XRXXerox Holdings Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.48 · now $3.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XRX has typically landed between $2.66 and $4.26 — a range of −23.7% to +22.5% from the issuance price $3.48.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where XRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.66worst · -23.7%$4.26best · +22.5%
  • now $3.48 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.38 (-2.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.08–$3.68
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.66–$4.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−57.1%−57.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−55.7%−56.0%+0.3%
2020-02-20−55.3%−56.5%+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-10+118.2%+0.0%+128.1%
2026-04-09+117.3%−4.7%+117.3%
2026-04-13+115.1%+0.0%+119.0%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+2.0%
n=18
Feb
58%
−1.8%
n=19
Mar
37%
−4.5%
n=19
Apr
37%
+2.6%
n=19
May
47%
+0.8%
n=19
Jun
53%
−1.3%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.4%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.8%
n=19
Sep
47%
−2.4%
n=19
Oct
33%
−4.2%
n=18
Nov
61%
+4.2%
n=18
Dec
50%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$4$12025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $138K↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-01Letier A. ScottdirectorPurchase29,600 @ $3.95$117K+100.7% of holding−5.6%−53.0%58,984Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Gecaj MirlandaofficerPurchase5,179 @ $4.03$21K+31.1% of holding−5.6%−53.0%21,826Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23Letier A. ScottdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $4.43$111K+570.3% of holding+14.9%−55.4%29,384Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23BRUNO JOHN GdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $4.38$110K+10.6% of holding+14.9%−55.4%259,775Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23BANDROWCZAK STEVEN JOHNdirectorPurchase22,300 @ $4.48$100K+6.2% of holding+14.9%−55.4%382,442Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23Gecaj MirlandaofficerPurchase10,000 @ $4.41$44K+167.9% of holding+14.9%−55.4%15,956Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

210 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerWithheld for tax7,451125,748Form 4
2026-09-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorWithheld for tax6,160224,643Form 4
2026-09-11Colon FlorofficerWithheld for tax4,36167,416Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerWithheld for tax2,08315,507Form 4
2026-09-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,6551,493,519Form 4
2026-09-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,096391,410Form 4
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305656,479Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,839141,389Form 4
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305133,199Form 4
2026-09-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,655230,803Form 4
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305133,199Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83917,590Form 4
2026-09-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,09671,777Form 4
2026-09-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,655230,803Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83917,590Form 4
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305133,199Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83917,590Form 4
2026-09-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,655230,803Form 4
2026-09-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,09671,777Form 4
2026-09-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83917,590Form 4
2026-09-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305133,199Form 4
2026-09-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,09671,777Form 4
2026-06-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerWithheld for tax7,451119,894Form 4
2026-06-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorWithheld for tax6,160211,148Form 4
2026-06-11Colon FlorofficerWithheld for tax4,36159,681Form 4
2026-06-11Twomey WilliamofficerWithheld for tax2,08312,751Form 4
2026-06-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,838146,228Form 4
2026-06-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,096403,506Form 4
2026-06-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,6551,513,174Form 4
2026-06-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305669,784Form 4
2026-06-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83814,834Form 4
2026-06-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,09664,042Form 4
2026-06-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305127,345Form 4
2026-06-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,655217,308Form 4
2026-06-11Twomey WilliamofficerOption exercise4,83814,834Form 4
2026-06-11Gueden Jacques-EdouardofficerOption exercise13,305127,345Form 4
2026-06-11Colon FlorofficerOption exercise12,09664,042Form 4
2026-06-11PASTOR LOUISdirectorOption exercise19,655217,308Form 4
2026-05-20ROESE JOHNdirectorAward / grant87,209160,431Form 4
2026-05-20Colon FlorofficerOption exercise280,899415,602Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2021-12-072021-11-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-02-102020-01-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-02-102020-01-08$1–15K
Earl BlumenauerHousesale2019-06-042019-05-07$1–15K
Virginia FoxxHousesale2019-05-102019-04-24$50–100K
Virginia FoxxHousepurchase2019-04-032019-03-07$15–50K
Dean PhillipsHousesale2019-02-182019-01-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-01-112018-12-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-01-112018-12-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-12-102018-11-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-09-122018-08-28$1–15K
John RutherfordHousepurchase2018-08-202017-07-17$1–15K
John RutherfordHousesale2018-08-202017-11-13$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.