19.2% of holding+6.1%+14.7%33,601Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Merten Jesse EofficerSale1,300 @ $210.44$274K−3.9% of holding+6.1%+14.7%32,301Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale8,805 @ $209.92$1.8M−7.0% of holding−0.1%+11.3%117,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,149 @ $210.72$874K−3.5% of holding−0.1%+11.3%113,192Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale3,853 @ $211.50$815K−3.4% of holding−0.1%+11.3%109,339Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale13,271 @ $201.06$2.7M−14.5% of holding+8.7%+20.6%77,960Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,605 @ $198.77$319K−1.7% of holding+8.7%+20.6%92,803Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,572 @ $199.57$314K−1.7% of holding+8.7%+20.6%91,231Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale359 @ $201.51$72K−0.5% of holding+8.7%+20.6%77,601Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-12WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,785 @ $205.68$984K−4.3% of holding−1.4%+6.8%106,430Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-12WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,428 @ $209.07$926K−4.4% of holding−1.4%+6.8%96,129Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-12WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,322 @ $208.35$901K−4.1% of holding−1.4%+6.8%100,557Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-12WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,721 @ $209.99$361K−1.8% of holding−1.4%+6.8%94,408Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-12WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,551 @ $207.02$321K−1.5% of holding−1.4%+6.8%104,879Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Gupta SurendirectorSale19,593 @ $210.00$4.1M−16.3% of holding−0.0%+12.6%100,646Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale7,236 @ $204.86$1.5M−6.0% of holding−1.9%+14.6%113,590Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale7,196 @ $204.10$1.5M−5.6% of holding−1.9%+14.6%120,826Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,235 @ $206.90$256K−1.1% of holding−1.9%+14.6%111,215Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-02WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,140 @ $206.17$235K−1.0% of holding−1.9%+14.6%112,450Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-15WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale9,545 @ $210.37$2.0M−6.8% of holding−9.8%−3.8%130,013Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale3,810 @ $209.40$798K−2.7% of holding−9.8%−3.8%139,558Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale2,008 @ $210.96$424K−1.5% of holding−9.8%−3.8%128,005Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,444 @ $208.35$301K−1.0% of holding−9.8%−3.8%143,368Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-01WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale12,603 @ $212.48$2.7M−7.8% of holding−1.4%−10.8%149,016Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-01WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,204 @ $213.27$897K−2.8% of holding−1.4%−10.8%144,812Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-28Gupta SurendirectorSale3,786 @ $215.13$814K−3.6% of holding−2.2%−11.5%100,646Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-26Gupta SurendirectorSale750 @ $215.01$161K−0.7% of holding−3.5%−13.9%100,646Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-24Gupta SurendirectorSale600 @ $215.02$129K−0.6% of holding−4.6%−14.9%100,646Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-21Gupta SurendirectorSale21,871 @ $215.21$4.7M−17.9% of holding−6.5%−16.1%100,646Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale15,370 @ $213.12$3.3M−8.6% of holding−0.5%−4.8%163,056Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,137 @ $213.96$243K−0.7% of holding−0.5%−4.8%161,919Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Gupta SurendirectorSale400 @ $215.22$86K−0.4% of holding−0.5%−4.8%100,646Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale300 @ $214.70$64K−0.2% of holding−0.5%−4.8%161,619Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-14Gupta SurendirectorSale1,400 @ $215.02$301K−1.4% of holding−2.8%−4.0%101,031Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-03WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale7,791 @ $189.39$1.5M−4.1% of holding+9.5%+7.1%181,512Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale5,930 @ $188.73$1.1M−3.0% of holding+9.5%+7.1%189,303Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale2,101 @ $190.42$400K−1.2% of holding+9.5%+7.1%179,411Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale985 @ $191.37$189K−0.5% of holding+9.5%+7.1%178,426Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale11,032 @ $193.69$2.1M−5.2% of holding+10.0%+5.0%201,008Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale4,488 @ $194.36$872K−2.2% of holding+10.0%+5.0%196,520Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale1,086 @ $195.50$212K−0.6% of holding+10.0%+5.0%195,434Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale201 @ $196.50$39K−0.1% of holding+10.0%+5.0%195,233Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-06WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale9,804 @ $210.48$2.1M−4.4% of holding−7.0%+1.3%212,708Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-06WILSON THOMAS JdirectorSale6,335 @ $209.63$1.3M−2.8% of holding−7.0%+1.3%222,512Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

229 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-06Jeevanjee ZulfikarotherWithheld for tax21316,371Form 4
2026-09-06Jeevanjee ZulfikarotherAward / grant48316,584Form 4
2026-09-03LOWN CHRISTIAN M.officerAward / grant3,7833,783Form 4
2026-09-03KEANE MARGARET MdirectorGift94417,558Form 4
2026-09-03LOWN CHRISTIAN M.officerAward / grant16,61516,615Form 4
2026-08-11Rizzo MariootherOption exercise56,225138,452Form 4
2026-08-11Rizzo MariootherOption exercise56,2250Form 4
2026-07-01Perold Jacques PdirectorAward / grant1742,189Form 4
2026-07-01TRAQUINA PERRY MdirectorAward / grant1698,043Form 4
2026-07-01KEANE MARGARET MdirectorAward / grant13818,502Form 4
2026-06-30TRAQUINA PERRY MdirectorOption exercise1,9667,821Form 4
2026-06-30TRAQUINA PERRY MdirectorOption exercise1,9660Form 4
2026-06-05Ferren Eric KofficerWithheld for tax72490Form 4
2026-06-05Ferren Eric KofficerOption exercise2454,073Form 4
2026-06-05Ferren Eric KofficerOption exercise245562Form 4
2026-06-04Carter Andrea MdirectorWithheld for tax1,6542,371Form 4
2026-06-04Carter Andrea MdirectorOption exercise4,0254,025Form 4
2026-06-04Carter Andrea MdirectorOption exercise4,0258,050Form 4
2026-06-01HUME RICHARD TdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Brown Donald EugenedirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Crawford Kermit RdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01HUME RICHARD TdirectorOption exercise1,6035,512Form 4
2026-06-01HUME RICHARD TdirectorOption exercise1,6030Form 4
2026-06-01KEANE MARGARET MdirectorOption exercise1,60318,283Form 4
2026-06-01KEANE MARGARET MdirectorOption exercise1,6030Form 4
2026-06-01KEANE MARGARET MdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Mehta Siddharth NdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Morris Maria RdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Perold Jacques PdirectorOption exercise1,6032,015Form 4
2026-06-01Perold Jacques PdirectorOption exercise1,6030Form 4
2026-06-01Perold Jacques PdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01TRAQUINA PERRY MdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01Turner Monica JdirectorOption exercise1,6032,059Form 4
2026-06-01Turner Monica JdirectorOption exercise1,6030Form 4
2026-06-01Turner Monica JdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-06-01REDMOND ANDREAdirectorOption exercise2,2252,225Form 4
2026-06-01REDMOND ANDREAdirectorOption exercise2,2250Form 4
2026-06-01REDMOND ANDREAdirectorAward / grant917917Form 4
2026-05-22Prindiville Mark QotherOption exercise1,55029,108Form 4
2026-05-22Prindiville Mark QotherOption exercise1,5500Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$100–250K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$100–250K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-12-052024-11-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-12-052024-11-22$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.