ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions CorporationIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $45.89 · now $45.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ZWS has typically landed between $40.18 and $52.91 — a range of −12.4% to +15.3% from the issuance price $45.89.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,616 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-03-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($45.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ZWS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $45.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$40.18worst · -12.4%$52.91best · +15.3%
  • now $45.89 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $46.33 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $43.88–$48.77
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $40.18–$52.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,616 windows spanning 2012-03-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−44.5%−44.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−40.7%−40.7%+0.0%
2020-02-13−38.2%−38.2%+0.3%
3 best
2020-04-03+35.6%+0.0%+47.8%
2020-03-30+28.1%−13.3%+28.1%
2020-04-01+27.6%−4.4%+41.3%

3,616 overlapping windows · 2012-03-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.6%
n=14
Feb
86%
+5.3%
n=14
Mar
50%
−1.4%
n=14
Apr
60%
+2.0%
n=15
May
47%
−1.0%
n=15
Jun
53%
+0.9%
n=15
Jul
53%
+4.3%
n=15
Aug
53%
−1.8%
n=15
Sep
60%
+1.8%
n=15
Oct
64%
+1.9%
n=14
Nov
79%
+6.6%
n=14
Dec
43%
−2.3%
n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$53$442026-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Butler Jacques Donavon2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — PETERSON MARK W2026-02-17: 5 insider sales, $1.5M — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J, Chhabra Sudhanshu, PETERSON MARK W, Troutman Michael …2026-02-11: 5 insider sales, $400K — PETERSON MARK W, Schoon Jeffrey A, LaValle Jeffrey J., Troutman Michael …2026-02-10: 7 insider sales, $17.7M — ADAMS TODD A., PETERSON MARK W, Schoon Jeffrey A, Pauli David J …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $13.9M — ADAMS TODD A.2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — PETERSON MARK W2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $903K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — PETERSON MARK W2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $354K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $501K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-10-29: 1 insider sale, $105K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $102K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $848K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $945K — PETERSON MARK W2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $444K — JAHNKE TIMOTHY J2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.4M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $951K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $105K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-02: 20 open-market sales, $35.6M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Butler Jacques Donavon — Purchase on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Chhabra Sudhanshu — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Troutman Michael — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LaValle Jeffrey J. — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schoon Jeffrey A — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LaValle Jeffrey J. — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Troutman Michael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pauli David J — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ADAMS TODD A. — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same dayofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same dayofficer Schoon Jeffrey A — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same dayofficer Pauli David J — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same dayofficer LaValle Jeffrey J. — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same dayofficer Troutman Michael — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same daydirector ADAMS TODD A. — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed same daydirector ADAMS TODD A. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed same daydirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed same dayofficer PETERSON MARK W — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JAHNKE TIMOTHY J — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Butler Jacques DonavondirectorPurchase2,016 @ $49.60$100K+5.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open37,487Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04PETERSON MARK WofficerSale25,000 @ $53.02$1.3M−7.5% of holding−11.0%not yet — horizon still open308,814Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale25,000 @ $51.18$1.3M−8.6% of holding−9.9%−16.3%266,864Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Chhabra SudhanshuofficerSale2,021 @ $50.85$103K−2.8% of holding−9.9%−16.3%69,556Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17PETERSON MARK WofficerSale2,006 @ $50.86$102K−0.6% of holding−9.9%−16.3%333,814Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Troutman MichaelofficerSale448 @ $50.80$23K−0.7% of holding−9.9%−16.3%61,327Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17LaValle Jeffrey J.officerSale447 @ $50.86$23K−0.9% of holding−9.9%−16.3%51,421Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11PETERSON MARK WofficerSale3,793 @ $51.48$195K−1.1% of holding−6.8%−14.2%335,820Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11Schoon Jeffrey AofficerSale1,286 @ $51.54$66K−2.1% of holding−6.8%−14.2%61,255Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11LaValle Jeffrey J.officerSale946 @ $51.63$49K−1.8% of holding−6.8%−14.2%51,868Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11Troutman MichaelofficerSale919 @ $51.67$47K−1.5% of holding−6.8%−14.2%61,775Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11Pauli David JofficerSale812 @ $51.61$42K−1.2% of holding−6.8%−14.2%65,995Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10ADAMS TODD A.directorSale270,000 @ $51.78$14.0M−10.7% of holding−7.4%−13.1%2,256,684Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10PETERSON MARK WofficerSale35,267 @ $51.80$1.8M−9.6% of holding−7.4%−13.1%333,739Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10Schoon Jeffrey AofficerSale12,034 @ $51.80$623K−16.1% of holding−7.4%−13.1%62,541Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10Pauli David JofficerSale7,639 @ $51.80$396K−10.3% of holding−7.4%−13.1%66,807Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10LaValle Jeffrey J.officerSale6,097 @ $51.80$316K−10.9% of holding−7.4%−13.1%49,803Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10Troutman MichaelofficerSale5,922 @ $51.80$307K−8.6% of holding−7.4%−13.1%62,694Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10ADAMS TODD A.directorSale5,050 @ $51.80$262K−0.2% of holding−7.4%−13.1%2,526,684Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-09ADAMS TODD A.directorSale263,347 @ $52.68$13.9M−9.4% of holding−7.8%−12.5%2,531,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05PETERSON MARK WofficerSale23,183 @ $51.40$1.2M−7.3% of holding−7.4%−13.7%295,378Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale17,900 @ $50.44$903K−5.8% of holding−6.3%−12.0%288,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-12PETERSON MARK WofficerSale21,570 @ $48.48$1.0M−6.3% of holding−0.3%−7.2%318,561Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale7,461 @ $47.50$354K−4.4% of holding−2.2%−6.5%162,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale10,539 @ $47.51$501K−5.9% of holding−4.8%−5.3%169,461Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-29JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale2,100 @ $50.00$105K−0.7% of holding+0.2%+1.9%306,864Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-16JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale2,156 @ $47.54$102K−0.7% of holding−2.4%−6.6%308,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale17,844 @ $47.55$848K−5.4% of holding−2.8%−5.1%311,120Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-27PETERSON MARK WofficerSale20,349 @ $46.44$945K−5.6% of holding−2.1%+3.3%340,131Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale9,857 @ $45.06$444K−2.9% of holding+2.3%+6.0%328,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale143 @ $45.00$6K−0.0% of holding−0.2%−2.4%338,821Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-31Troutman MichaelofficerSale90,916 @ $43.01$3.9M−64.3% of holding+0.7%−5.5%50,505Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31Chhabra SudhanshuofficerSale88,089 @ $43.55$3.8M−44.4% of holding+0.7%−5.5%110,148Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31PETERSON MARK WofficerSale22,138 @ $43.05$953K−5.8% of holding+0.7%−5.5%360,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale20,000 @ $43.73$875K−10.0% of holding+0.7%−5.5%180,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31Chhabra SudhanshuofficerSale15,818 @ $44.05$697K−14.4% of holding+0.7%−5.5%94,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-31Chhabra SudhanshuofficerSale5,023 @ $43.23$217K−5.1% of holding+0.7%−5.5%94,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-30JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorSale10,000 @ $42.59$426K−2.9% of holding+4.8%−1.2%338,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14Pauli David JofficerSale2,706 @ $37.11$100K−4.3% of holding−5.9%+12.4%60,772Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-13PETERSON MARK WofficerSale7,000 @ $37.31$261K−1.8% of holding−6.4%+11.9%382,618Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Chhabra SudhanshuofficerSale25,921 @ $37.19$964K−21.6% of holding−5.3%+11.0%94,132Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-14Schoon Jeffrey AofficerSale30,698 @ $35.47$1.1M−38.5% of holding+2.4%+21.5%48,946Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-14Pauli David JofficerSale8,390 @ $35.47$298K−12.4% of holding+2.4%+21.5%59,410Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-13Jalazo AprilotherSale8,912,500 @ $33.60$299.5M−37.3% of holding+0.3%+18.7%15,002,819Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-13Ice Mountain LLCotherSale8,912,500 @ $33.60$299.5M−37.3% of holding+0.3%+18.7%15,002,819Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-13Katz AimeeotherSale8,912,500 @ $33.60$299.5M−37.3% of holding+0.3%+18.7%15,002,819Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

143 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15MOORE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant657120,949Form 4
2026-07-15CHRISTOPOUL THOMASdirectorAward / grant630118,435Form 4
2026-07-15Longren David C.directorAward / grant60498,821Form 4
2026-07-15Troy PeggydirectorAward / grant60465,728Form 4
2026-07-15Schooler RosemarydirectorAward / grant52562,297Form 4
2026-05-28Klun Daniel JofficerAward / grant2,27626,357Form 4
2026-05-28Klun Daniel JofficerAward / grant2,27626,357Form 4
2026-04-15MOORE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant660120,292Form 4
2026-04-15CHRISTOPOUL THOMASdirectorAward / grant634117,805Form 4
2026-04-15Longren David C.directorAward / grant60798,217Form 4
2026-04-15Troy PeggydirectorAward / grant60765,124Form 4
2026-04-15Schooler RosemarydirectorAward / grant52861,772Form 4
2026-02-10BARTLETT MARK S.directorAward / grant2,900141,583Form 4
2026-02-10Troy PeggydirectorAward / grant2,90064,517Form 4
2026-02-10Schooler RosemarydirectorAward / grant2,90061,244Form 4
2026-02-10Butler Jacques DonavondirectorAward / grant2,90035,471Form 4
2026-02-10JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorAward / grant2,900291,864Form 4
2026-02-10CHRISTOPOUL THOMASdirectorAward / grant2,900117,171Form 4
2026-02-10McTague Emma MdirectorAward / grant2,90020,039Form 4
2026-02-10LaValle Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant2,33452,814Form 4
2026-02-10Longren David C.directorAward / grant2,90097,610Form 4
2026-02-10MOORE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant2,900119,632Form 4
2026-02-10Longren David C.directorAward / grant2,90097,610Form 4
2026-02-10Troy PeggydirectorAward / grant2,90064,517Form 4
2026-02-10Butler Jacques DonavondirectorAward / grant2,90035,471Form 4
2026-02-10McTague Emma MdirectorAward / grant2,90020,039Form 4
2026-02-10CHRISTOPOUL THOMASdirectorAward / grant2,900117,171Form 4
2026-02-10JAHNKE TIMOTHY JdirectorAward / grant2,900291,864Form 4
2026-02-10Schooler RosemarydirectorAward / grant2,90061,244Form 4
2026-02-10BARTLETT MARK S.directorAward / grant2,900141,583Form 4
2026-02-10LaValle Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant2,33452,814Form 4
2026-02-10MOORE GEORGE CdirectorAward / grant2,900119,632Form 4
2026-02-10PETERSON MARK WofficerAward / grant5,874339,613Form 4
2026-02-10PETERSON MARK WofficerAward / grant5,874339,613Form 4
2026-02-06Troutman MichaelofficerAward / grant17,88168,386Form 4
2026-02-06Schoon Jeffrey AofficerAward / grant24,98173,927Form 4
2026-02-06LaValle Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant18,40755,900Form 4
2026-02-06Pauli David JofficerAward / grant15,77874,446Form 4
2026-02-06LaValle Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant18,40755,900Form 4
2026-02-06Schoon Jeffrey AofficerAward / grant24,98173,927Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.