YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.55 · now $40.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, YETI has typically landed between $32.90 and $48.14 — a range of −18.9% to +18.7% from the issuance price $40.55.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,961 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-10-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where YETI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.9worst · -18.9%$48.14best · +18.7%
  • now $40.55 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.06 (-1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $36.68–$43.45
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.9–$48.14
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,961 windows spanning 2018-10-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−51.0%−51.0%+0.3%
2020-02-20−49.3%−49.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−46.4%−46.4%+0.9%
3 best
2019-02-13+59.6%+0.0%+59.6%
2020-04-02+56.5%+0.0%+69.0%
2020-04-03+55.5%+0.0%+65.5%

1,961 overlapping windows · 2018-10-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.5%
n=8
Feb
25%
−0.7%
n=8
Mar
38%
−4.2%
n=8
Apr
50%
+5.6%
n=8
May
63%
+1.9%
n=8
Jun
75%
+7.5%
n=8
Jul
88%
+11.3%
n=8
Aug
38%
−5.4%
n=8
Sep
13%
−7.2%
n=8
Oct
71%
+4.5%
n=7
Nov
75%
+12.4%
n=8
Dec
50%
+1.4%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$53$322025-12-11: 2 insider sales, $442K — Barksdale Bryan C. …2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $442K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Barksdale Bryan C. — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Barksdale Bryan C. — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-11Barksdale Bryan C.officerSale4,924 @ $45.32$223K−7.4% of holding+7.5%−0.4%61,229Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Barksdale Bryan C.officerSale4,832 @ $45.32$219K−7.9% of holding+7.5%−0.4%56,397Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11McMullen Michael JohnofficerSale747 @ $45.00$34K−1.6% of holding−12.4%−31.7%45,877Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

95 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax2,062464,160Form 4
2026-08-17Duff MartinofficerWithheld for tax63050,710Form 4
2026-08-17Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax55480,074Form 4
2026-08-14Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax2,228466,222Form 4
2026-08-14Duff MartinofficerWithheld for tax79051,340Form 4
2026-08-14Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax59680,628Form 4
2026-05-07SHEARER ROBERT KdirectorAward / grant9,11771,202Form 4
2026-05-07Welander Jan MagnusdirectorAward / grant6,23816,085Form 4
2026-05-07MCCOY DUSTAN EdirectorAward / grant3,71938,497Form 4
2026-05-07Dean AlisondirectorAward / grant3,71921,202Form 4
2026-05-07Axelrod Elizabeth LdirectorAward / grant3,71918,183Form 4
2026-05-07Arens ArnedirectorAward / grant3,7199,632Form 4
2026-05-07GIBEAU FRANK DdirectorAward / grant3,71910,041Form 4
2026-05-07Kelley Mary LoudirectorAward / grant2,81939,927Form 4
2026-05-07Kelley Mary LoudirectorAward / grant3,71943,646Form 4
2026-05-06GIBEAU FRANK DdirectorGift5,4676,322Form 4
2026-05-06GIBEAU FRANK DdirectorGift5,46718,852Form 4
2026-02-24Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax10,523468,450Form 4
2026-02-24Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax1,754478,973Form 4
2026-02-24Duff MartinofficerWithheld for tax60752,130Form 4
2026-02-24Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax54681,224Form 4
2026-02-24Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax54681,770Form 4
2026-02-23Bomar Scott CofficerAward / grant55,29875,343Form 4
2026-02-23Bomar Scott CofficerAward / grant20,04520,045Form 4
2026-02-20Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax63,137450,117Form 4
2026-02-20Reintjes Matthew JdirectorWithheld for tax63,137513,254Form 4
2026-02-20McMullen Michael JohnofficerWithheld for tax8,11679,456Form 4
2026-02-20McMullen Michael JohnofficerWithheld for tax8,11687,572Form 4
2026-02-20Duff MartinofficerWithheld for tax7,35741,726Form 4
2026-02-20Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax6,57081,336Form 4
2026-02-20Barksdale Bryan C.officerWithheld for tax6,57074,766Form 4
2026-02-20Barksdale Bryan C.officerAward / grant16,63287,906Form 4
2026-02-20Reintjes Matthew JdirectorAward / grant30,610480,727Form 4
2026-02-20Barksdale Bryan C.officerAward / grant16,63271,274Form 4
2026-02-20McMullen Michael JohnofficerAward / grant20,54675,142Form 4
2026-02-20Barksdale Bryan C.officerAward / grant7,55082,316Form 4
2026-02-20Duff MartinofficerAward / grant16,64449,083Form 4
2026-02-20McMullen Michael JohnofficerAward / grant20,54695,688Form 4
2026-02-20Duff MartinofficerAward / grant11,01152,737Form 4
2026-02-20Reintjes Matthew JdirectorAward / grant160,448415,943Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.