Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.42 · now $16.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XZO has typically landed between $11.92 and $22.38 — a range of −27.4% to +36.3% from the issuance price $16.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
195 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-11-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where XZO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $16.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $16.25 (-1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.14–$18.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.92–$22.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 195 windows spanning 2025-11-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-13 | −31.4% | −31.4% | +3.8% |
| 2026-01-15 | −31.1% | −32.8% | +1.6% |
| 2026-01-12 | −30.0% | −30.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-11-20 | +59.8% | +0.0% | +59.8% |
| 2025-11-21 | +57.8% | +0.0% | +57.8% |
| 2026-06-04 | +47.0% | +0.0% | +49.2% |
195 overlapping windows · 2025-11-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.67 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,672,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.26 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,670,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $12.92 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,668,013 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $12.82 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,666,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.33 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,664,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.69 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | −5.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,662,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.93 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,660,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $13.72 | $21K | +0.1% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,658,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 500 @ $13.55 | $7K | +0.0% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,656,513 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.75 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,656,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.55 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,654,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.85 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,652,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.99 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,650,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.52 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,648,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.11 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,646,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 1,656 @ $17.31 | $29K | +0.1% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,644,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 344 @ $17.33 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,642,357 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $17.13 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | −31.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,641,513 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 500 @ $17.05 | $9K | +0.0% of holding | −31.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,642,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 1,200 @ $16.61 | $20K | +0.1% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,639,713 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 400 @ $16.51 | $7K | +0.0% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,638,413 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 300 @ $16.47 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,640,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 100 @ $16.52 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,638,513 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.53 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −17.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,638,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.91 | $32K | +0.1% of holding | −15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,636,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.22 | $32K | +0.1% of holding | −21.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,634,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.68 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −24.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,632,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.88 | $34K | +0.1% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,630,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.21 | $32K | +0.1% of holding | −25.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,628,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.62 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −26.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,626,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.46 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −27.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,624,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $17.28 | $35K | +0.1% of holding | −27.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,622,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $17.48 | $35K | +0.1% of holding | −24.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,620,013 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.94 | $34K | +0.1% of holding | −25.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,618,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.76 | $34K | +0.1% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,616,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.43 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,614,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 1,434 @ $16.14 | $23K | +0.1% of holding | −24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,612,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 270 @ $16.17 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,610,283 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 166 @ $16.19 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,610,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 130 @ $16.18 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,610,413 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-13 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.13 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | −18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,610,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.38 | $31K | +0.1% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,608,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.74 | $31K | +0.1% of holding | −21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,606,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.05 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | −20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,604,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-07 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.22 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,602,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.26 | $29K | +0.1% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,600,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.79 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,598,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.94 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,596,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.44 | $29K | +0.1% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,594,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.08 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | +3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,592,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.89 | $28K | +0.1% of holding | +9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,590,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.52 | $29K | +0.1% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,588,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.81 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,586,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.99 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,584,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-23 | Macchiarola James J | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $15.12 | $60K | +2.9% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.93 | $30K | +0.1% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,582,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-20 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.50 | $31K | +0.1% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,580,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.36 | $31K | +0.1% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,578,013 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.30 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,576,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-17 | Patel Paresh | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $15.68 | $31K | +0.1% of holding | −1.6% | −9.7% | 1,574,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
2 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | Bulku Suela | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,896 | 304,854 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Baker Brook Armstrong | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,896 | 238,006 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.