Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.74 · now $21.74 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, YSWY has typically landed between $16.83 and $28.09 — a range of −22.6% to +29.2% from the issuance price $21.74.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
81 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-04-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.74) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where YSWY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.74 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $21.74 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.27 (-2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.2–$23.33
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.83–$28.09
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-01 | −25.9% | −25.9% | +4.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | −23.6% | −28.4% | +0.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | −22.1% | −29.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-21 | +29.6% | −2.5% | +29.6% |
| 2026-07-24 | +29.1% | −1.6% | +30.8% |
| 2026-07-27 | +28.6% | +0.0% | +33.0% |
81 overlapping windows · 2026-04-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
47 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | SOLTAU JILL A. | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 1,080,000 | 1,080,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 1,080,000 | 2,160,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Brown Thomas Warren | director | Award / grant | 198,000 | 198,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Brown Thomas Warren | director | Award / grant | 198,000 | 396,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Ayles Ericka L. | officer | Award / grant | 216,000 | 216,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Ayles Ericka L. | officer | Award / grant | 216,000 | 432,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lewis Ronald C. | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Clark Shauna J. | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Papazian Greg M. | director | Award / grant | 7,000 | 7,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Zernich Kurt M. | officer | Award / grant | 198,000 | 198,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Zernich Kurt M. | officer | Award / grant | 198,000 | 396,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 267,804 | 267,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 9,367,808 | 9,367,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 19,735,435 | 19,735,435 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 1,686,923 | 1,686,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Brown Thomas Warren | director | Award / grant | 105,209 | 105,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Brown Thomas Warren | director | Award / grant | 2,040 | 2,040 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Ayles Ericka L. | officer | Award / grant | 83,656 | 83,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Papazian Greg M. | director | Award / grant | 22,954 | 22,954 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Zernich Kurt M. | officer | Award / grant | 77,089 | 77,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 70,777 | 70,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 10,712 | 10,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 267,804 | 267,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 15,085,561 | 15,085,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Zernich Kurt M. | officer | Award / grant | 77,089 | 77,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 9,367,808 | 9,367,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 19,735,435 | 19,735,435 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 1,686,923 | 1,686,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 70,777 | 70,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Ayles Ericka L. | officer | Award / grant | 83,656 | 83,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 70,777 | 70,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 10,712 | 10,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 10,712 | 10,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Papazian Greg M. | director | Award / grant | 22,954 | 22,954 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Zernich Kurt M. | officer | Award / grant | 77,089 | 77,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 267,804 | 267,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 15,085,561 | 15,085,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 9,367,808 | 9,367,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | TRKLA THOMAS N. | director | Award / grant | 19,735,435 | 19,735,435 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.