Issued 2026-09-16 at $93.15 · now $93.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XMTR has typically landed between $66.90 and $135.08 — a range of −28.2% to +45.0% from the issuance price $93.15.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,288 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($93.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where XMTR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $93.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $93.15 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $93.35 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.47–$106.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $66.9–$135.08
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,288 windows spanning 2021-06-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-02-16 | −59.1% | −59.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-15 | −58.6% | −58.6% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-14 | −56.3% | −56.3% | +1.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-29 | +110.4% | +0.0% | +110.5% |
| 2026-04-28 | +105.3% | −2.5% | +105.3% |
| 2026-04-10 | +99.8% | +0.0% | +99.8% |
1,288 overlapping windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−5.4%
n=5
Feb
0%
−20.7%
n=5
Mar
0%
−19.7%
n=5
Apr
60%
+3.3%
n=5
May
80%
+27.3%
n=5
Jun
60%
−1.2%
n=5
Jul
33%
+1.9%
n=6
Aug
67%
+18.0%
n=6
Sep
50%
−1.9%
n=6
Oct
40%
−3.7%
n=5
Nov
60%
+21.7%
n=5
Dec
80%
+13.0%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 627 @ $85.04 | $53K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 181,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 534 @ $86.02 | $46K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 180,915 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 327 @ $84.23 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 182,076 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 12 @ $87.03 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 180,903 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 4,912 @ $91.03 | $447K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 551,751 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 4,607 @ $90.47 | $417K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 556,663 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 481 @ $92.09 | $44K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 551,270 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $95.23 | $476K | −12.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 35,345 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-28 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $94.30 | $472K | −12.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 35,345 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $96.77 | $484K | −3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 135,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Rollins Emily | director | Sale | 2,540 @ $83.61 | $212K | −12.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Rollins Emily | director | Sale | 1,692 @ $84.83 | $144K | −9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,904 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Rollins Emily | director | Sale | 768 @ $85.47 | $66K | −4.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,136 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 523 @ $89.42 | $47K | −0.3% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,998 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 382 @ $88.18 | $34K | −0.2% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,521 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 325 @ $93.23 | $30K | −0.2% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 266 @ $90.76 | $24K | −0.1% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Sale | 4 @ $96.26 | $385 | −0.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Rosati Fabio | director | Sale | 1,900 @ $89.72 | $170K | −2.0% of holding | −5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,667 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Rosati Fabio | director | Sale | 7,400 @ $91.30 | $676K | −7.3% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,267 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Rosati Fabio | director | Sale | 500 @ $93.42 | $47K | −0.5% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Rosati Fabio | director | Sale | 200 @ $91.94 | $18K | −0.2% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,067 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 752 @ $87.26 | $66K | −0.4% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 178,379 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 546 @ $88.26 | $48K | −0.3% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,833 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 198 @ $89.43 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,635 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 4 @ $90.28 | $361 | −0.0% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,631 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 1,720 @ $90.96 | $156K | −0.4% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 432,752 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 1,370 @ $93.28 | $128K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 430,535 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 1,031 @ $96.89 | $100K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 428,750 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 847 @ $92.16 | $78K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 431,905 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 548 @ $93.17 | $51K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,904 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 539 @ $92.00 | $50K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,452 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 529 @ $93.38 | $49K | −0.4% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,261 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 532 @ $90.76 | $48K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,991 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 425 @ $92.15 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,790 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 428 @ $90.79 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 142,215 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 389 @ $95.66 | $37K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 429,781 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Sale | 365 @ $94.40 | $34K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 430,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 326 @ $96.31 | $31K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,836 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 309 @ $96.08 | $30K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 310 @ $92.50 | $29K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,205 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 274 @ $90.93 | $25K | −0.3% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,515 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 238 @ $97.34 | $23K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,131 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 226 @ $94.53 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,678 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 199 @ $96.35 | $19K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,769 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 137 @ $93.48 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,068 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 100 @ $94.83 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,968 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 99 @ $94.86 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,162 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Sale | 59 @ $97.18 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Dutt Subir | officer | Sale | 53 @ $97.18 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,716 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 883 @ $97.19 | $86K | −0.5% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 181,735 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 405 @ $96.02 | $39K | −0.2% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,618 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 212 @ $98.51 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 181,523 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Biewald Lukas Alexander | director | Purchase | 47,058 @ $85.00 | $4.0M | +582.7% of holding | +14.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,134 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 366 @ $97.88 | $36K | −0.2% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,429 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 340 @ $98.55 | $34K | −0.2% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,089 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 292 @ $94.44 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 184,231 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 228 @ $95.28 | $22K | −0.1% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 184,003 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 208 @ $96.84 | $20K | −0.1% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,795 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Miln James | officer | Sale | 66 @ $99.56 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,023 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
60 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 40,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 40,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Gift | 85,582 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 20,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 41,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Award / grant | 40,506 | 183,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Biewald Lukas Alexander | director | Award / grant | 1,773 | 7,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Biewald Lukas Alexander | director | Award / grant | 5,790 | 5,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Biewald Lukas Alexander | director | Award / grant | 513 | 8,076 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 16,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 36,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Azevedo Roy | director | Award / grant | 1,308 | 32,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Award / grant | 31,486 | 144,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Clark Ranjana B | director | Award / grant | 3,681 | 32,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Dutt Subir | officer | Award / grant | 21,798 | 110,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Azevedo Roy | director | Award / grant | 3,681 | 30,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Award / grant | 1,356 | 35,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Weymouth Katharine | director | Award / grant | 3,681 | 33,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Rosati Fabio | director | Award / grant | 3,681 | 40,427 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Rollins Emily | director | Award / grant | 3,681 | 15,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Miln James | officer | Award / grant | 29,064 | 189,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Award / grant | 16,082 | 80,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Award / grant | 67,816 | 440,193 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Miln James | officer | Award / grant | 54,428 | 188,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Dutt Subir | officer | Award / grant | 26,124 | 91,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Raghavan Vaidyanathan | officer | Award / grant | 30,479 | 68,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Sahni Sanjeev Singh | director | Award / grant | 59,870 | 123,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Award / grant | 108,860 | 404,305 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 12,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 350 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Altschuler Randolph | director | Gift | 40,000 | 591,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 12,455 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 1,000 | 1,350 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 350 | 11,455 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 350 | 350 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Dutt Subir | officer | Award / grant | 7,478 | 73,848 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Azevedo Roy | director | Award / grant | 112 | 27,084 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Rollins Emily | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 21,146 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.