XRAYDENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.14 · now $10.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XRAY has typically landed between $8.40 and $11.59 — a range of −17.2% to +14.3% from the issuance price $10.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where XRAY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$8.4worst · -17.2%$11.59best · +14.3%
  • now $10.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.85 (-2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.21–$10.5
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.4–$11.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−43.9%−43.9%+0.0%
2020-02-18−43.5%−43.5%+1.1%
2020-02-20−42.8%−43.0%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-15+36.6%−1.1%+36.6%
2026-06-16+34.4%−4.0%+34.4%
2026-06-17+34.2%+0.0%+40.1%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+1.1%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.8%
n=19
Mar
53%
−0.0%
n=19
Apr
68%
+0.1%
n=19
May
53%
−0.8%
n=19
Jun
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+3.4%
n=19
Aug
16%
−5.6%
n=19
Sep
37%
−2.0%
n=19
Oct
44%
+0.8%
n=18
Nov
56%
−0.4%
n=18
Dec
61%
+3.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$15$102026-06-15: 2 insider purchases, $165K — Gladden Brian T, HOSEIN CLYDE2026-06-12: 1 insider purchase, $101K — MCKEON BRIAN P2026-06-11: 2 insider purchases, $250K — Barber Michael J, HOLDEN BETSY D2026-03-09: 2 insider purchases, $249K — LUCIER GREGORY T, Forbes James D2026-03-03: 2 insider purchases, $382K — LUCIER GREGORY T, Forbes James D2026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $393K — LUCIER GREGORY T2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $916K — LUCIER GREGORY T2025-11-24: 1 insider purchase, $100K — VARON LESLIE F2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $916K2026-03: 5 open-market purchases, $1.0M2026-06: 5 open-market purchases, $516K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Gladden Brian T — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed same daydirector HOSEIN CLYDE — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MCKEON BRIAN P — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Barber Michael J — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HOLDEN BETSY D — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LUCIER GREGORY T — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector Forbes James D — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector LUCIER GREGORY T — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector Forbes James D — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector LUCIER GREGORY T — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LUCIER GREGORY T — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector VARON LESLIE F — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Gladden Brian TdirectorPurchase9,985 @ $10.02$100K+19.3% of holding+36.9%not yet — horizon still open61,849Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-15HOSEIN CLYDEdirectorPurchase6,500 @ $9.98$65K+10.1% of holding+36.9%not yet — horizon still open70,575Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12MCKEON BRIAN PdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.12$101Kownership Δ n/a+30.8%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-11Barber Michael JdirectorPurchase15,175 @ $9.88$150K+37.2% of holding+23.1%not yet — horizon still open55,943Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11HOLDEN BETSY DdirectorPurchase10,086 @ $9.88$100K+13.0% of holding+23.1%not yet — horizon still open87,528Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-09LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $12.45$187K+30.0% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open65,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Forbes James DdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.48$62K+100.0% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorPurchase22,445 @ $14.03$315K+81.5% of holding−8.9%not yet — horizon still open50,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Forbes James DdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $13.47$67Kownership Δ n/a−8.9%not yet — horizon still open5,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorPurchase27,555 @ $14.24$393Kownership Δ n/a−13.9%not yet — horizon still open27,555Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorSale82,200 @ $11.14$916K−100.0% of holding+12.9%−14.9%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24VARON LESLIE FdirectorPurchase9,337 @ $10.71$100K+19.4% of holding+1.0%−16.2%57,343Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorPurchase15,142 @ $16.51$250K+22.7% of holding−3.8%−22.2%81,971Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

213 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-12-31MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant2,63814,382Form 4
2026-08-10Fortson John C.officerAward / grant24,01424,014Form 4
2026-08-10Fortson John C.officerAward / grant104,200104,200Form 4
2026-08-07Frohning Andrea L.officerWithheld for tax80263,191Form 4
2026-06-30MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant2,84220,022Form 4
2026-06-12MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant10,00061,669Form 4
2026-06-03HOLDEN BETSY DdirectorAward / grant22,82277,442Form 4
2026-06-03HOSEIN CLYDEdirectorAward / grant22,82264,075Form 4
2026-06-03MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant22,82251,669Form 4
2026-06-03MCKEON BRIAN PdirectorAward / grant28,88728,887Form 4
2026-06-03VARON LESLIE FdirectorAward / grant22,82280,364Form 4
2026-06-03Vergis Janet S.directorAward / grant22,82267,324Form 4
2026-06-03Zurbay DonalddirectorAward / grant22,82229,693Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorAward / grant38,38238,382Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorGift38,3820Form 4
2026-06-03Barber Michael JdirectorAward / grant22,82240,768Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorAward / grant10,90010,900Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorGift10,9000Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorGift10,90010,900Form 4
2026-06-03LUCIER GREGORY TdirectorGift38,38263,283Form 4
2026-06-03Forbes James DdirectorAward / grant28,88738,887Form 4
2026-06-03Gladden Brian TdirectorAward / grant22,82251,864Form 4
2026-05-22Scavilla Daniel TdirectorWithheld for tax4,095157,754Form 4
2026-03-31MAZELSKY JONATHAN JAYdirectorAward / grant2,64517,180Form 4
2026-03-11Scavilla Daniel TdirectorAward / grant3,5553,555Form 4
2026-03-11Czerney KevinofficerAward / grant2,8546,347Form 4
2026-03-11Denti Aldo Mariano RobertoofficerAward / grant829829Form 4
2026-03-04Johnson Robert AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax1,026117,176Form 4
2026-03-04Frohning Andrea L.officerWithheld for tax69037,206Form 4
2026-03-04Czerney KevinofficerWithheld for tax32827,579Form 4
2026-03-04Johnson Robert AnthonyofficerAward / grant44,643161,819Form 4
2026-03-04Czerney KevinofficerAward / grant13,69041,269Form 4
2026-03-04Czerney KevinofficerAward / grant10,40010,400Form 4
2026-03-04Johnson Robert AnthonyofficerAward / grant202,700202,700Form 4
2026-03-04Scavilla Daniel TdirectorAward / grant145,089161,839Form 4
2026-03-04Scavilla Daniel TdirectorAward / grant2,066,6002,066,600Form 4
2026-03-04Frohning Andrea L.officerAward / grant26,78663,992Form 4
2026-03-04Denti Aldo Mariano RobertoofficerAward / grant59,52459,524Form 4
2026-03-04Denti Aldo Mariano RobertoofficerAward / grant270,200270,200Form 4
2026-03-04Frohning Andrea L.officerAward / grant121,600121,600Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-02-112025-01-07$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-02-112025-01-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-12-062023-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-11-082023-10-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-06-102022-05-02$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-05-252022-04-19$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-05-252022-04-19$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-05-062022-04-11$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-16$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-02$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-02$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-02-232022-01-28$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-02-232022-01-28$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.