Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.83 · now $3.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ZIP has typically landed between $2.86 and $4.79 — a range of −25.4% to +25.0% from the issuance price $3.83.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,312 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ZIP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.83 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.71 (-3.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.33–$4.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.86–$4.79
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,312 windows spanning 2021-05-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-06 | −48.7% | −48.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | −46.7% | −46.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | −45.1% | −45.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-27 | +76.2% | +0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2026-04-10 | +72.5% | +0.0% | +81.0% |
| 2026-04-09 | +72.4% | −4.8% | +72.4% |
1,312 overlapping windows · 2021-05-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−7.0%
n=5
Feb
0%
−14.9%
n=5
Mar
60%
+1.1%
n=5
Apr
40%
+8.0%
n=5
May
40%
−0.8%
n=5
Jun
50%
+1.0%
n=6
Jul
83%
+2.8%
n=6
Aug
50%
+0.9%
n=6
Sep
17%
−6.5%
n=6
Oct
60%
−0.2%
n=5
Nov
40%
+4.4%
n=5
Dec
20%
−8.6%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,978 @ $4.39 | $13K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 119,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 7,819 @ $5.15 | $40K | −3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 207,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.55 | $44K | −24.1% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,647 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-05 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.31 | $42K | −19.4% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,369 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.42 | $43K | −16.3% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,091 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 3,547 @ $3.91 | $14K | −2.8% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 122,090 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 7,983 @ $3.95 | $32K | −3.6% of holding | +21.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 214,927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.90 | $38K | −14.0% of holding | +17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,813 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.00 | $39K | −12.3% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,535 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.95 | $38K | −10.9% of holding | +12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,257 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,978 @ $3.86 | $11K | −2.3% of holding | +6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,637 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.12 | $30K | −9.8% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,979 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.01 | $29K | −9.0% of holding | +30.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 98,701 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 34,978 @ $3.00 | $105K | −24.4% of holding | +27.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,423 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Sale | 24,706 @ $2.99 | $74K | −1.9% of holding | +27.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,245,763 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 9,113 @ $3.62 | $33K | −3.9% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 222,910 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,914 @ $3.17 | $9K | −2.4% of holding | +26.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 118,072 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.23 | $31K | −8.0% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 111,152 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-06 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.06 | $30K | −7.4% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,874 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.09 | $30K | −6.9% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,978 @ $2.91 | $9K | −2.4% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,986 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $2.07 | $20K | −6.5% of holding | +41.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,318 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $1.86 | $18K | −4.9% of holding | +46.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 187,814 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $1.90 | $18K | −4.7% of holding | +55.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 197,536 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $2.17 | $21K | −4.5% of holding | +28.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,258 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-19 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $2.38 | $23K | −4.3% of holding | +12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 216,980 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 34,364 @ $2.57 | $88K | −13.2% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 226,702 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Sale | 23,656 @ $2.53 | $60K | −1.9% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,239,307 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 2,532 @ $2.56 | $6K | −1.1% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,691 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,495 @ $2.56 | $6K | −2.0% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 123,964 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,978 @ $1.93 | $6K | −2.5% of holding | +20.9% | +138.1% | 115,620 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $1.97 | $19K | −22.4% of holding | +45.2% | +153.0% | 33,618 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-05 | YARBROUGH TIMOTHY G. | officer | Sale | 3,034 @ $1.97 | $6K | −4.4% of holding | +45.2% | +153.0% | 66,345 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $2.11 | $20K | −18.3% of holding | +31.2% | +111.3% | 43,340 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $2.25 | $22K | −15.5% of holding | +12.3% | +76.7% | 53,062 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Sale | 5,650 @ $2.61 | $15K | −1.7% of holding | −18.6% | +42.6% | 336,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 2,847 @ $2.64 | $8K | −1.3% of holding | −18.6% | +42.6% | 211,578 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,169 @ $2.62 | $6K | −1.8% of holding | −18.6% | +42.6% | 118,598 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.38 | $33K | −13.4% of holding | −38.5% | +7.6% | 62,784 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-07 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $3.57 | $35K | −11.8% of holding | −40.0% | +0.2% | 72,506 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,730 @ $3.70 | $36K | −10.6% of holding | −46.6% | −4.4% | 82,228 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | YARBROUGH TIMOTHY G. | officer | Sale | 3,035 @ $3.69 | $11K | −4.2% of holding | −43.3% | −3.8% | 69,379 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.55 | $44K | −9.6% of holding | −41.5% | −20.2% | 91,958 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Sale | 3,889 @ $4.55 | $18K | −1.1% of holding | −41.5% | −20.2% | 341,937 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 9,722 @ $4.65 | $45K | −8.7% of holding | −38.6% | −36.0% | 101,680 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Sale | 22,762 @ $4.74 | $108K | −17.0% of holding | −43.3% | −40.1% | 111,402 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Sale | 15,878 @ $4.75 | $75K | −1.4% of holding | −43.3% | −40.1% | 1,149,524 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Garefis Amy | officer | Sale | 2,532 @ $4.74 | $12K | −1.2% of holding | −43.3% | −40.1% | 214,425 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Sale | 2,495 @ $4.77 | $12K | −2.0% of holding | −47.9% | −49.1% | 120,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
251 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Withheld for tax | 37,557 | 1,276,924 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Withheld for tax | 33,407 | 62,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,028 | 438,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,755 | 218,440 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,207 | 129,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,211 | 41,821 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 14,238 | 185,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 20,444 | 183,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 7,140 | 412,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 4,553 | 218,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Option exercise | 25,862 | 129,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 1,337 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Option exercise | 5,237 | 124,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 2,156 | 40,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 14,238 | 185,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Conversion | 190,977 | 253,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 1,581 | 38,776 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 1,825 | 16,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 20,444 | 443,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Option exercise | 5,841 | 134,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 20,444 | 1,300,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 5,237 | 5,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 13,346 | 13,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Option exercise | 25,556 | 82,065 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 5,841 | 52,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 11,206 | 56,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SIEGEL IAN H. | director | Option exercise | 14,238 | 185,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 4,553 | 22,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Option exercise | 4,553 | 128,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 7,119 | 231,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Garefis Amy | officer | Option exercise | 5,841 | 224,076 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 1,825 | 42,757 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SAKAMOTO RYAN T. | officer | Option exercise | 5,237 | 5,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 4,275 | 47,032 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 14,238 | 1,314,481 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 1,581 | 1,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bartolome Lora | officer | Option exercise | 4,275 | 4,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 13,346 | 1,259,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | SHIMANOVSKY BORIS F. | officer | Option exercise | 7,140 | 7,140 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | TRAVERS DAVID | officer | Option exercise | 20,690 | 103,450 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.