Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.63 · now $35.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XRN has typically landed between $32.40 and $39.07 — a range of −9.1% to +9.6% from the issuance price $35.63.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
140 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-01-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where XRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $35.63 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.01 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.65–$37.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.4–$39.07
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-26 | −11.1% | −11.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | −10.1% | −11.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | −8.7% | −8.7% | +3.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-07 | +12.3% | +0.0% | +16.8% |
| 2026-03-27 | +11.7% | +0.0% | +12.5% |
| 2026-05-11 | +11.1% | −0.0% | +12.5% |
140 overlapping windows · 2026-01-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $36.38 | $18K | +33.3% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $37.21 | $19K | +50.0% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Roseth Aaron Robert | director | Purchase | 13,500 @ $36.73 | $496K | ownership Δ n/a | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Fitzgerald Charles | director | Purchase | 14,000 @ $35.78 | $501K | +11.2% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Purchase | 6,875 @ $35.92 | $247K | +10.1% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Purchase | 550 @ $36.00 | $20K | +0.8% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,324 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Fitzgerald Charles | director | Purchase | 27,600 @ $35.94 | $992K | +28.4% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Purchase | 8,000 @ $35.88 | $287K | +13.4% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,774 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Cypher Matthew | director | Purchase | 1,420 @ $35.12 | $50K | +525.9% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,690 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $33.99 | $136K | +7.2% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,774 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Wittman Lori | director | Purchase | 2,940 @ $33.85 | $100K | ownership Δ n/a | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,940 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Holley Danica | director | Purchase | 1,490 @ $33.99 | $51K | +1490.0% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,590 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Barber Jamie Allen | officer | Purchase | 1,481 @ $33.50 | $50K | ownership Δ n/a | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,481 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Marston Ronald | director | Purchase | 1,011 @ $34.06 | $34K | +57.6% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,766 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $33.74 | $34K | +1.8% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,774 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Marston Ronald | director | Purchase | 300 @ $34.14 | $10K | +10.8% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,066 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Marston Ronald | director | Purchase | 189 @ $34.05 | $6K | +12.1% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,755 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | KIERNAN ROBERT J | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $33.49 | $100K | +100.0% of holding | +13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Crowley Paula | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $34.00 | $34K | ownership Δ n/a | +13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Cole Henry | director | Purchase | 575 @ $34.31 | $20K | +37.0% of holding | +13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,129 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Cole Henry | director | Purchase | 8 @ $33.35 | $267 | +0.5% of holding | +13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,554 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Zeiller Robert Harold | officer | Award / grant | 23,855 | 23,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Holley Danica | director | Award / grant | 20,992 | 20,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Award / grant | 49,618 | 49,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Roseth Aaron Robert | director | Award / grant | 23,855 | 23,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons | officer | Award / grant | 28,626 | 28,626 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | KIERNAN ROBERT J | officer | Award / grant | 29,580 | 29,580 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Barber Jamie Allen | officer | Award / grant | 19,084 | 19,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons | officer | Award / grant | 9,442 | 9,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Roseth Aaron Robert | director | Award / grant | 7,418 | 7,418 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Zeiller Robert Harold | officer | Award / grant | 7,418 | 9,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-16 | Zeiller Robert Harold | officer | Award / grant | 2,477 | 2,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fitzgerald Charles | director | Award / grant | 220,000 | 220,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Cypher Matthew | director | Award / grant | 2,497 | 13,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Crowley Paula | director | Award / grant | 2,497 | 12,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Fitzgerald Charles | director | Award / grant | 4,700 | 4,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Wittman Lori | director | Award / grant | 2,497 | 12,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Holley Danica | director | Award / grant | 2,270 | 64,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Leon Alfonzo | officer | Award / grant | 10,385 | 101,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Leon Alfonzo | officer | Award / grant | 3,273 | 105,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Barber Jamie Allen | officer | Award / grant | 5,539 | 35,454 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Barber Jamie Allen | officer | Award / grant | 2,025 | 37,479 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Award / grant | 16,616 | 48,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Decker Mark Okey Jr | director | Award / grant | 4,702 | 53,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | KIERNAN ROBERT J | officer | Award / grant | 10,385 | 96,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | KIERNAN ROBERT J | officer | Award / grant | 3,492 | 99,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Holley Danica | director | Award / grant | 5,816 | 62,340 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.