XIFR · TickerCove

XIFRXPLR Infrastructure, LPUtilities · Renewable Utilitiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.06 · now $11.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XIFR has typically landed between $9.60 and $13.02 — a range of −13.2% to +17.7% from the issuance price $11.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

404 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-01-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$11.06 · 55% of range

$8.83 low$12.88 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.2%

typical move · IQR 10.8%

−13.2%worst (p90)+17.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where XIFR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $11.06 (+0.0%)
typical $11.19 (+1.2%)
middle 50% $10.6–$11.79
90% range $9.6–$13.02

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 404 windows spanning 2025-01-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-01-07	−55.2%	−55.2%	+0.0%
2025-01-08	−54.1%	−54.1%	+0.0%
2025-01-06	−52.7%	−52.7%	+0.8%
3 best
2025-12-04	+23.9%	−2.0%	+23.9%
2026-04-29	+22.1%	+0.0%	+22.1%
2026-04-30	+20.3%	+0.0%	+20.6%

404 overlapping windows · 2025-01-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

−2.6%

n=1

Feb

50%

−2.8%

n=2

Mar

100%

+2.7%

n=2

Apr

−7.9%

n=2

May

100%

+13.8%

n=2

Jun

−6.2%

n=2

Jul

100%

+8.5%

n=2

Aug

100%

+6.0%

n=2

Sep

−5.9%

n=2

Oct

−3.0%

n=1

Nov

−3.3%

n=1

Dec

100%

+4.9%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-02-17	Geoffroy Jessica	officer	Award / grant	8,345	14,826	Form 4
2026-02-17	Bolster Brian W	director	Award / grant	36,037	63,443	Form 4
2026-02-17	Geoffroy Jessica	officer	Award / grant	9,345	24,171	Form 4
2026-02-17	Hickson Mark E	director	Award / grant	28,663	82,812	Form 4
2026-02-17	KETCHUM JOHN W	director	Award / grant	87,663	219,793	Form 4
2026-02-17	Dunne Michael	director	Award / grant	22,299	41,032	Form 4
2026-02-17	Liu Songyuan Alan	officer	Award / grant	58,018	118,045	Form 4
2026-02-09	KETCHUM JOHN W	director	Withheld for tax	18,126	132,130	Form 4
2026-02-09	Liu Songyuan Alan	officer	Withheld for tax	5,895	60,027	Form 4
2026-02-09	Hickson Mark E	director	Withheld for tax	3,887	54,149	Form 4
2026-02-09	Bolster Brian W	director	Withheld for tax	2,793	27,406	Form 4
2026-02-09	Dunne Michael	director	Withheld for tax	2,067	18,733	Form 4
2026-02-09	Geoffroy Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	710	6,481	Form 4
2026-02-09	Byrne Robert J	director	Award / grant	14,740	69,037	Form 4
2026-02-09	Austin Susan D	director	Award / grant	14,740	61,320	Form 4
2026-02-09	Kind Peter H	director	Award / grant	14,740	70,467	Form 4
2025-12-05	Kind Peter H	director	Other acquisition	517	56,243	Form 4
2025-12-05	Kind Peter H	director	Other acquisition	517	55,727	Form 4
2025-02-18	KETCHUM JOHN W	director	Withheld for tax	5,877	150,256	Form 4
2025-02-18	Liu Songyuan Alan	officer	Award / grant	65,922	65,922	Form 4
2025-02-18	KETCHUM JOHN W	director	Award / grant	101,997	156,133	Form 4
2025-02-18	Geoffroy Jessica	officer	Award / grant	7,191	7,191	Form 4
2025-02-18	Austin Susan D	director	Award / grant	17,630	46,580	Form 4
2025-02-18	Byrne Robert J	director	Award / grant	17,630	54,297	Form 4
2025-02-18	Kind Peter H	director	Award / grant	17,630	56,760	Form 4
2025-02-18	Bolster Brian W	director	Award / grant	30,199	30,199	Form 4
2025-02-18	Hickson Mark E	director	Award / grant	32,232	58,036	Form 4
2025-02-18	Dunne Michael	director	Award / grant	15,135	20,800	Form 4
2025-02-10	Kind Peter H	director	Gift	700	39,130	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i