XRNChiron Real Estate Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.63 · now $35.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XRN has typically landed between $32.40 and $39.07 — a range of −9.1% to +9.6% from the issuance price $35.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

140 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-01-272026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where XRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.4worst · -9.1%$39.07best · +9.6%
  • now $35.63 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.01 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.65$37.37
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.4$39.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 140 windows spanning 2026-01-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-02-26−11.1%−11.1%+0.0%
2026-02-25−10.1%−11.7%+0.0%
2026-02-19−8.7%−8.7%+3.4%
3 best
2026-05-07+12.3%+0.0%+16.8%
2026-03-27+11.7%+0.0%+12.5%
2026-05-11+11.1%−0.0%+12.5%

140 overlapping windows · 2026-01-272026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$38$322026-08-17: 1 insider purchase, $18K — Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons2026-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $19K — Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons2026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $496K — Roseth Aaron Robert2026-08-11: 3 insider purchases, $768K — Fitzgerald Charles, Decker Mark Okey Jr …2026-08-10: 2 insider purchases, $1.3M — Fitzgerald Charles, Decker Mark Okey Jr2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Cypher Matthew2026-05-12: 8 insider purchases, $421K — Decker Mark Okey Jr, Wittman Lori, Holley Danica, Barber Jamie Allen …2026-05-11: 4 insider purchases, $154K — KIERNAN ROBERT J, Crowley Paula, Cole Henry …2026-05: 13 open-market purchases, $625K2026-08: 8 open-market purchases, $2.6M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons — Purchase on 2026-08-17, filed same dayofficer Whitlock Matthew Fitzsimmons — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Roseth Aaron Robert — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald Charles — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Decker Mark Okey Jr — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Decker Mark Okey Jr — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald Charles — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Decker Mark Okey Jr — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cypher Matthew — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Decker Mark Okey Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed same daydirector Wittman Lori — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Holley Danica — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed same dayofficer Barber Jamie Allen — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Marston Ronald — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Decker Mark Okey Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed same daydirector Marston Ronald — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Marston Ronald — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer KIERNAN ROBERT J — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Crowley Paula — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Cole Henry — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Cole Henry — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Whitlock Matthew FitzsimmonsofficerPurchase500 @ $36.38$18K+33.3% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open2,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-14Whitlock Matthew FitzsimmonsofficerPurchase500 @ $37.21$19K+50.0% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open1,500Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-12Roseth Aaron RobertdirectorPurchase13,500 @ $36.73$496Kownership Δ n/a+0.3%not yet — horizon still open13,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Fitzgerald CharlesdirectorPurchase14,000 @ $35.78$501K+11.2% of holding+6.0%not yet — horizon still open138,893Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorPurchase6,875 @ $35.92$247K+10.1% of holding+6.0%not yet — horizon still open75,199Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorPurchase550 @ $36.00$20K+0.8% of holding+6.0%not yet — horizon still open68,324Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Fitzgerald CharlesdirectorPurchase27,600 @ $35.94$992K+28.4% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open124,893Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $35.88$287K+13.4% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open67,774Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14Cypher MatthewdirectorPurchase1,420 @ $35.12$50K+525.9% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open1,690Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $33.99$136K+7.2% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open59,774Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Wittman LoridirectorPurchase2,940 @ $33.85$100Kownership Δ n/a+9.9%not yet — horizon still open2,940Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Holley DanicadirectorPurchase1,490 @ $33.99$51K+1490.0% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open1,590Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Barber Jamie AllenofficerPurchase1,481 @ $33.50$50Kownership Δ n/a+9.9%not yet — horizon still open1,481Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Marston RonalddirectorPurchase1,011 @ $34.06$34K+57.6% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open2,766Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $33.74$34K+1.8% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open55,774Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Marston RonalddirectorPurchase300 @ $34.14$10K+10.8% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open3,066Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Marston RonalddirectorPurchase189 @ $34.05$6K+12.1% of holding+9.9%not yet — horizon still open1,755Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11KIERNAN ROBERT JofficerPurchase3,000 @ $33.49$100K+100.0% of holding+13.0%not yet — horizon still open6,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Crowley PauladirectorPurchase1,000 @ $34.00$34Kownership Δ n/a+13.0%not yet — horizon still open1,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11Cole HenrydirectorPurchase575 @ $34.31$20K+37.0% of holding+13.0%not yet — horizon still open2,129Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11Cole HenrydirectorPurchase8 @ $33.35$267+0.5% of holding+13.0%not yet — horizon still open1,554Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Zeiller Robert HaroldofficerAward / grant23,85523,855Form 4
2026-08-27Holley DanicadirectorAward / grant20,99220,992Form 4
2026-08-27Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorAward / grant49,61849,618Form 4
2026-08-27Roseth Aaron RobertdirectorAward / grant23,85523,855Form 4
2026-08-27Whitlock Matthew FitzsimmonsofficerAward / grant28,62628,626Form 4
2026-08-27KIERNAN ROBERT JofficerAward / grant29,58029,580Form 4
2026-08-27Barber Jamie AllenofficerAward / grant19,08419,084Form 4
2026-08-03Whitlock Matthew FitzsimmonsofficerAward / grant9,4429,442Form 4
2026-08-03Roseth Aaron RobertdirectorAward / grant7,4187,418Form 4
2026-08-03Zeiller Robert HaroldofficerAward / grant7,4189,895Form 4
2026-07-16Zeiller Robert HaroldofficerAward / grant2,4772,477Form 4
2026-05-29Fitzgerald CharlesdirectorAward / grant220,000220,000Form 4
2026-05-20Cypher MatthewdirectorAward / grant2,49713,603Form 4
2026-05-20Crowley PauladirectorAward / grant2,49712,414Form 4
2026-05-20Fitzgerald CharlesdirectorAward / grant4,7004,700Form 4
2026-05-20Wittman LoridirectorAward / grant2,49712,414Form 4
2026-02-24Holley DanicadirectorAward / grant2,27064,610Form 4
2026-02-24Leon AlfonzoofficerAward / grant10,385101,842Form 4
2026-02-24Leon AlfonzoofficerAward / grant3,273105,115Form 4
2026-02-24Barber Jamie AllenofficerAward / grant5,53935,454Form 4
2026-02-24Barber Jamie AllenofficerAward / grant2,02537,479Form 4
2026-02-24Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorAward / grant16,61648,362Form 4
2026-02-24Decker Mark Okey JrdirectorAward / grant4,70253,064Form 4
2026-02-24KIERNAN ROBERT JofficerAward / grant10,38596,060Form 4
2026-02-24KIERNAN ROBERT JofficerAward / grant3,49299,552Form 4
2026-02-24Holley DanicadirectorAward / grant5,81662,340Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.