ZVIAZevia PBCConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholicas of 2026-09-17
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-17 at $1.39 · now $1.42 (2026-09-18, +2.2% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, ZVIA has typically landed between $0.94 and $1.90 — a range of −32.4% to +36.9% from the issuance price $1.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,274 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($1.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ZVIA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $1.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$0.9395worst · -32.4%$1.9best · +36.9%
  • now $1.42 (+2.2%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.35 (-3.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.16–$1.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.9395–$1.9
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,275 windows spanning 2021-07-22 to 2026-09-18. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-02-15−59.6%−59.6%+0.0%
2022-02-17−58.9%−58.9%+0.0%
2022-02-16−56.6%−56.6%+4.2%
3 best
2024-11-06+163.9%+0.0%+165.7%
2024-11-07+160.8%+0.0%+160.8%
2024-11-05+156.9%−0.9%+163.3%

1,275 overlapping windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-09-18 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−3.6%
n=5
Feb
0%
−24.4%
n=5
Mar
20%
−12.5%
n=5
Apr
40%
−9.2%
n=5
May
60%
+3.0%
n=5
Jun
80%
+7.2%
n=5
Jul
60%
+4.0%
n=5
Aug
50%
+1.9%
n=6
Sep
33%
−4.7%
n=6
Oct
40%
−1.6%
n=5
Nov
60%
+11.6%
n=5
Dec
20%
+13.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$12026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC2026-03-30: 1 insider sale, $13K — Taylor Amy2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $76K — Taylor Amy2026-03-26: 1 insider sale, $78K — Taylor Amy2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $49K — Satya Girish2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $58K — Spence Padraic L.2026-01-27: 1 insider sale, $7.0M — CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $529K — Spence Padraic L.2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $8.1M — CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $8.1M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $529K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $7.0M2026-03: 5 open-market sales, $273K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $4.1M↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Taylor Amy — Sale on 2026-03-30, filed same daydirector Taylor Amy — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Taylor Amy — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Satya Girish — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spence Padraic L. — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Spence Padraic L. — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 120 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBECtenPercentOwnerSale2,150,000 @ $1.90$4.1M−15.9% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open11,400,428Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-30Taylor AmydirectorSale10,776 @ $1.16$13K−0.4% of holding−8.4%not yet — horizon still open2,390,117Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-27Taylor AmydirectorSale66,501 @ $1.14$76K−2.7% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open2,400,893Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-26Taylor AmydirectorSale66,731 @ $1.17$78K−2.6% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open2,467,394Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-25Satya GirishofficerSale41,662 @ $1.18$49K−11.3% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open327,909Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Spence Padraic L.directorSale40,000 @ $1.44$58K−2.5% of holding−14.8%−16.1%1,555,417Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-27CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBECtenPercentOwnerSale3,500,000 @ $2.00$7.0M−20.5% of holding−33.6%−25.8%13,550,428Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Spence Padraic L.directorSale200,000 @ $2.64$529K−11.1% of holding−0.9%−63.2%1,595,417Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBECtenPercentOwnerSale2,971,664 @ $2.73$8.1M−14.8% of holding−16.1%−55.9%17,050,428Form 4 · filed 120 days after the trade
2025-06-30CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBECtenPercentOwnerSale2,000,000 @ $3.01$6.0M−9.1% of holding−4.2%−39.9%20,022,092Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Spence Padraic L.directorSale75,000 @ $2.71$203K−4.1% of holding−10.5%−21.6%1,760,695Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18Taylor AmydirectorSale29,079 @ $2.09$61K−1.9% of holding+18.3%+0.0%1,512,848Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18Simms Lorna R.officerSale4,957 @ $2.10$10K−2.3% of holding+18.3%+0.0%214,106Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-17Satya GirishofficerSale17,111 @ $2.23$38K−4.4% of holding+8.0%−9.1%369,571Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Simms Lorna R.officerSale9,951 @ $2.24$22K−4.3% of holding+8.0%−9.1%219,063Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Taylor AmydirectorSale52,951 @ $2.21$117K−3.3% of holding+9.8%−11.4%1,541,927Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-21Taylor AmydirectorSale11,479 @ $4.74$54K−1.1% of holding−25.5%−34.3%1,002,773Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-21Simms Lorna R.officerSale3,979 @ $4.68$19K−1.7% of holding−25.5%−34.3%229,014Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-05Ripley Rosemary LdirectorSale2,567,006 @ $1.90$4.9M−48.6% of holding+66.6%−9.0%2,719,258Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

17 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Ruberti AlexandredirectorAward / grant1,013,1331,214,410Form 4
2026-06-10Ginestro Suzanne SaltzmandirectorAward / grant72,464101,969Form 4
2026-06-10Lee David J.directorAward / grant72,464279,962Form 4
2026-06-10Ruben AndrewdirectorAward / grant72,464299,432Form 4
2026-06-10Ruberti AlexandredirectorAward / grant72,464201,277Form 4
2026-06-10Ruehl Julie GarciadirectorAward / grant72,464334,432Form 4
2026-06-10Spence Padraic L.directorAward / grant72,4641,627,881Form 4
2026-03-26Satya GirishofficerAward / grant453,901781,810Form 4
2026-03-26Taylor AmydirectorAward / grant1,021,2772,534,125Form 4
2026-03-03Ginestro Suzanne SaltzmandirectorAward / grant29,50529,505Form 4
2025-06-12Lee David J.directorAward / grant34,722207,498Form 4
2025-06-12Spence Padraic L.directorAward / grant34,7221,795,417Form 4
2025-06-12Ruberti AlexandredirectorAward / grant34,722128,813Form 4
2025-06-12Ruben AndrewdirectorAward / grant34,722226,968Form 4
2025-06-12Ruehl Julie GarciadirectorAward / grant34,722261,968Form 4
2025-03-14Satya GirishofficerAward / grant197,368386,682Form 4
2025-03-14Taylor AmydirectorAward / grant592,1051,594,878Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.