ZBRAZebra Technologies CorporationTechnology · Communication Equipmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $341.18 · now $341.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ZBRA has typically landed between $279.70 and $401.49 — a range of −18.0% to +17.7% from the issuance price $341.18.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($341.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ZBRA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $341.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$279.7worst · -18.0%$401.49best · +17.7%
  • now $341.18 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $338.53 (-0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $310.53–$366.52
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $279.7–$401.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−41.8%−41.8%+0.0%
2008-09-25−40.4%−40.4%+0.0%
2008-09-24−38.7%−38.7%+0.2%
3 best
2026-07-15+48.8%+0.0%+50.1%
2026-07-14+45.5%−1.9%+47.3%
2026-07-13+43.6%−4.3%+43.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$12.4B
market cap
$8.22
EPS (TTM)
31.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$5.4B
'20'25
Net income$419M
'20'25
Free cash flow$831M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr7.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr11.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.78
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $341.18$134.53$361.66
  • DCF (intrinsic)$150.19
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$281.16
  • Analyst target · range $296.00–$346.00$317.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$341.18

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.2%
n=18
Feb
68%
+4.3%
n=19
Mar
68%
+1.5%
n=19
Apr
58%
+0.7%
n=19
May
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.8%
n=19
Jul
74%
+4.2%
n=19
Aug
53%
+1.5%
n=19
Sep
37%
−3.4%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.8%
n=18
Nov
78%
+6.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
−0.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$383$1992026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $189K — Connly Linda2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Cho Michael2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $127K — Luff Loizides Melissa2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $749K — ROBERTS JANICE M2026-03-12: 1 insider purchase, $41K — Dhanasekaran Satish2026-03-05: 2 insider sales, $36K — Kogl Cristen L, Armstrong Robert John Jr2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $113K — Dhanasekaran Satish2025-11-18: 2 insider purchases, $233K — Dhanasekaran Satish …2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $356K — Connly Linda2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $356K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $233K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $113K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $41K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $36K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $876K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.5M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Connly Linda — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Cho Michael — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Luff Loizides Melissa — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROBERTS JANICE M — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dhanasekaran Satish — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Kogl Cristen L — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same dayofficer Armstrong Robert John Jr — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Dhanasekaran Satish — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Dhanasekaran Satish — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Dhanasekaran Satish — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Connly Linda — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Connly LindadirectorSale500 @ $377.68$189K−11.9% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open3,708Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Cho MichaelofficerSale3,500 @ $375.20$1.3M−40.4% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open5,170Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-26Luff Loizides MelissaofficerSale500 @ $253.95$127K−11.9% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open3,702Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14ROBERTS JANICE MdirectorSale3,000 @ $249.54$749K−32.7% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open6,183Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12Dhanasekaran SatishdirectorPurchase200 @ $205.40$41K+5.2% of holding+7.5%+56.4%4,056Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-05Kogl Cristen LdirectorSale145 @ $235.71$34K−0.6% of holding−5.1%+41.6%23,687Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Armstrong Robert John JrofficerSale9 @ $229.73$2K−0.1% of holding−5.1%+41.6%8,130Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Dhanasekaran SatishdirectorPurchase500 @ $225.25$113K+14.9% of holding−3.4%+46.4%3,856Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-18Dhanasekaran SatishdirectorPurchase701 @ $232.90$163K+29.8% of holding+7.0%−8.2%3,057Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-18Dhanasekaran SatishdirectorPurchase299 @ $233.63$70K+9.8% of holding+7.0%−8.2%3,356Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12Connly LindadirectorSale1,107 @ $322.00$356K−25.4% of holding−6.0%−31.3%3,257Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorPurchase2,727 @ $309.77$845K+1.3% of holding−3.2%−5.9%204,903Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-24GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorPurchase500 @ $311.00$156K+0.2% of holding−2.6%−5.0%202,176Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

165 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Luff Loizides MelissaofficerWithheld for tax463,656Form 4
2026-05-19Connors Nelda JdirectorAward / grant9514,128Form 4
2026-05-19Modruson Frank BlaisedirectorAward / grant95116,311Form 4
2026-05-19Miller Kenneth BradleydirectorAward / grant9512,482Form 4
2026-05-19MCDOWELL MARY TdirectorAward / grant9511,520Form 4
2026-05-19ROBERTS JANICE MdirectorAward / grant9517,134Form 4
2026-05-19GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorAward / grant951228,443Form 4
2026-05-19SMITH MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant95111,646Form 4
2026-05-19Dhanasekaran SatishdirectorAward / grant9515,007Form 4
2026-05-19Connly LindadirectorAward / grant9514,208Form 4
2026-05-19MANIRE ROSS WdirectorAward / grant95116,759Form 4
2026-05-04Burns BilldirectorWithheld for tax6,18567,782Form 4
2026-05-04Winters Nathan AndrewofficerWithheld for tax2,66323,100Form 4
2026-05-04Kogl Cristen LdirectorWithheld for tax1,50121,795Form 4
2026-05-04Cho MichaelofficerWithheld for tax7798,695Form 4
2026-05-04Froese Tamara DionneofficerWithheld for tax5156,587Form 4
2026-05-04Armstrong Robert John JrofficerWithheld for tax3677,459Form 4
2026-05-04O'Sullivan Colleen MofficerWithheld for tax3347,500Form 4
2026-05-04Hudson Richard EdwardofficerWithheld for tax25710,783Form 4
2026-05-04Luff Loizides MelissaofficerWithheld for tax1224,207Form 4
2026-05-02Burns BilldirectorWithheld for tax2,00573,967Form 4
2026-05-02Winters Nathan AndrewofficerWithheld for tax71725,763Form 4
2026-05-02Kogl Cristen LdirectorWithheld for tax39123,296Form 4
2026-05-02Cho MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1629,474Form 4
2026-05-02Armstrong Robert John JrofficerWithheld for tax1477,826Form 4
2026-05-02Froese Tamara DionneofficerWithheld for tax1397,102Form 4
2026-05-02O'Sullivan Colleen MofficerWithheld for tax877,834Form 4
2026-05-02Luff Loizides MelissaofficerWithheld for tax424,329Form 4
2026-04-08Burns BilldirectorOption exercise35876,156Form 4
2026-04-08Burns BilldirectorWithheld for tax18475,972Form 4
2026-04-08Burns BilldirectorOption exercise4,3640Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorWithheld for tax13,621226,966Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorOption exercise32,057240,587Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorOption exercise805227,771Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorWithheld for tax279227,492Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorOption exercise42,2560Form 4
2026-04-07GUSTAFSSON ANDERSdirectorOption exercise23,3790Form 4
2026-03-16Armstrong Robert John JrofficerWithheld for tax1577,973Form 4
2026-03-05Kogl Cristen LdirectorOption exercise28723,974Form 4
2026-03-05Kogl Cristen LdirectorWithheld for tax14223,832Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Kelly Louise MorrisonHousesale2025-06-182025-06-04$1–15K
Kelly Louise MorrisonHousesale2025-06-182025-06-04$1–15K
Kelly Louise MorrisonHousesale2025-06-182025-06-04$15–50K
Kelly Louise MorrisonHousesale2025-06-182025-06-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-04-282025-04-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-04-102025-03-12$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.