Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.76 · now $20.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, YELP has typically landed between $17.42 and $23.91 — a range of −16.1% to +15.2% from the issuance price $20.76.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,635 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-03-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where YELP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $20.76 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.73 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.47–$21.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.42–$23.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,635 windows spanning 2012-03-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −58.2% | −58.2% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-13 | −51.6% | −51.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −50.9% | −57.5% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-10-28 | +76.6% | +0.0% | +76.6% |
| 2012-06-05 | +71.9% | +0.0% | +71.9% |
| 2020-10-27 | +71.3% | −2.0% | +71.3% |
3,635 overlapping windows · 2012-03-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
−0.1%
n=14
Feb
29%
−2.9%
n=14
Mar
50%
−3.1%
n=14
Apr
60%
+1.1%
n=15
May
47%
−1.1%
n=15
Jun
60%
+6.1%
n=15
Jul
60%
+0.7%
n=15
Aug
53%
+6.5%
n=15
Sep
47%
+0.8%
n=15
Oct
50%
−1.9%
n=14
Nov
43%
+1.6%
n=14
Dec
64%
+1.2%
n=14
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 500 @ $22.14 | $11K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 100,536 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Levy Alexander Coleman | officer | Sale | 3,829 @ $23.40 | $90K | −6.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 54,124 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 8,809 @ $23.19 | $204K | −4.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 180,466 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $26.91 | $121K | −1.7% of holding | −17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 261,326 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 23,233 @ $27.00 | $627K | −18.0% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,991 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $25.00 | $113K | −1.7% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 265,826 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $24.95 | $37K | −1.1% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 129,224 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 9,000 @ $25.00 | $225K | −3.2% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 270,326 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $24.00 | $24K | −0.8% of holding | +8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,724 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Barone Christine | director | Sale | 15,507 @ $22.95 | $356K | −49.3% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,928 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 500 @ $22.84 | $11K | −0.4% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,724 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 500 @ $22.35 | $11K | −0.4% of holding | +4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 132,224 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $28.17 | $34K | −0.4% of holding | −25.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 266,635 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $26.60 | $199K | −3.5% of holding | −28.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 209,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $24.72 | $30K | −0.4% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 267,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $25.00 | $188K | −3.3% of holding | +8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 216,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $25.00 | $250K | −4.2% of holding | +3.9% | −26.8% | 227,959 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 2,499 @ $24.19 | $60K | −0.8% of holding | +6.0% | −26.9% | 292,742 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $21.78 | $26K | −0.5% of holding | +14.5% | −13.5% | 253,134 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Jedda Dan | director | Sale | 1,464 @ $21.02 | $31K | −7.9% of holding | +23.4% | +5.5% | 17,100 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $24.34 | $170K | −2.4% of holding | +0.8% | −12.0% | 287,561 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 6,200 @ $24.20 | $150K | −0.6% of holding | +0.7% | −8.4% | 964,827 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-04 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 29,400 @ $24.78 | $728K | −3.0% of holding | +3.2% | −9.3% | 965,427 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 600 @ $25.37 | $15K | −0.1% of holding | +3.2% | −9.3% | 964,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 15,731 @ $26.63 | $419K | −1.6% of holding | −2.0% | −9.8% | 964,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 14,269 @ $25.68 | $366K | −1.4% of holding | −2.0% | −9.8% | 980,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $27.54 | $826K | −3.8% of holding | −11.9% | −14.3% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-02 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $27.40 | $33K | −0.6% of holding | −11.9% | −14.3% | 190,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $27.26 | $818K | −3.8% of holding | −13.7% | −12.2% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $27.35 | $820K | −3.8% of holding | −16.7% | −12.1% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-28 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $27.73 | $832K | −3.8% of holding | −17.6% | −11.7% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-27 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 28,437 @ $27.35 | $778K | −3.6% of holding | −18.3% | −3.2% | 758,021 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-27 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 1,563 @ $28.19 | $44K | −0.2% of holding | −18.3% | −3.2% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $28.45 | $854K | −3.8% of holding | −25.1% | −10.8% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 28,600 @ $28.72 | $821K | −3.6% of holding | −29.8% | −14.4% | 757,858 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-23 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $29.23 | $41K | −0.2% of holding | −29.8% | −14.4% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-22 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $29.29 | $879K | −3.8% of holding | −29.8% | −21.7% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $28.30 | $849K | −3.8% of holding | −26.0% | −22.3% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $28.07 | $842K | −3.8% of holding | −24.4% | −22.4% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-16 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $28.48 | $855K | −3.8% of holding | −22.1% | −17.1% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $28.96 | $869K | −3.8% of holding | −27.7% | −17.5% | 756,458 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $33.34 | $233K | −3.6% of holding | −19.4% | −25.7% | 188,880 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-02 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $30.43 | $37K | −0.6% of holding | −17.9% | −22.1% | 192,079 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-26 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $30.69 | $46K | −2.0% of holding | −10.2% | −28.0% | 74,378 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 13,500 @ $30.41 | $411K | −9.6% of holding | −10.3% | −36.2% | 127,627 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 20,325 @ $30.10 | $612K | −9.4% of holding | +1.2% | −28.1% | 195,880 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Barone Christine | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $30.00 | $450K | −32.3% of holding | −0.1% | −31.3% | 31,435 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $30.00 | $30K | −1.3% of holding | −0.1% | −31.3% | 75,878 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Eaton Sam | officer | Sale | 195 @ $28.85 | $6K | −0.2% of holding | +1.4% | −31.9% | 122,880 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $28.62 | $34K | −0.6% of holding | +5.6% | −34.6% | 193,279 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-26 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 9,611 @ $29.31 | $282K | −6.4% of holding | +2.4% | −31.5% | 141,127 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-25 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 500 @ $28.82 | $14K | −0.6% of holding | +0.8% | −35.1% | 76,878 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-06 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $32.16 | $225K | −3.2% of holding | −10.3% | −32.2% | 212,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $32.98 | $40K | −0.6% of holding | −8.9% | −22.4% | 201,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-27 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $33.04 | $50K | −1.8% of holding | −9.5% | −19.5% | 82,566 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-15 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $33.58 | $336K | −5.9% of holding | −14.1% | −23.9% | 160,196 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-06 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $31.84 | $223K | −3.1% of holding | −4.9% | −23.9% | 219,668 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-01 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $30.93 | $37K | −0.6% of holding | +0.6% | −18.7% | 202,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-25 | Amara Carmen | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $31.37 | $47K | −1.8% of holding | +2.7% | −19.1% | 84,066 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $31.24 | $312K | −5.5% of holding | +6.6% | −24.8% | 170,196 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
147 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Withheld for tax | 20,479 | 918,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,333 | 250,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,013 | 189,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Amara Carmen | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,955 | 101,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Levy Alexander Coleman | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,477 | 57,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Levy Alexander Coleman | officer | Award / grant | 14,762 | 60,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gibbs Robert Lane | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 64,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | ANDERSON FRED D | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 64,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Barone Christine | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 26,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Green Logan | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 23,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | IRVINE DIANE M | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 101,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Jedda Dan | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 27,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Rothstein Sharon | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 53,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Wells Royce A. | director | Award / grant | 10,646 | 45,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Withheld for tax | 20,480 | 938,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Eaton Sam | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,266 | 208,882 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,332 | 278,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,012 | 199,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,740 | 260,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Amara Carmen | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,955 | 132,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Withheld for tax | 7,560 | 959,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Eaton Sam | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,228 | 220,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,957 | 288,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,659 | 224,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Amara Carmen | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,805 | 137,679 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,315 | 269,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Award / grant | 24,868 | 295,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Award / grant | 24,231 | 237,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Award / grant | 48,779 | 966,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Eaton Sam | officer | Award / grant | 24,231 | 224,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amara Carmen | officer | Award / grant | 14,666 | 139,484 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Award / grant | 17,216 | 270,350 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | ANDERSON FRED D | director | Award / grant | 3,154 | 53,518 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Green Logan | director | Award / grant | 2,194 | 13,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Stoppelman Jeremy | director | Withheld for tax | 46,632 | 918,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Eaton Sam | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,437 | 200,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Nachman Joseph R | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,188 | 270,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Schwarzbach David A | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,601 | 213,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Amara Carmen | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,298 | 124,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Saldanha Craig | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,088 | 254,334 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.