XPRO · TickerCove

XPROExpro Group Holdings N.V.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.44 · now $16.44 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XPRO has typically landed between $12.77 and $20.02 — a range of −22.3% to +21.7% from the issuance price $16.44.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,274 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-08-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.44) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.44 · 64% of range

$11.87 low$18.96 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.7%

typical move · IQR 18.2%

−22.3%worst (p90)+21.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where XPRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.44 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.44 (+0.0%)
typical $16.72 (+1.7%)
middle 50% $15.23–$18.21
90% range $12.77–$20.02

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,274 windows spanning 2013-08-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-10	−48.5%	−48.5%	+9.2%
2020-02-07	−47.5%	−47.5%	+7.7%
2020-02-06	−45.5%	−45.5%	+4.8%
3 best
2021-01-28	+89.8%	−2.5%	+89.8%
2021-02-01	+74.9%	+0.0%	+91.2%
2021-02-02	+72.4%	+0.0%	+91.2%

3,274 overlapping windows · 2013-08-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

62%

−0.3%

n=13

Feb

77%

+7.6%

n=13

Mar

46%

−3.9%

n=13

Apr

46%

−0.5%

n=13

May

31%

−5.2%

n=13

Jun

46%

−0.6%

n=13

Jul

62%

+2.6%

n=13

Aug

62%

−1.5%

n=13

Sep

36%

−2.0%

n=14

Oct

46%

−1.6%

n=13

Nov

54%

+0.7%

n=13

Dec

54%

−0.1%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-03	Whelley Eileen Goss	director	Sale	6,168 @ $15.14	$93K	−11.5% of holding	−8.2%	not yet — horizon still open	47,648	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-03	TROE LISA L	director	Sale	6,168 @ $15.14	$93K	−11.5% of holding	−8.2%	not yet — horizon still open	47,648	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-03	TROE LISA L	director	Sale	2,712 @ $8.17	$22K	−5.7% of holding	−2.8%	+45.7%	44,909	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-03	Whelley Eileen Goss	director	Sale	2,712 @ $8.17	$22K	−5.7% of holding	−2.8%	+45.7%	44,909	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-17	Jardon Michael	director	Purchase	45,200 @ $10.91	$493K	+15.5% of holding	+31.1%	−24.3%	336,674	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-16	Drummond Robert Wayne Jr	director	Purchase	18,000 @ $11.39	$205K	+35.2% of holding	+35.4%	−15.9%	69,181	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

64 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Maiworm Sergio L. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,613	365,325	Form 4
2026-06-30	Bentham Michael	officer	Award / grant	877	63,918	Form 4
2026-06-15	OAK HILL ADVISORS LP	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	377,171	11,331,342	Form 4
2026-06-15	OAK HILL ADVISORS LP	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	377,171	11,331,342	Form 4
2026-06-01	Truelove Brian D.	director	Award / grant	8,907	56,570	Form 4
2026-06-01	TROE LISA L	director	Award / grant	8,907	53,816	Form 4
2026-06-01	Arbeter Eitan	director	Award / grant	8,907	64,200	Form 4
2026-06-01	Drummond Robert Wayne Jr	director	Award / grant	8,907	95,192	Form 4
2026-06-01	Whelley Eileen Goss	director	Award / grant	8,907	53,816	Form 4
2026-06-01	Vallejo Frances M	director	Award / grant	8,907	41,815	Form 4
2026-03-02	OAK HILL ADVISORS LP	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	195,899	11,708,513	Form 4
2026-03-02	OAK HILL ADVISORS LP	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	195,899	11,708,513	Form 4
2026-02-24	Jardon Michael	director	Withheld for tax	38,071	557,642	Form 4
2026-02-24	McAlister John Lewis	officer	Withheld for tax	9,863	127,027	Form 4
2026-02-24	Russell Steven J	officer	Withheld for tax	9,246	154,250	Form 4
2026-02-24	Bentham Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	3,536	63,041	Form 4
2026-02-24	McAlister John Lewis	officer	Award / grant	15,733	136,890	Form 4
2026-02-24	Bentham Michael	officer	Award / grant	6,736	66,577	Form 4
2026-02-24	Geddes Alistair	officer	Award / grant	21,247	228,658	Form 4
2026-02-24	Russell Steven J	officer	Award / grant	17,618	163,496	Form 4
2026-02-24	Jardon Michael	director	Award / grant	72,542	595,713	Form 4
2026-02-22	Jardon Michael	director	Withheld for tax	27,502	523,171	Form 4
2026-02-22	McAlister John Lewis	officer	Withheld for tax	8,941	121,157	Form 4
2026-02-22	Russell Steven J	officer	Withheld for tax	8,251	145,878	Form 4
2026-02-22	Bentham Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	3,649	59,841	Form 4
2026-02-22	Russell Steven J	officer	Award / grant	34,539	154,129	Form 4
2026-02-22	McAlister John Lewis	officer	Award / grant	32,895	130,098	Form 4
2026-02-22	Maiworm Sergio L. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	42,105	370,938	Form 4
2026-02-22	Geddes Alistair	officer	Award / grant	39,474	207,411	Form 4
2026-02-22	Jardon Michael	director	Award / grant	109,211	550,673	Form 4
2026-02-22	Bentham Michael	officer	Award / grant	13,980	63,490	Form 4
2025-12-31	Bentham Michael	officer	Award / grant	668	49,510	Form 4
2025-06-30	Bentham Michael	officer	Award / grant	983	48,842	Form 4
2025-06-30	Maiworm Sergio L. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	42,792	328,833	Form 4
2025-06-30	Maiworm Sergio L. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	286,041	286,041	Form 4
2025-06-01	Vallejo Frances M	director	Award / grant	17,104	32,908	Form 4
2025-06-01	Arbeter Eitan	director	Award / grant	17,104	55,293	Form 4
2025-06-01	TROE LISA L	director	Award / grant	17,104	47,621	Form 4
2025-06-01	Whelley Eileen Goss	director	Award / grant	17,104	47,621	Form 4
2025-06-01	Drummond Robert Wayne Jr	director	Award / grant	17,104	86,285	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i