Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.85 · now $30.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ZETA has typically landed between $23.74 and $41.76 — a range of −23.0% to +35.4% from the issuance price $30.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,302 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ZETA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.14 (+4.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.92–$35.36
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.74–$41.76
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-06-02 | −48.1% | −51.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-06-03 | −47.6% | −50.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-27 | −45.6% | −45.6% | +6.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-14 | +72.3% | +0.0% | +72.3% |
| 2022-01-27 | +68.3% | +0.0% | +68.3% |
| 2022-07-12 | +59.7% | −0.9% | +59.7% |
1,302 overlapping windows · 2021-06-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Silberblatt Jeanine | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $19.89 | $149K | −13.0% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,350 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-12 | Silberblatt Jeanine | director | Sale | 12,990 @ $19.34 | $251K | −18.3% of holding | +18.5% | −4.4% | 57,850 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Ravella Satish | officer | Gift | 25,848 | 157,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 261,735 | 4,285,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 261,735 | 9,842,337 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Steinberg David | director | Other acquisition | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | LANDMAN WILLIAM | director | Disposition | 22,153 | 250,063 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ravella Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,329 | 183,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ravella Satish | officer | Option exercise | 6,250 | 187,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ravella Satish | officer | Option exercise | 6,250 | 68,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LANDMAN WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 1,270 | 272,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Royan William T. | director | Award / grant | 7,197 | 83,267 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Elzie Jene | director | Award / grant | 7,197 | 69,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | LANDMAN WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 7,197 | 270,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Silberblatt Jeanine | director | Award / grant | 7,197 | 57,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | NIEHAUS ROBERT H | director | Award / grant | 7,197 | 611,772 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ravella Satish | officer | Gift | 7,968 | 181,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Ravella Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,302 | 189,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Ravella Satish | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 206,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Ravella Satish | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gerber Steven H. | officer | Gift | 724,021 | 154,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greiner Christopher E | officer | Gift | 633,060 | 143,948 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | NIEHAUS ROBERT H | director | Gift | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | NIEHAUS ROBERT H | director | Gift | 60,000 | 604,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 285 | 67,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 13,176 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 768 | 512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 1,251,609 | 395,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | LANDMAN WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 1,570 | 263,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Elzie Jene | director | Disposition | 4,111 | 62,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | LANDMAN WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 1,228 | 262,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Ravella Satish | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 181,515 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Khan Imran | director | Disposition | 14,028 | 17,120 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 13,212 | 13,176 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Steinberg David | director | Gift | 683,367 | 1,649,620 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.